Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
111 St. Thomas 39.6%   14   20 - 8 12 - 4 +3.4      +3.0 99 +0.4 157 70.8 113 +1.8 129 +0.5 2
132 North Dakota St. 37.1%   21 - 7 14 - 2 +1.9      +1.8 123 +0.1 167 66.2 245 +3.1 118 +6.1 1
213 South Dakota St. 6.9%   11 - 17 7 - 9 -3.0      -1.0 188 -2.0 234 67.8 197 -6.3 263 -7.6 7
244 Denver 6.8%   12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.6      +3.9 88 -8.5 360 69.4 151 -4.0 236 -5.6 6
251 Nebraska Omaha 4.7%   11 - 16 8 - 8 -5.2      -1.4 200 -3.8 289 68.5 179 -5.1 244 -5.5 5
284 South Dakota 2.8%   13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.8      -3.6 264 -3.2 270 74.2 39 -5.7 252 -5.2 4
300 North Dakota 1.3%   13 - 16 10 - 6 -8.4      -1.5 209 -6.9 344 69.2 160 -5.1 246 -1.5 3
315 Oral Roberts 0.9%   7 - 22 4 - 12 -9.3      -5.2 307 -4.1 293 69.0 165 -10.5 326 -12.5 8
363 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 15 -18.5      -12.8 363 -5.7 325 72.8 65 -22.1 364 -20.0 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 4 363 UMKC 62 315 Oral Roberts 84   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 213 South Dakota St. 74 111 St. Thomas 80 73%   
Thu, Mar 5 132 North Dakota St. 79 315 Oral Roberts 68 85%   
Fri, Mar 6 251 Nebraska Omaha 79 284 South Dakota 78 56%   
Fri, Mar 6 244 Denver 86 300 North Dakota 82 64%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 3.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 4.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
UMKC 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 22 - 7 100.0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 21 - 8 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 6 13 - 17 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 12 - 16 100.0
South Dakota 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
Denver 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 18 100.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 7 - 23 100.0
UMKC 1 - 15 1 - 27 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
Denver
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 39.6% 39.6% 0.0% 14   0.0 6.7 22.2 10.4 0.3 60.5 0.0%
North Dakota St. 37.1% 37.1% 0.0% 2.7 18.2 15.1 1.1 63.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 6.9 93.1 0.0%
Denver 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.1 6.6 93.2 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 4.7 95.3 0.0%
South Dakota 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 2.8 97.2 0.0%
North Dakota 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.0% 0.9 9.0 91.0
2nd Round 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 39.6% 0.0% 39.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 37.1% 0.0% 37.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 6.9% 6.6% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 6.8% 5.3% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 4.4% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 2.8% 2.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%