IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#202
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#257
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#216

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#202

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.6%	19.9%	10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.0	14.9

.500 or above	63.1%	85.5%	59.7%
.500 or above in Conference	74.6%	87.0%	72.7%
Conference Champion	12.3%	21.3%	10.9%
Last Place in Conference	2.5%	0.9%	2.8%

First Four	2.1%	1.2%	2.2%
First Round	10.7%	19.2%	9.4%
Second Round	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 13.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 4	14 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	88	@ Georgetown	L	67-79	13%
Nov 28, 2020	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-73	47%
Dec 02, 2020	197	Delaware	W	73-70	60%
Dec 05, 2020	184	Towson	W	69-67	57%
Dec 11, 2020	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	65-64	51%
Dec 13, 2020	327	@ Coppin St.	W	76-70	70%
Dec 19, 2020	264	@ Albany	W	70-69	52%
Dec 20, 2020	264	@ Albany	W	70-69	52%
Dec 27, 2020	329	Binghamton	W	78-65	86%
Dec 28, 2020	329	Binghamton	W	78-65	86%
Jan 02, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	68-70	46%
Jan 03, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	68-70	45%
Jan 09, 2021	205	@ New Hampshire	L	67-70	42%
Jan 10, 2021	205	@ New Hampshire	L	67-70	42%
Jan 16, 2021	267	Hartford	W	72-65	71%
Jan 17, 2021	267	Hartford	W	72-65	71%
Jan 23, 2021	279	@ Umass Lowell	W	76-75	54%
Jan 24, 2021	279	@ Umass Lowell	W	76-75	53%
Jan 30, 2021	328	Maine	W	72-59	85%
Jan 31, 2021	328	Maine	W	72-59	86%
Feb 18, 2021	217	@ NJIT	L	67-69	44%
Feb 19, 2021	217	@ NJIT	L	67-69	44%
Feb 27, 2021	96	Vermont	L	65-70	34%
Feb 28, 2021	96	Vermont	L	65-70	34%
Projected Record						13 - 11	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.7	2.1	3.8	3.4	1.7	0.5		12.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.9	6.7	6.3	3.5	0.7				20.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.6	7.1	4.7	1.2	0.1					18.6	3rd
4th							0.0	1.0	4.5	6.6	3.2	0.5							15.8	4th
5th						0.0	1.0	4.6	5.3	1.8	0.2								12.9	5th
6th					0.1	0.8	3.3	3.8	1.0	0.0									9.0	6th
7th				0.1	0.8	2.3	2.4	0.6	0.0										6.2	7th
8th			0.1	0.6	1.4	1.1	0.2	0.0											3.4	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0												1.3	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.1	2.5	4.3	6.9	9.9	11.7	13.5	13.5	12.6	9.6	7.4	4.1	1.7	0.5			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
15-1	100.0%	1.7		1.6	0.1
14-2	83.3%	3.4		2.3	1.1	0.0
13-3	51.1%	3.8		2.0	1.5	0.3	0.0
12-4	22.3%	2.1		0.7	1.0	0.4	0.1
11-5	5.6%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	12.3%	12.3		7.2	4.0	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.5%		67.1%	66.5%	0.6%	11.6				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1			0.2		1.9%
15-1	1.7%		46.8%	45.6%	1.2%	13.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.9		2.1%
14-2	4.1%		35.8%	35.8%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	2.6
13-3	7.4%		27.5%	27.5%		14.2													0.0	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.1	5.4
12-4	9.6%		19.3%	19.3%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.5	7.7
11-5	12.6%		14.9%	14.9%		15.1														0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	10.7
10-6	13.5%		9.9%	9.9%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	12.2
9-7	13.5%		6.6%	6.6%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.7	12.6
8-8	11.7%		4.5%	4.5%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.5	11.2
7-9	9.9%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.6
6-10	6.9%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.7
5-11	4.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
4-12	2.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
3-13	1.1%																							1.1
2-14	0.4%																							0.4
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.6%	11.6%	0.0%	14.7				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.4	2.7	3.1	3.8	88.4		0.0%