Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#114
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#214
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 5.9% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.2% 5.5% 0.8%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 10.3
.500 or above 37.9% 39.8% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 18.1% 19.0% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.6% 24.2% 44.8%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 0.4%
First Round4.7% 5.0% 0.5%
Second Round2.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 93.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 64 - 13
Quad 33 - 38 - 16
Quad 46 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   The Citadel W 76-60 93%    
  Nov 08, 2024 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-70 37%    
  Nov 15, 2024 130   Temple W 72-68 65%    
  Nov 19, 2024 350   Loyola Maryland W 77-58 96%    
  Nov 24, 2024 227   Old Dominion W 76-69 72%    
  Nov 29, 2024 313   Dartmouth W 74-59 90%    
  Dec 03, 2024 64   South Carolina L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 41   @ Wake Forest L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 15, 2024 356   Stonehill W 79-59 96%    
  Dec 21, 2024 78   SMU L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 28, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-67 94%    
  Jan 01, 2025 36   Miami (FL) L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 80   @ Georgia Tech L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 56   Syracuse L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 13, 2025 66   @ Notre Dame L 62-70 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 4   Duke L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 21, 2025 57   @ Virginia L 56-65 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 7   @ North Carolina L 67-83 9%    
  Feb 01, 2025 83   Florida St. L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 50   Louisville L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 56   @ Syracuse L 71-80 23%    
  Feb 12, 2025 66   Notre Dame L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 18, 2025 74   Virginia Tech L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 80   Georgia Tech L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 70-76 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 109   @ California L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 05, 2025 43   Clemson L 68-72 37%    
  Mar 08, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 65-74 23%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.1 0.9 0.0 5.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.1 0.1 0.0 6.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.4 1.5 0.1 9.3 15th
16th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.0 16th
17th 0.2 1.3 3.6 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 13.4 17th
18th 1.2 3.5 5.1 4.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 17.1 18th
Total 1.2 3.7 6.4 8.8 10.8 11.7 11.7 10.7 9.1 7.7 6.3 4.5 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 75.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 66.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 25.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 9.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 16.2% 83.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 98.1% 9.3% 88.9% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
15-5 0.6% 94.1% 11.0% 83.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.4%
14-6 1.3% 76.5% 5.8% 70.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 75.0%
13-7 1.8% 57.5% 3.9% 53.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 55.8%
12-8 3.1% 34.4% 2.3% 32.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.0 32.9%
11-9 4.5% 18.8% 1.2% 17.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 17.9%
10-10 6.3% 6.9% 0.4% 6.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.9 6.5%
9-11 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.6 1.0%
8-12 9.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.2%
7-13 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.7
6-14 11.7% 11.7
5-15 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.7
4-16 10.8% 10.8
3-17 8.8% 8.8
2-18 6.4% 6.4
1-19 3.7% 3.7
0-20 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 5.6% 0.4% 5.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 94.4 5.2%