Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#155
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#255
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#128
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.8% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 13.7
.500 or above 42.9% 52.7% 21.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 40.6% 20.5%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 11.4% 23.5%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 0.5%
First Round3.1% 4.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 47 - 213 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 207   UC Riverside W 71-66 69%    
  Nov 12, 2022 232   UC Davis W 73-66 73%    
  Nov 15, 2022 143   @ UC Irvine L 65-69 37%    
  Nov 18, 2022 102   Georgetown L 74-78 36%    
  Nov 23, 2022 287   Morgan St. W 81-70 84%    
  Nov 25, 2022 250   Bellarmine W 71-63 74%    
  Nov 30, 2022 78   @ Colorado St. L 65-75 20%    
  Dec 03, 2022 126   Nevada W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 07, 2022 116   @ Grand Canyon L 66-72 32%    
  Dec 10, 2022 76   Utah St. L 67-74 28%    
  Dec 18, 2022 215   Cleveland St. W 75-69 68%    
  Dec 21, 2022 136   Tulsa W 71-69 55%    
  Dec 29, 2022 154   @ Portland L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 31, 2022 228   @ Pacific W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 05, 2023 55   BYU L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 07, 2023 83   San Francisco L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 12, 2023 44   @ St. Mary's L 59-72 15%    
  Jan 14, 2023 176   San Diego W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 19, 2023 1   @ Gonzaga L 68-91 3%    
  Jan 26, 2023 154   Portland W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 28, 2023 194   Pepperdine W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 02, 2023 55   @ BYU L 67-79 18%    
  Feb 04, 2023 176   San Diego W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 09, 2023 44   St. Mary's L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 11, 2023 127   @ Santa Clara L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 16, 2023 1   Gonzaga L 71-88 8%    
  Feb 18, 2023 228   Pacific W 75-68 70%    
  Feb 25, 2023 194   @ Pepperdine L 74-75 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.7 6.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.0 6.2 2.1 0.1 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.8 5.5 1.7 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.2 1.1 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.8 2.4 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.3 10th
Total 0.8 2.6 5.1 8.0 10.3 12.4 13.3 13.1 11.0 8.9 6.4 4.2 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 62.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 24.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 6.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 83.9% 14.1% 69.8% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.2%
14-2 0.4% 74.1% 15.4% 58.8% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 69.4%
13-3 1.1% 50.7% 13.8% 36.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 42.8%
12-4 2.4% 30.8% 7.6% 23.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 25.1%
11-5 4.2% 13.0% 5.6% 7.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 7.9%
10-6 6.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.3%
9-7 8.9% 4.1% 3.4% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.7%
8-8 11.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.1%
7-9 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.9
6-10 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
5-11 12.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.3
4-12 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-13 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-14 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
1-15 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 3.7% 1.9% 1.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 96.3 1.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%