Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#316
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.5#41
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#256
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#341
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 22.4% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 30.6% 71.6% 29.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 85.9% 57.6%
Conference Champion 9.9% 26.6% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 1.5% 8.5%
First Four4.1% 5.0% 4.1%
First Round6.3% 19.5% 5.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 411 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 78   @ Colorado St. L 65-85 3%    
  Nov 13, 2022 62   @ Wyoming L 65-86 3%    
  Nov 18, 2022 242   Kennesaw St. L 73-79 30%    
  Nov 19, 2022 256   Campbell L 67-72 35%    
  Nov 20, 2022 183   @ Appalachian St. L 66-78 16%    
  Nov 30, 2022 27   @ Xavier L 67-92 2%    
  Dec 03, 2022 28   @ Dayton L 58-83 2%    
  Dec 15, 2022 220   @ Nicholls St. L 74-84 20%    
  Dec 17, 2022 235   Troy L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 21, 2022 279   Southern W 78-77 50%    
  Dec 30, 2022 72   @ Vanderbilt L 66-86 5%    
  Jan 05, 2023 298   Houston Christian W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 07, 2023 301   Lamar W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 12, 2023 344   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 14, 2023 348   @ Incarnate Word W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 19, 2023 338   Northwestern St. W 85-79 67%    
  Jan 21, 2023 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-72 70%    
  Jan 26, 2023 286   New Orleans W 83-82 54%    
  Jan 28, 2023 286   @ New Orleans L 80-85 35%    
  Feb 02, 2023 348   Incarnate Word W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 04, 2023 344   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 81-74 70%    
  Feb 09, 2023 331   @ McNeese St. L 80-81 46%    
  Feb 11, 2023 220   Nicholls St. L 77-81 38%    
  Feb 16, 2023 338   @ Northwestern St. L 82-83 48%    
  Feb 18, 2023 343   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 23, 2023 301   @ Lamar L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 331   McNeese St. W 83-78 64%    
  Mar 01, 2023 298   @ Houston Christian L 64-68 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.4 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 9.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.1 4.1 2.8 1.0 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 5.3 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.3 5.9 7.5 8.9 9.7 10.1 10.2 9.9 8.6 7.3 5.5 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 92.5% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 72.7% 2.7    1.8 0.8 0.1
14-4 44.2% 2.4    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 6.1 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 69.6% 69.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 56.2% 56.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4
16-2 2.0% 47.9% 47.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0
15-3 3.6% 34.5% 34.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 2.4
14-4 5.5% 25.8% 25.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 4.1
13-5 7.3% 17.7% 17.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.0
12-6 8.6% 11.9% 11.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 7.6
11-7 9.9% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.0
10-8 10.2% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.7
9-9 10.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 9.8
8-10 9.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 8.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.8
6-12 7.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 5.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 5.8 91.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%