Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#114
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#133
Pace71.5#82
Improvement-2.7#287

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
First Shot+4.3#69
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#219
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-2.4#292

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-0.3#191
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#213
Layups/Dunks+4.8#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#339
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-0.3#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 33 - 55 - 13
Quad 412 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 197   Indiana St. W 97-64 70%     1 - 0 +31.0 +5.6 +20.3
  Nov 12, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 94-100 24%     1 - 1 +4.9 +13.1 -7.5
  Nov 15, 2024 147   @ College of Charleston L 116-119 2OT 49%     1 - 2 +0.5 +17.0 -15.7
  Nov 16, 2024 67   Liberty W 77-74 OT 32%     2 - 2 +11.3 +5.4 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2024 93   Oklahoma St. W 86-78 41%     3 - 2 +13.6 +3.3 +9.0
  Nov 22, 2024 68   Drake L 63-75 32%     3 - 3 -3.8 -1.4 -3.1
  Nov 24, 2024 169   Seton Hall L 61-63 65%     3 - 4 -2.6 -3.8 +1.1
  Nov 30, 2024 184   Florida Gulf Coast L 78-80 76%     3 - 5 -6.2 +8.8 -15.2
  Dec 04, 2024 252   @ Florida International W 88-77 70%     4 - 5 +8.8 +14.9 -6.5
  Dec 10, 2024 195   Jacksonville W 85-63 78%     5 - 5 +17.3 +6.5 +9.2
  Dec 14, 2024 203   Texas St. W 89-80 79%     6 - 5 +3.8 +10.8 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 7   @ Michigan St. L 69-86 5%     6 - 6 +5.4 +5.5 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2025 54   Memphis L 62-90 33%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -20.1 -8.2 -10.8
  Jan 05, 2025 166   @ East Carolina W 78-76 54%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +4.3 +1.9 +2.4
  Jan 08, 2025 237   @ Charlotte W 75-64 68%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +9.5 +3.5 +6.4
  Jan 12, 2025 100   UAB L 76-81 57%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -3.4 -0.3 -3.1
  Jan 15, 2025 133   @ Tulane L 65-80 45%     8 - 9 2 - 3 -10.4 -5.4 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2025 192   Rice W 75-73 77%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -2.6 +6.5 -8.9
  Jan 26, 2025 81   @ North Texas L 64-77 27%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -3.3 +7.9 -13.3
  Jan 29, 2025 185   Texas San Antonio W 94-74 77%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +15.7 +24.3 -7.2
  Feb 02, 2025 188   South Florida W 94-72 77%     11 - 10 5 - 4 +17.5 +18.5 -1.5
  Feb 08, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 79-55 69%     12 - 10 6 - 4 +22.1 +10.1 +13.2
  Feb 10, 2025 237   Charlotte W 87-75 83%     13 - 10 7 - 4 +5.0 +7.8 -3.1
  Feb 16, 2025 162   @ Temple W 83-81 53%     14 - 10 8 - 4 +4.5 +7.6 -3.1
  Feb 20, 2025 125   Wichita St. L 68-75 64%     14 - 11 8 - 5 -7.5 +2.5 -10.6
  Feb 23, 2025 54   @ Memphis L 65-84 17%     14 - 12 8 - 6 -5.6 -0.2 -5.3
  Feb 27, 2025 81   North Texas L 61-71 47%     14 - 13 8 - 7 -5.8 +3.6 -11.4
  Mar 02, 2025 188   @ South Florida W 69-63 59%     15 - 13 9 - 7 +7.0 -1.5 +8.5
  Mar 06, 2025 100   @ UAB L 80-89 36%     15 - 14 9 - 8 -1.9 +6.3 -8.2
  Mar 09, 2025 166   East Carolina W 81-53 73%     16 - 14 10 - 8 +24.8 +10.1 +16.1
  Mar 13, 2025 237   Charlotte W 64-59 77%     17 - 14 +0.7 -4.6 +5.9
  Mar 14, 2025 133   Tulane L 76-83 56%     17 - 15 -5.2 +9.3 -15.0
Projected Record 17 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%