IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.8	#256
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#254
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#237

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#275

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	21.8%	32.6%	20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	56.4%	82.2%	53.6%
.500 or above in Conference	83.8%	93.0%	82.8%
Conference Champion	28.0%	42.9%	26.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.7%	0.4%	1.9%

First Four	10.4%	8.8%	10.5%
First Round	16.6%	28.2%	15.4%
Second Round	0.5%	1.5%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 7	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	96	@ George Mason	L	59-73	10%
Nov 08, 2024	246	Gardner-Webb	W	72-70	58%
Nov 12, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	70-80	18%
Nov 15, 2024	209	Georgia Southern	L	72-74	41%
Nov 16, 2024	247	William & Mary	L	69-70	47%
Nov 17, 2024	189	@ Winthrop	L	67-74	28%
Nov 22, 2024	204	@ Georgia St.	L	69-75	30%
Dec 05, 2024	269	Radford	W	68-65	61%
Dec 07, 2024	246	@ Gardner-Webb	L	69-73	37%
Dec 10, 2024	65	@ West Virginia	L	64-80	8%
Dec 14, 2024	195	@ Longwood	L	66-72	29%
Dec 20, 2024	195	Longwood	L	69-70	49%
Dec 28, 2024	312	@ N.C. A&T	W	72-71	51%
Jan 04, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	72-61	81%
Jan 06, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	W	75-74	53%
Jan 11, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-60	87%
Jan 13, 2025	340	Delaware St.	W	74-65	78%
Jan 25, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	W	75-69	68%
Feb 01, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	70-74	37%
Feb 03, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	68-71	39%
Feb 15, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	75-58	92%
Feb 17, 2025	320	Morgan St.	W	78-71	71%
Feb 22, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-63	72%
Feb 24, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	W	71-68	61%
Mar 01, 2025	249	Howard	W	73-71	57%
Mar 03, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	W	71-68	58%
Mar 06, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	L	71-72	49%
Projected Record						14 - 13	9 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	3.5	8.2	8.5	5.5	1.7		28.0	1st
2nd								0.0	1.1	5.6	8.9	5.3	1.0				22.0	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.3	6.2	7.3	2.6	0.2					17.8	3rd
4th						0.1	1.4	5.3	5.3	1.3	0.0						13.4	4th
5th					0.1	1.4	4.1	3.3	0.6	0.0							9.5	5th
6th				0.2	1.1	2.6	1.7	0.3									5.9	6th
7th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.6	0.1										2.7	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1												0.8	8th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.5	4.7	7.3	10.2	13.3	14.7	15.1	13.7	9.5	5.5	1.7			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	1.7		1.7
13-1	100.0%	5.5		5.3	0.2
12-2	89.0%	8.5		6.5	1.9	0.0
11-3	59.8%	8.2		3.9	3.7	0.6	0.0
10-4	23.5%	3.5		0.8	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0
9-5	3.5%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	28.0%	28.0		18.3	7.7	1.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	1.7%		62.5%	62.5%		13.9					0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.6
13-1	5.5%		51.1%	51.1%		14.7												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.7	2.7
12-2	9.5%		43.6%	43.6%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.0	5.4
11-3	13.7%		34.1%	34.1%		15.6														0.0	0.3	1.1	3.3	9.1
10-4	15.1%		25.6%	25.6%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	3.4	11.2
9-5	14.7%		17.0%	17.0%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.4	12.2
8-6	13.3%		10.8%	10.8%		16.0																0.0	1.4	11.9
7-7	10.2%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.7	9.5
6-8	7.3%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.3	7.0
5-9	4.7%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.2	4.5
4-10	2.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
3-11	1.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
2-12	0.4%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
1-13	0.1%																							0.1
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		21.8%	21.8%	0.0%	15.5					0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.9	4.4	14.5	78.2		0.0%