Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.1#46
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#122
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 4.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.4 10.8 11.9
.500 or above 16.7% 33.2% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 21.3% 32.1% 19.1%
Conference Champion 1.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 9.5% 21.2%
First Four0.4% 1.1% 0.2%
First Round1.6% 3.5% 1.2%
Second Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Neutral) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 62 - 11
Quad 34 - 66 - 17
Quad 43 - 110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 60   Auburn L 75-85 17%    
  Nov 27, 2020 4   Kansas L 67-85 5%    
  Nov 30, 2020 3   @ Villanova L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 05, 2020 117   @ Bradley L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 08, 2020 195   St. Peter's W 76-72 66%    
  Dec 12, 2020 145   Temple W 79-78 54%    
  Dec 16, 2020 190   @ Drexel L 77-79 44%    
  Dec 19, 2020 257   Mount St. Mary's W 75-67 76%    
  Dec 30, 2020 99   Virginia Commonwealth L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 03, 2021 93   @ Rhode Island L 76-85 21%    
  Jan 06, 2021 85   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 09, 2021 52   Saint Louis L 72-80 26%    
  Jan 12, 2021 81   @ Davidson L 70-81 18%    
  Jan 18, 2021 157   @ La Salle L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 20, 2021 123   @ George Mason L 73-80 30%    
  Jan 23, 2021 123   George Mason L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 26, 2021 53   Richmond L 76-84 27%    
  Jan 30, 2021 90   @ Duquesne L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 03, 2021 85   St. Bonaventure L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 06, 2021 157   La Salle W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 13, 2021 47   @ Dayton L 71-85 13%    
  Feb 17, 2021 198   @ George Washington L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 20, 2021 81   Davidson L 73-78 35%    
  Feb 24, 2021 128   Massachusetts L 79-80 50%    
  Feb 27, 2021 201   @ Fordham L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 02, 2021 93   Rhode Island L 79-82 40%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.0 12th
13th 0.4 2.4 5.2 3.9 0.9 0.1 13.0 13th
14th 1.3 3.6 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 11.5 14th
Total 1.3 4.0 6.2 10.0 11.9 12.2 12.7 10.6 9.9 7.3 5.6 3.7 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 72.4% 22.4% 50.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 64.4%
15-3 0.4% 63.5% 15.6% 47.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 56.7%
14-4 0.8% 31.4% 9.7% 21.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 24.1%
13-5 1.3% 21.4% 8.3% 13.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.3%
12-6 2.1% 13.8% 6.3% 7.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 8.0%
11-7 3.7% 5.2% 3.9% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.4%
10-8 5.6% 3.1% 2.8% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4 0.2%
9-9 7.3% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2 0.1%
8-10 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 12.6
5-13 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 10.0% 10.0
2-16 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 1.8% 0.9% 0.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.2 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%