Preseason Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#270
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.5#88
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#222
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 14.1% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 46.7% 77.6% 45.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 79.1% 57.2%
Conference Champion 8.1% 17.8% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 1.7% 5.8%
First Four1.4% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round6.4% 13.6% 6.1%
Second Round0.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 413 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 38   @ Maryland L 58-77 4%    
  Nov 13, 2024 268   @ Bucknell L 66-69 39%    
  Nov 16, 2024 354   St. Francis (PA) W 75-64 85%    
  Nov 20, 2024 101   @ Georgetown L 66-80 11%    
  Nov 23, 2024 340   Delaware St. W 75-66 79%    
  Nov 30, 2024 249   @ Howard L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 06, 2024 235   @ Marist L 63-68 34%    
  Dec 08, 2024 237   Fairfield W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 14, 2024 350   Loyola Maryland W 73-63 82%    
  Dec 18, 2024 352   @ LIU Brooklyn W 76-71 65%    
  Dec 21, 2024 36   @ Miami (FL) L 65-84 5%    
  Dec 28, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 60-74 11%    
  Jan 05, 2025 308   Niagara W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 10, 2025 331   @ Manhattan W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 12, 2025 334   Sacred Heart W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 16, 2025 241   @ Rider L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 212   Quinnipiac W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 23, 2025 339   @ Siena W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Manhattan W 75-67 74%    
  Jan 31, 2025 243   @ Merrimack L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 02, 2025 214   @ St. Peter's L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 210   Iona W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 14, 2025 308   @ Niagara L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 16, 2025 297   @ Canisius L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 21, 2025 214   St. Peter's W 65-64 51%    
  Feb 23, 2025 241   Rider W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 28, 2025 237   @ Fairfield L 70-75 35%    
  Mar 02, 2025 339   Siena W 72-63 76%    
  Mar 06, 2025 212   @ Quinnipiac L 72-78 33%    
  Mar 08, 2025 235   Marist W 66-65 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.2 0.7 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.8 1.1 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.2 5.9 7.5 9.0 9.9 10.3 10.0 9.6 8.6 7.0 5.2 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 98.2% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
17-3 83.2% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
16-4 62.5% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.5% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 60.6% 60.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 50.4% 50.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.1% 38.5% 38.5% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.1% 30.8% 30.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.5
16-4 3.6% 24.7% 24.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.7
15-5 5.2% 18.9% 18.9% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.2
14-6 7.0% 15.6% 15.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 5.9
13-7 8.6% 11.0% 11.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 7.6
12-8 9.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 8.8
11-9 10.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.5
10-10 10.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
9-11 9.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.8
8-12 9.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.9
7-13 7.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.5
6-14 5.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.9
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 2.8 92.9 0.0%