IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.3	#273
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.1	#249
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#317

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.6%	14.4%	8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	33.6%	53.7%	27.2%
.500 or above in Conference	64.0%	75.5%	60.3%
Conference Champion	12.2%	19.2%	9.9%
Last Place in Conference	5.5%	2.4%	6.4%

First Four	4.9%	5.3%	4.8%
First Round	7.2%	11.4%	5.9%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 8	14 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2019	188	@ Marshall	L	73-80	24%
Nov 09, 2019	41	@ Notre Dame	L	56-76	3%
Nov 12, 2019	72	Pittsburgh	L	61-72	16%
Nov 15, 2019	337	Howard	W	76-70	70%
Nov 16, 2019	112	@ Toledo	L	61-74	12%
Nov 21, 2019	131	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	65-76	16%
Nov 23, 2019	27	@ Marquette	L	59-81	3%
Nov 30, 2019	311	@ Cleveland St.	L	69-70	48%
Dec 04, 2019	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	68-74	31%
Dec 07, 2019	257	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	65-69	36%
Dec 17, 2019	154	Central Michigan	L	72-76	37%
Dec 21, 2019	146	@ UNLV	L	64-74	19%
Jan 02, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	71-67	64%
Jan 04, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	L	67-68	46%
Jan 09, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	69-65	64%
Jan 11, 2020	331	Wagner	W	66-58	75%
Jan 18, 2020	304	Merrimack	W	70-65	66%
Jan 20, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	W	75-73	55%
Jan 23, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	66-68	44%
Jan 25, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	68-74	30%
Jan 30, 2020	314	Bryant	W	73-67	68%
Feb 01, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-64	80%
Feb 06, 2020	331	@ Wagner	W	63-61	56%
Feb 08, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	72-76	36%
Feb 13, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	66-68	43%
Feb 15, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	69-67	56%
Feb 18, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	68-73	35%
Feb 21, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-65	62%
Feb 23, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	66-70	36%
Feb 29, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	W	71-70	55%
Projected Record						13 - 17	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.5	1.9	3.3	3.2	2.2	0.8	0.2		12.2	1st
2nd											0.1	1.0	3.1	4.1	2.5	0.7	0.1	0.0			11.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.3	4.2	4.5	1.8	0.2	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th									0.1	1.1	4.1	4.6	1.3	0.1	0.0						11.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	4.0	4.2	1.3	0.1								10.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.7	3.5	4.5	1.2	0.1									10.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.0	4.2	1.4	0.1										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.4	3.7	1.5	0.1											8.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.6	2.0	2.7	1.1	0.2												6.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.8	1.6	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0												5.2	10th
11th	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.0														3.0	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.7	3.0	4.7	6.3	8.6	10.4	11.1	10.9	11.2	9.5	7.9	6.1	3.9	2.3	0.9	0.2			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	98.3%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	94.3%	2.2		1.9	0.2	0.0
15-3	81.7%	3.2		2.3	0.8	0.1
14-4	54.3%	3.3		1.7	1.3	0.3	0.0
13-5	24.3%	1.9		0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1
12-6	5.0%	0.5		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.2%	12.2		7.5	3.3	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		48.2%	47.9%	0.3%	14.0								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.5%
17-1	0.9%		44.9%	44.9%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.5
16-2	2.3%		41.6%	41.6%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	1.3
15-3	3.9%		32.3%	32.3%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	2.7
14-4	6.1%		24.3%	24.3%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	4.6
13-5	7.9%		18.5%	18.5%		15.8															0.0	0.3	1.2	6.5
12-6	9.5%		13.0%	13.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	8.3
11-7	11.2%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.1	10.1
10-8	10.9%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.7	10.1
9-9	11.1%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.6
8-10	10.4%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	10.2
7-11	8.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
6-12	6.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
5-13	4.7%																							4.7
4-14	3.0%																							3.0
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.6%	9.6%	0.0%	15.6								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	6.9	90.4		0.0%