Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#262
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#45
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#201
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 11.5% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 26.2% 54.0% 24.0%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 69.1% 47.6%
Conference Champion 6.9% 14.5% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 5.4% 12.9%
First Four1.7% 1.2% 1.7%
First Round5.7% 11.0% 5.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 79   @ Colorado L 68-83 7%    
  Nov 06, 2024 127   Seattle L 71-75 35%    
  Nov 11, 2024 58   @ Missouri L 68-85 6%    
  Nov 17, 2024 345   Cal Poly W 77-67 81%    
  Nov 21, 2024 91   Washington St. L 67-78 16%    
  Nov 23, 2024 163   @ California Baptist L 67-75 24%    
  Nov 26, 2024 167   @ UC Santa Barbara L 73-81 24%    
  Nov 30, 2024 77   @ Utah L 71-86 9%    
  Dec 04, 2024 263   North Dakota W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 07, 2024 178   @ South Dakota St. L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 10, 2024 62   @ Washington L 72-89 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 190   Montana L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 149   Montana St. L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 09, 2025 257   @ Portland St. L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 300   @ Sacramento St. L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 279   @ Idaho L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 20, 2025 149   @ Montana St. L 73-82 23%    
  Jan 23, 2025 286   Northern Arizona W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 226   Northern Colorado W 81-80 55%    
  Jan 30, 2025 315   @ Idaho St. W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Weber St. L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 06, 2025 300   Sacramento St. W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 257   Portland St. W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 279   Idaho W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 20, 2025 226   @ Northern Colorado L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 286   @ Northern Arizona L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 179   Weber St. L 73-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 315   Idaho St. W 74-68 70%    
  Mar 03, 2025 190   @ Montana L 72-79 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.0 0.9 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.7 5.5 7.5 9.4 10.8 11.0 11.0 10.4 8.8 7.2 5.0 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.2% 1.0    0.9 0.1
15-3 81.0% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 55.5% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 28.3% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 7.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 4.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.9% 47.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 49.7% 49.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.1% 40.0% 40.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 31.8% 31.8% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.3% 25.6% 25.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.5
13-5 5.0% 18.0% 18.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.1
12-6 7.2% 13.6% 13.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 6.2
11-7 8.8% 9.1% 9.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.0
10-8 10.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.7
9-9 11.0% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.5
8-10 11.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.7
7-11 10.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 9.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.3
5-13 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-14 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.6 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%