Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#74
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.7#160
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#73
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 5.1% 1.3%
Top 4 Seed 4.6% 5.1% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 10.6% 5.1% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.0% 27.4% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.9% 25.3% 8.4%
Average Seed 7.0 7.0 7.8
.500 or above 33.7% 37.0% 13.1%
.500 or above in Conference 19.8% 21.4% 9.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 34.6% 32.0% 50.8%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 0.8%
First Round24.3% 26.7% 9.4%
Second Round13.8% 15.2% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.3% 5.9% 1.5%
Elite Eight1.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Final Four0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 86.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.5 - 7.61.5 - 7.6
Quad 1b2.1 - 4.33.6 - 11.9
Quad 23.8 - 3.97.4 - 15.8
Quad 33.0 - 1.310.4 - 17.1
Quad 43.2 - 0.313.6 - 17.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 301   @ Charlotte W 84-69 86%    
  Nov 14, 2018 158   Texas San Antonio W 80-73 81%    
  Nov 18, 2018 112   College of Charleston W 70-67 72%    
  Nov 22, 2018 101   Memphis W 73-70 59%    
  Nov 23, 2018 8   Villanova L 70-80 19%    
  Nov 25, 2018 46   LSU L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 30, 2018 68   Minnesota L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 05, 2018 98   @ Tulsa W 74-72 48%    
  Dec 08, 2018 37   Houston L 71-75 47%    
  Dec 16, 2018 35   Nebraska L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 21, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 86-71 93%    
  Dec 29, 2018 309   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-62 94%    
  Jan 02, 2019 30   Iowa St. L 73-78 44%    
  Jan 05, 2019 53   @ Oklahoma L 81-83 34%    
  Jan 08, 2019 26   Texas L 66-71 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 11   @ West Virginia L 70-78 17%    
  Jan 14, 2019 48   Baylor L 69-72 52%    
  Jan 19, 2019 30   @ Iowa St. L 73-78 27%    
  Jan 23, 2019 53   Oklahoma L 81-83 53%    
  Jan 26, 2019 61   South Carolina L 70-72 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 14   Kansas St. L 66-74 35%    
  Feb 06, 2019 28   @ TCU L 73-78 26%    
  Feb 09, 2019 1   @ Kansas L 68-81 9%    
  Feb 13, 2019 29   Texas Tech L 68-73 45%    
  Feb 16, 2019 26   @ Texas L 66-71 24%    
  Feb 18, 2019 28   TCU L 73-78 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 14   @ Kansas St. L 66-74 19%    
  Feb 27, 2019 29   @ Texas Tech L 68-73 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 1   Kansas L 68-81 21%    
  Mar 06, 2019 48   @ Baylor L 69-72 32%    
  Mar 09, 2019 11   West Virginia L 70-78 34%    
Projected Record 13.6 - 17.4 5.8 - 12.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 1.4 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 2.8 4.6 1.7 0.3 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 5.1 5.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.5 5.9 5.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 18.2 9th
10th 1.8 4.5 6.7 6.8 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 25.6 10th
Total 1.8 4.5 7.7 10.5 11.4 12.8 11.7 10.6 9.0 7.3 4.9 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 34.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
12-6 7.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 26.4% 73.6% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.2% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 3.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.3% 99.9% 8.9% 91.1% 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 3.0% 97.5% 8.8% 88.7% 5.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.3%
10-8 4.9% 88.8% 7.6% 81.2% 6.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 87.9%
9-9 7.3% 75.4% 4.6% 70.8% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 74.2%
8-10 9.0% 48.3% 3.1% 45.2% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 46.7%
7-11 10.6% 19.4% 2.1% 17.3% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 17.7%
6-12 11.7% 6.0% 2.4% 3.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 3.7%
5-13 12.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6 0.9%
4-14 11.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.4 0.0%
3-15 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
2-16 7.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 7.7
1-17 4.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.5
0-18 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
Total 100% 25.0% 2.7% 22.3% 7.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.4 3.5 3.8 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 75.0 22.9%