IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.0	#87
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#200
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.8	#99

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.2	#58

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	1.1%	1.1%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	4.0%	4.2%	0.5%
Top 6 Seed	8.9%	9.3%	1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.7%	24.5%	6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	23.2%	24.0%	6.8%
Average Seed	7.5	7.5	8.4

.500 or above	39.0%	40.2%	13.0%
.500 or above in Conference	22.9%	23.5%	9.0%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	19.0%	18.3%	34.5%

First Four	4.0%	4.1%	1.7%
First Round	21.6%	22.3%	5.9%
Second Round	12.1%	12.5%	2.8%
Sweet Sixteen	4.7%	4.8%	0.8%
Elite Eight	1.8%	1.8%	0.3%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 95.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 16
Quad 4	4 - 0	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	310	Green Bay	W	75-57	95%
Nov 10, 2024	201	St. Thomas	W	72-60	87%
Nov 14, 2024	140	Southern Illinois	W	70-61	79%
Nov 21, 2024	97	Florida Atlantic	W	72-71	54%
Dec 04, 2024	148	@ Tulsa	W	75-72	61%
Dec 08, 2024	68	@ Seton Hall	L	66-70	35%
Dec 14, 2024	55	Oklahoma	L	69-71	41%
Dec 18, 2024	221	Tarleton St.	W	76-63	87%
Dec 22, 2024	225	Oral Roberts	W	78-65	87%
Dec 30, 2024	3	Houston	L	60-69	23%
Jan 04, 2025	65	@ West Virginia	L	69-74	35%
Jan 07, 2025	39	Kansas St.	L	69-70	46%
Jan 11, 2025	77	@ Utah	L	71-74	38%
Jan 14, 2025	32	@ BYU	L	69-77	26%
Jan 18, 2025	79	Colorado	W	72-69	58%
Jan 21, 2025	11	Arizona	L	73-79	31%
Jan 26, 2025	21	@ Texas Tech	L	65-74	23%
Jan 29, 2025	39	@ Kansas St.	L	66-73	28%
Feb 01, 2025	77	Utah	W	74-71	58%
Feb 04, 2025	3	@ Houston	L	57-72	11%
Feb 09, 2025	73	Arizona St.	W	72-70	57%
Feb 12, 2025	53	@ TCU	L	70-76	33%
Feb 15, 2025	21	Texas Tech	L	68-71	41%
Feb 19, 2025	71	Central Florida	W	72-70	57%
Feb 22, 2025	2	@ Kansas	L	65-80	11%
Feb 25, 2025	8	Iowa St.	L	65-71	30%
Mar 01, 2025	9	@ Baylor	L	64-76	16%
Mar 05, 2025	71	@ Central Florida	L	69-73	38%
Mar 08, 2025	27	Cincinnati	L	69-71	44%
Projected Record						13 - 16	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.7	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0						2.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	0.9	0.1	0.0							3.3	5th
6th										0.0	0.6	1.8	1.2	0.2	0.0								3.9	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	2.0	2.0	0.4	0.0	0.0								4.9	7th
8th								0.0	0.2	2.0	2.6	0.8	0.1	0.0									5.7	8th
9th							0.0	0.1	1.6	3.2	1.4	0.1											6.5	9th
10th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.8	2.3	0.3	0.0											7.6	10th
11th						0.0	0.7	3.4	3.4	0.7	0.0												8.2	11th
12th					0.0	0.5	2.9	4.0	1.4	0.1													9.0	12th
13th			0.0	0.0	0.5	2.7	4.4	2.0	0.2														9.9	13th
14th			0.1	0.6	2.8	4.5	2.6	0.4	0.0														11.0	14th
15th		0.1	1.0	3.1	4.4	2.7	0.6	0.0															12.0	15th
16th	0.7	2.2	3.7	3.3	1.8	0.4	0.0															12.2	16th

Total	0.7	2.4	4.7	7.0	9.6	10.8	11.4	11.1	10.6	8.9	7.1	5.5	4.0	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	87.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	66.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
16-4	34.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	11.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0									0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0								0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	61.0%	39.0%	1.5		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	29.9%	70.1%	1.4		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	2.0		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.5%		100.0%	10.2%	89.8%	2.6		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
15-5	0.9%		100.0%	8.3%	91.7%	3.4		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0												100.0%
14-6	1.7%		100.0%	7.2%	92.8%	4.4		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-7	2.8%		99.0%	3.3%	95.7%	5.5		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.0%
12-8	4.0%		95.0%	2.0%	93.0%	6.7		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.2		94.9%
11-9	5.5%		86.7%	0.9%	85.8%	7.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0				0.7		86.6%
10-10	7.1%		65.0%	0.5%	64.4%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.1	0.2	0.0				2.5		64.8%
9-11	8.9%		34.2%	0.4%	33.8%	10.2					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	0.4	0.0				5.8		33.9%
8-12	10.6%		10.1%	0.1%	10.0%	10.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			9.5		10.0%
7-13	11.1%		1.8%	0.1%	1.7%	11.1								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				10.9		1.7%
6-14	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	12.5													0.0	0.0				11.4		0.0%
5-15	10.8%																							10.8
4-16	9.6%																							9.6
3-17	7.0%																							7.0
2-18	4.7%																							4.7
1-19	2.4%																							2.4
0-20	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		23.7%	0.7%	23.1%	7.5		0.4	0.7	1.2	1.7	2.3	2.7	2.7	2.5	2.6	2.6	3.5	1.0	0.0	0.0			76.3		23.2%