IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+10.5	#42
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.9	#176
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.1	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.4	#44

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	53.1%	60.3%	31.7%
.500 or above in Conference	40.5%	44.8%	27.4%
Conference Champion	4.0%	4.8%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	13.1%	10.6%	20.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Away) - 74.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 2	7 - 11
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 12
Quad 4	3 - 0	13 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	156	@ Texas Arlington	W	74-67	75%
Nov 28, 2020	237	Texas Southern	W	87-69	95%
Dec 01, 2020	45	@ Marquette	L	74-77	40%
Dec 05, 2020	243	Oakland	W	79-60	95%
Dec 08, 2020	178	Oral Roberts	W	84-70	91%
Dec 12, 2020	77	@ Wichita St.	W	73-72	50%
Dec 16, 2020	69	TCU	W	70-65	68%
Dec 20, 2020	15	@ Texas	L	65-72	27%
Jan 02, 2021	14	@ Texas Tech	L	67-74	26%
Jan 04, 2021	7	West Virginia	L	72-74	43%
Jan 09, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	W	69-68	55%
Jan 12, 2021	4	Kansas	L	69-72	39%
Jan 16, 2021	29	Oklahoma	W	75-73	55%
Jan 19, 2021	7	@ West Virginia	L	69-77	24%
Jan 23, 2021	2	Baylor	L	68-73	35%
Jan 25, 2021	71	@ Iowa St.	L	75-76	48%
Jan 30, 2021	46	Arkansas	W	77-74	62%
Feb 03, 2021	69	@ TCU	L	67-68	48%
Feb 06, 2021	15	Texas	L	68-69	46%
Feb 08, 2021	4	@ Kansas	L	66-75	21%
Feb 13, 2021	89	Kansas St.	W	72-65	73%
Feb 16, 2021	71	Iowa St.	W	79-73	68%
Feb 20, 2021	2	@ Baylor	L	65-76	19%
Feb 23, 2021	14	Texas Tech	L	70-71	45%
Feb 27, 2021	29	@ Oklahoma	L	72-76	35%
Projected Record						13 - 12	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.8	2.1	1.8	0.9	0.2					5.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.2	3.0	2.3	0.7	0.1						7.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.0	4.5	2.9	0.7	0.0							10.2	4th
5th								0.4	2.5	4.9	3.1	0.7	0.0								11.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.1	5.5	3.4	0.7	0.0									13.3	6th
7th					0.1	1.1	3.9	5.9	2.9	0.4											14.3	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.4	4.4	4.7	2.3	0.3												13.4	8th
9th		0.1	0.5	1.9	4.1	3.5	1.5	0.1	0.0												11.8	9th
10th	0.3	1.1	2.3	2.3	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0													8.3	10th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.8	4.5	7.3	9.4	10.8	11.8	11.4	10.8	9.5	7.4	5.4	3.4	2.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
15-3	82.0%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	52.5%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.1
13-5	24.9%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.2	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%																							0.1
16-2	0.5%																							0.5
15-3	1.2%																							1.2
14-4	2.2%																							2.2
13-5	3.4%																							3.4
12-6	5.4%																							5.4
11-7	7.4%																							7.4
10-8	9.5%																							9.5
9-9	10.8%																							10.8
8-10	11.4%																							11.4
7-11	11.8%																							11.8
6-12	10.8%																							10.8
5-13	9.4%																							9.4
4-14	7.3%																							7.3
3-15	4.5%																							4.5
2-16	2.8%																							2.8
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%