Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#66
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.2#338
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#32
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 3.8% 3.8% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 8.1% 8.2% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.0% 29.2% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.0% 27.2% 6.8%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 9.0
.500 or above 65.4% 65.8% 27.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 52.6% 26.4%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.1% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 5.4% 17.0%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 2.8%
First Round26.7% 26.9% 6.2%
Second Round15.2% 15.3% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen5.7% 5.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Home) - 99.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 13
Quad 34 - 211 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 356   Stonehill W 78-52 99%    
  Nov 11, 2024 337   Buffalo W 79-57 98%    
  Nov 16, 2024 101   @ Georgetown L 68-69 50%    
  Nov 19, 2024 263   North Dakota W 75-59 93%    
  Nov 22, 2024 288   Elon W 76-58 94%    
  Nov 26, 2024 29   Rutgers L 63-66 38%    
  Nov 28, 2024 3   Houston L 57-67 18%    
  Nov 30, 2024 5   Alabama L 70-80 20%    
  Dec 03, 2024 61   @ Georgia L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 07, 2024 56   Syracuse W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 11, 2024 313   Dartmouth W 72-52 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 77-55 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 80   @ Georgia Tech L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 7   North Carolina L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 08, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 4   @ Duke L 60-73 14%    
  Jan 13, 2025 114   Boston College W 70-62 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 56   @ Syracuse L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 57   @ Virginia L 55-59 37%    
  Jan 28, 2025 80   Georgia Tech W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 36   @ Miami (FL) L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 04, 2025 83   @ Florida St. L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 74   Virginia Tech W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 12, 2025 114   @ Boston College W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 16, 2025 50   Louisville W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 19, 2025 78   SMU W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 52   Pittsburgh W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 26, 2025 43   @ Clemson L 63-68 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 41   @ Wake Forest L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 05, 2025 93   Stanford W 72-67 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 109   California W 72-64 73%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.6 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.9 0.1 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.2 0.1 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.1 0.2 5.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.4 15th
16th 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.4 5.2 6.8 8.4 9.7 10.6 10.6 10.2 9.1 7.7 5.7 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 97.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 87.0% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 60.5% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 29.6% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 43.3% 56.7% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 32.3% 67.7% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 25.2% 74.8% 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.5% 99.8% 18.0% 81.8% 3.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
16-4 2.6% 99.0% 13.7% 85.3% 5.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
15-5 4.1% 95.3% 12.0% 83.3% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 94.6%
14-6 5.7% 86.7% 7.9% 78.9% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 85.6%
13-7 7.7% 72.3% 5.1% 67.2% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.1 70.8%
12-8 9.1% 51.7% 2.7% 49.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.4 50.4%
11-9 10.2% 28.9% 1.3% 27.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.2 7.3 27.9%
10-10 10.6% 13.9% 0.8% 13.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 13.2%
9-11 10.6% 3.9% 0.3% 3.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.2 3.6%
8-12 9.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.8%
7-13 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.1%
6-14 6.8% 6.8
5-15 5.2% 5.2
4-16 3.4% 3.4
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 29.0% 2.7% 26.3% 7.9 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.6 4.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 71.0 27.0%