Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#41
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#126
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#29
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#57
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.7% 3.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 10.4% 10.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 18.6% 18.6% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.7% 47.7% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.9% 44.9% 6.2%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 9.0
.500 or above 76.7% 76.8% 24.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 64.4% 22.0%
Conference Champion 6.1% 6.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.9% 12.0%
First Four5.3% 5.3% 2.4%
First Round44.9% 45.0% 3.8%
Second Round28.3% 28.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen12.6% 12.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight5.7% 5.7% 0.0%
Final Four2.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 99.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 39 - 11
Quad 34 - 113 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 85-53 99.9%   
  Nov 07, 2024 312   N.C. A&T W 85-63 98%    
  Nov 10, 2024 30   Michigan L 74-75 47%    
  Nov 13, 2024 330   South Carolina Upstate W 84-60 98%    
  Nov 16, 2024 28   @ Xavier L 76-80 35%    
  Nov 19, 2024 238   Western Carolina W 81-64 94%    
  Nov 23, 2024 342   Detroit Mercy W 86-61 99%    
  Nov 28, 2024 25   Florida L 79-80 45%    
  Dec 03, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 07, 2024 114   Boston College W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 17, 2024 107   James Madison W 80-70 80%    
  Dec 21, 2024 43   @ Clemson L 71-74 41%    
  Dec 31, 2024 56   @ Syracuse L 77-79 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 49   North Carolina St. W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 36   @ Miami (FL) L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 15, 2025 93   Stanford W 80-72 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 74   @ Virginia Tech W 75-74 50%    
  Jan 21, 2025 7   North Carolina L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 4   Duke L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 52   Pittsburgh W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 05, 2025 93   @ Stanford W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 109   @ California W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 12, 2025 83   Florida St. W 81-74 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 78   @ SMU W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 26, 2025 57   Virginia W 65-60 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 66   Notre Dame W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 03, 2025 4   @ Duke L 67-78 19%    
  Mar 08, 2025 80   Georgia Tech W 77-71 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.4 0.6 0.1 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.7 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 2.8 1.0 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.9 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.7 6.2 8.3 9.6 10.3 10.7 10.6 9.7 7.8 6.4 4.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 99.6% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 91.6% 1.3    1.0 0.2 0.0
17-3 66.0% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 35.5% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 12.6% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 35.4% 64.6% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.5% 100.0% 40.2% 59.8% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.4% 100.0% 28.7% 71.3% 2.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.6% 100.0% 23.7% 76.3% 3.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.3% 99.8% 18.2% 81.5% 4.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 6.4% 98.9% 15.5% 83.4% 5.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.7%
14-6 7.8% 95.7% 9.8% 85.9% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 95.2%
13-7 9.7% 86.6% 6.1% 80.5% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.3 85.7%
12-8 10.6% 70.6% 3.3% 67.4% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 69.6%
11-9 10.7% 48.6% 1.6% 47.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 0.2 5.5 47.8%
10-10 10.3% 27.2% 1.1% 26.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.5 26.4%
9-11 9.6% 9.8% 0.6% 9.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.6 9.3%
8-12 8.3% 2.2% 0.2% 2.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1 2.0%
7-13 6.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.3%
6-14 4.7% 4.7
5-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 47.7% 5.1% 42.6% 7.1 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.3 5.4 5.8 6.0 5.7 5.4 0.9 0.0 52.3 44.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.3 16.7