IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#198
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#259
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	1.5%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.6	11.4	12.1

.500 or above	18.7%	29.2%	10.5%
.500 or above in Conference	12.2%	16.8%	8.6%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	27.7%	20.1%	33.7%

First Four	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
First Round	0.7%	1.3%	0.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 14
Quad 4	4 - 2	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	213	@ Navy	L	62-64	44%
Dec 01, 2020	321	Hampton	W	81-70	86%
Dec 05, 2020	254	William & Mary	W	74-68	73%
Dec 07, 2020	184	@ Towson	L	65-69	37%
Dec 11, 2020	197	@ Delaware	L	70-73	39%
Dec 14, 2020	59	South Carolina	L	70-79	22%
Dec 22, 2020	164	Charlotte	W	67-66	53%
Dec 30, 2020	201	@ Fordham	L	61-64	42%
Jan 02, 2021	90	Duquesne	L	68-73	32%
Jan 06, 2021	128	Massachusetts	L	71-73	45%
Jan 09, 2021	85	@ St. Bonaventure	L	62-74	16%
Jan 13, 2021	99	Virginia Commonwealth	L	67-71	35%
Jan 17, 2021	47	@ Dayton	L	63-78	9%
Jan 24, 2021	93	@ Rhode Island	L	67-78	18%
Jan 27, 2021	123	@ George Mason	L	65-73	25%
Jan 30, 2021	201	Fordham	W	64-61	61%
Feb 06, 2021	52	Saint Louis	L	64-73	23%
Feb 09, 2021	53	@ Richmond	L	64-79	11%
Feb 13, 2021	157	@ La Salle	L	68-73	33%
Feb 17, 2021	174	Saint Joseph's	W	76-75	55%
Feb 21, 2021	85	St. Bonaventure	L	65-71	32%
Feb 24, 2021	90	@ Duquesne	L	65-76	18%
Feb 27, 2021	123	George Mason	L	68-70	44%
Mar 02, 2021	81	@ Davidson	L	62-74	16%
Projected Record						9 - 15	5 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0					0.6	2nd
3rd											0.2	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0					1.3	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0							1.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.9	1.3	0.5	0.0								2.9	5th
6th								0.1	0.8	1.9	0.9	0.1									3.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	2.4	1.8	0.2										5.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.7	2.9	0.5	0.0										6.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.6	4.0	1.1	0.0											8.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	2.3	5.1	2.1	0.1												9.8	10th
11th				0.2	2.1	5.7	3.6	0.4													12.0	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	2.5	6.0	4.0	0.7	0.0													13.5	12th
13th		0.5	3.6	6.8	4.5	1.1	0.0														16.6	13th
14th	2.0	5.2	6.0	3.5	0.9	0.1	0.0														17.6	14th

Total	2.0	5.7	9.9	13.1	13.7	13.6	12.6	9.9	7.4	5.3	3.2	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0					Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	67.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	60.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	17.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%									0.0							0.0
15-3	0.1%		65.0%	31.3%	33.8%	8.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		49.1%
14-4	0.1%		78.2%	27.9%	50.3%	9.3							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		69.8%
13-5	0.5%		29.0%	9.9%	19.1%	11.0								0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3		21.2%
12-6	1.1%		16.8%	6.6%	10.2%	11.7							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.9		10.9%
11-7	1.9%		7.1%	4.5%	2.7%	12.2									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			1.7		2.8%
10-8	3.2%		3.5%	2.5%	1.0%	12.5											0.0		0.1	0.0	0.0			3.1		1.0%
9-9	5.3%		0.5%	0.5%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0			5.2
8-10	7.4%		0.8%	0.7%	0.1%	13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.3		0.1%
7-11	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	9.9
6-12	12.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
5-13	13.6%		0.1%	0.1%		15.6																0.0	0.0	13.6
4-14	13.7%																							13.7
3-15	13.1%																							13.1
2-16	9.9%																							9.9
1-17	5.7%																							5.7
0-18	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		0.9%	0.5%	0.4%	11.6				0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	99.1		0.4%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%