IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.4	#304
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#225
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	22.1%	35.7%	21.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	56.7%	87.8%	55.8%
.500 or above in Conference	82.9%	94.7%	82.6%
Conference Champion	29.0%	49.7%	28.4%
Last Place in Conference	2.5%	0.4%	2.5%

First Four	18.7%	21.2%	18.7%
First Round	12.4%	25.9%	12.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 4	14 - 9	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	48	@ Providence	L	59-79	3%
Nov 08, 2024	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	62-79	6%
Nov 17, 2024	220	@ Northeastern	L	64-71	25%
Nov 21, 2024	334	@ Sacred Heart	W	72-71	51%
Nov 24, 2024	318	Binghamton	W	70-66	65%
Dec 01, 2024	143	Umass Lowell	L	69-75	31%
Dec 04, 2024	116	@ Massachusetts	L	64-77	12%
Dec 07, 2024	348	@ Holy Cross	W	70-68	56%
Dec 15, 2024	142	@ Rhode Island	L	66-78	16%
Dec 18, 2024	237	@ Fairfield	L	67-74	28%
Dec 21, 2024	212	Quinnipiac	L	72-74	44%
Jan 03, 2025	354	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	69-66	60%
Jan 05, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	71-64	74%
Jan 10, 2025	285	Wagner	W	61-59	55%
Jan 12, 2025	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	75-67	76%
Jan 18, 2025	347	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	76-74	55%
Jan 24, 2025	335	@ Le Moyne	W	70-69	51%
Jan 26, 2025	332	Chicago St.	W	69-63	69%
Jan 30, 2025	352	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	72-70	58%
Feb 01, 2025	356	@ Stonehill	W	70-66	62%
Feb 06, 2025	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-71	73%
Feb 13, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	74-61	87%
Feb 15, 2025	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	72-63	77%
Feb 20, 2025	332	@ Chicago St.	L	65-66	50%
Feb 22, 2025	356	Stonehill	W	73-63	79%
Feb 27, 2025	335	Le Moyne	W	72-66	70%
Mar 01, 2025	285	@ Wagner	L	58-62	36%
Projected Record						14 - 13	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	2.1	5.6	8.1	7.1	4.3	1.4		29.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.8	7.4	6.3	2.7	0.5				21.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	3.9	6.4	3.6	0.8	0.0					15.5	3rd
4th							0.0	0.5	3.5	5.1	2.2	0.2	0.0						11.5	4th
5th						0.0	0.4	2.7	3.8	1.3	0.1								8.3	5th
6th					0.0	0.4	2.0	2.8	0.9	0.0									6.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	1.4	1.9	0.6	0.0										4.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.4	0.0											2.7	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0												1.3	9th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	2.9	4.6	6.6	8.8	11.0	12.9	13.3	12.7	10.9	7.6	4.3	1.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.4		1.4
15-1	100.0%	4.3		4.2	0.1
14-2	93.3%	7.1		6.0	1.0	0.0
13-3	74.5%	8.1		5.5	2.4	0.2
12-4	44.0%	5.6		2.5	2.4	0.6	0.0
11-5	15.5%	2.1		0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	29.0%	29.0		20.3	7.0	1.5	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.4%		63.0%	63.0%		15.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5
15-1	4.3%		54.9%	54.9%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	2.0
14-2	7.6%		44.9%	44.9%		15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	3.1	4.2
13-3	10.9%		38.1%	38.1%		16.0															0.0	0.1	4.1	6.7
12-4	12.7%		29.9%	29.9%		16.0																0.0	3.8	8.9
11-5	13.3%		21.3%	21.3%		16.0																	2.8	10.5
10-6	12.9%		15.3%	15.3%		16.0																	2.0	10.9
9-7	11.0%		11.4%	11.4%		16.0																	1.2	9.7
8-8	8.8%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																	0.8	8.0
7-9	6.6%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																	0.4	6.2
6-10	4.6%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.2	4.5
5-11	2.9%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.1	2.9
4-12	1.6%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
3-13	0.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
2-14	0.3%																							0.3
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		22.1%	22.1%	0.0%	15.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	20.6	77.9		0.0%