Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#17
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#47
Pace72.9#55
Improvement-2.1#332

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#45
First Shot+5.6#38
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#195
Layup/Dunks+6.4#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#327
Freethrows+2.5#26
Improvement-0.2#200

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#17
First Shot+5.5#36
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#14
Layups/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#3
Freethrows-1.2#284
Improvement-1.9#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.5% n/a n/a
First Round90.5% n/a n/a
Second Round50.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen18.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.2% n/a n/a
Final Four4.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 10
Quad 24 - 28 - 12
Quad 310 - 118 - 13
Quad 42 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 76-58 95%     1 - 0 +12.1 -4.0 +15.3
  Nov 11, 2022 128   Fordham W 74-48 90%     2 - 0 +25.2 +0.8 +23.6
  Nov 16, 2022 181   South Dakota St. W 71-56 93%     3 - 0 +11.3 -12.0 +21.5
  Nov 21, 2022 261   Louisville W 80-54 95%     4 - 0 +20.7 +3.4 +17.1
  Nov 22, 2022 12   Creighton L 87-90 44%     4 - 1 +11.7 +13.3 -1.3
  Nov 23, 2022 20   San Diego St. W 78-74 OT 50%     5 - 1 +17.2 +1.9 +14.6
  Nov 28, 2022 135   Troy W 74-61 90%     6 - 1 +12.0 +4.9 +7.6
  Dec 03, 2022 96   San Jose St. W 99-58 86%     7 - 1 +42.9 +24.4 +17.8
  Dec 06, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro W 65-58 89%     8 - 1 +7.0 -7.9 +14.6
  Dec 10, 2022 53   Oklahoma W 88-78 64%     9 - 1 +19.5 +22.3 -2.6
  Dec 17, 2022 87   Bradley W 76-57 82%     10 - 1 +22.3 +4.6 +17.2
  Dec 21, 2022 156   UNC Asheville W 85-51 92%     11 - 1 +31.6 +12.6 +19.2
  Dec 28, 2022 126   @ LSU L 57-60 78%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +2.3 -11.7 +13.9
  Jan 04, 2023 51   Missouri W 74-68 74%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +12.6 +4.0 +9.0
  Jan 07, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 59-72 42%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +2.2 -3.0 +4.7
  Jan 11, 2023 1   Alabama L 69-84 37%     12 - 4 1 - 3 +1.7 +0.1 +2.9
  Jan 14, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt L 84-97 61%     12 - 5 1 - 4 -2.6 +14.6 -17.4
  Jan 18, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 76-79 53%     12 - 6 1 - 5 +9.6 +2.6 +7.0
  Jan 21, 2023 106   Mississippi W 69-57 87%     13 - 6 2 - 5 +13.3 -0.6 +14.2
  Jan 24, 2023 126   LSU W 60-40 90%     14 - 6 3 - 5 +19.3 -6.1 +27.9
  Jan 28, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 64-67 35%     14 - 7 +14.4 +2.2 +11.9
  Jan 31, 2023 27   Texas A&M W 81-70 64%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +20.5 +10.2 +10.0
  Feb 04, 2023 199   @ South Carolina W 65-63 86%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +3.5 +1.4 +2.3
  Feb 07, 2023 26   @ Kentucky W 88-73 41%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +30.5 +21.4 +9.2
  Feb 11, 2023 49   Mississippi St. L 64-70 74%     17 - 8 6 - 6 +0.7 +3.0 -2.7
  Feb 15, 2023 27   @ Texas A&M L 56-62 41%     17 - 9 6 - 7 +9.5 -4.5 +13.5
  Feb 18, 2023 54   Florida W 84-65 75%     18 - 9 7 - 7 +25.3 +14.3 +10.5
  Feb 21, 2023 142   Georgia W 97-65 91%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +30.6 +24.2 +6.4
  Feb 25, 2023 1   @ Alabama L 83-86 19%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +19.7 +11.2 +8.9
  Feb 28, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 57-75 26%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +1.9 +0.6 +0.2
  Mar 04, 2023 26   Kentucky L 79-88 64%     19 - 12 8 - 10 +0.6 +3.6 -2.5
  Mar 09, 2023 29   Auburn W 76-73 54%     20 - 12 +15.3 +13.1 +2.2
  Mar 10, 2023 27   Texas A&M L 61-67 53%     20 - 13 +6.5 -2.7 +8.9
  Mar 16, 2023 30   Illinois W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 21 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 91.4% 91.4% 9.5 0.0 0.4 1.9 11.5 27.4 38.5 11.8 0.0 8.6 91.4%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.4% 0.0% 91.4% 9.5 0.0 0.4 1.9 11.5 27.4 38.5 11.8 0.0 8.6 91.4%