Preseason Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#274
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.0#100
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#335
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 9.0% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 37.8% 48.6% 23.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.0% 54.2% 37.7%
Conference Champion 8.2% 10.6% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 12.2% 21.1%
First Four1.9% 1.9% 2.0%
First Round6.3% 8.1% 4.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 248   Southern W 74-72 56%    
  Nov 06, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-66 86%    
  Nov 12, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 74-93 4%    
  Nov 20, 2024 311   @ Western Michigan L 76-77 49%    
  Nov 22, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana W 76-75 55%    
  Nov 27, 2024 51   @ Nebraska L 68-86 5%    
  Dec 04, 2024 315   Idaho St. W 73-67 69%    
  Dec 07, 2024 286   @ Northern Arizona L 76-78 42%    
  Dec 10, 2024 177   Wyoming L 74-76 44%    
  Dec 14, 2024 294   Western Illinois W 72-68 65%    
  Dec 19, 2024 276   @ Utah Tech L 76-79 40%    
  Dec 21, 2024 98   @ Santa Clara L 71-85 11%    
  Jan 02, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 04, 2025 317   Denver W 83-77 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 201   @ St. Thomas L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 225   Oral Roberts W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   North Dakota St. W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 23, 2025 263   @ North Dakota L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 178   @ South Dakota St. L 72-80 26%    
  Jan 29, 2025 302   Nebraska Omaha W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 317   @ Denver W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 225   @ Oral Roberts L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 13, 2025 205   UMKC L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 178   South Dakota St. L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 201   St. Thomas L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 302   @ Nebraska Omaha L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 71-76 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 263   North Dakota W 76-73 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 8.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.1 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.0 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.8 1.3 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.2 1.3 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.6 5.2 1.4 0.1 12.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.8 4.9 1.3 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.3 4.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.4 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 10.2 9th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.2 5.6 8.2 10.4 11.6 12.1 12.0 10.7 8.6 6.4 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 94.8% 1.3    1.2 0.1
13-3 81.9% 2.2    1.6 0.6 0.0
12-4 51.7% 2.4    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.6% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 51.7% 51.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 48.3% 48.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.3% 41.2% 41.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-3 2.7% 29.0% 29.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.9
12-4 4.6% 22.1% 22.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 3.5
11-5 6.4% 18.0% 18.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 5.3
10-6 8.6% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 7.7
9-7 10.7% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.8
8-8 12.0% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 11.3
7-9 12.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.7
6-10 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
5-11 10.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.3
4-12 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-13 5.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.6
2-14 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
1-15 1.5% 1.5
0-16 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.2 92.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%