IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#296
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.1	#240
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	2.5%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.9	15.2

.500 or above	28.3%	37.2%	11.5%
.500 or above in Conference	22.4%	28.3%	11.3%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.9%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	28.4%	21.7%	41.1%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
First Round	1.6%	2.2%	0.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 65.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 9	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2022	312	American	W	67-63	66%
Nov 12, 2022	323	Binghamton	W	71-66	68%
Nov 16, 2022	282	@ Lehigh	L	68-72	37%
Nov 19, 2022	165	Princeton	L	67-72	33%
Nov 22, 2022	361	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-60	81%
Nov 26, 2022	274	@ Bucknell	L	69-74	34%
Nov 28, 2022	315	Columbia	W	73-69	64%
Dec 04, 2022	337	Maine	W	65-61	62%
Dec 10, 2022	233	Boston University	L	66-68	44%
Dec 19, 2022	227	Manhattan	L	69-71	43%
Dec 22, 2022	218	@ Rider	L	64-73	24%
Dec 30, 2022	222	@ Fairfield	L	59-68	25%
Jan 06, 2023	101	Iona	L	66-76	22%
Jan 08, 2023	267	Mount St. Mary's	W	63-62	51%
Jan 13, 2023	290	@ Canisius	L	67-70	40%
Jan 15, 2023	239	@ Niagara	L	60-68	27%
Jan 20, 2023	145	St. Peter's	L	60-66	30%
Jan 22, 2023	267	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	60-65	33%
Jan 27, 2023	218	Rider	L	67-70	41%
Jan 29, 2023	244	Siena	L	65-66	45%
Jan 31, 2023	221	@ Quinnipiac	L	66-75	24%
Feb 05, 2023	290	Canisius	W	70-67	59%
Feb 10, 2023	145	@ St. Peter's	L	57-69	16%
Feb 12, 2023	244	@ Siena	L	62-69	28%
Feb 17, 2023	222	Fairfield	L	62-65	42%
Feb 19, 2023	239	Niagara	L	63-65	45%
Feb 24, 2023	227	@ Manhattan	L	66-74	26%
Mar 02, 2023	101	@ Iona	L	63-79	11%
Mar 04, 2023	221	Quinnipiac	L	69-72	42%
Projected Record						12 - 17	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0						4.0	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	1.7	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0							5.0	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	2.4	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0								6.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.2	3.1	2.5	0.8	0.0										7.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.8	3.8	3.1	0.8	0.0	0.0										9.8	7th
8th					0.1	0.5	2.5	4.5	3.0	0.7	0.0	0.0											11.4	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.2	3.8	5.1	2.9	0.7	0.1													13.9	9th
10th		0.1	0.9	2.8	5.1	4.9	2.3	0.5	0.0														16.7	10th
11th	1.5	3.9	5.4	5.4	3.4	1.3	0.2	0.0															21.1	11th

Total	1.5	3.9	6.3	8.4	9.8	10.5	10.4	9.8	8.9	7.9	6.5	5.0	3.8	2.8	1.9	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	87.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	78.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	52.1%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	26.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	10.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		75.0%	50.0%	25.0%	10.0								0.0				0.0	0.0					0.0		50.0%
19-1	0.0%		40.2%	34.8%	5.4%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		8.3%
18-2	0.1%		27.4%	27.4%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-3	0.4%		19.7%	19.7%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
16-4	0.7%		19.3%	19.3%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
15-5	1.1%		14.4%	14.4%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
14-6	1.9%		11.0%	11.0%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.7
13-7	2.8%		7.5%	7.5%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.6
12-8	3.8%		5.4%	5.4%		15.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	3.6
11-9	5.0%		4.2%	4.2%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.8
10-10	6.5%		3.0%	3.0%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.3
9-11	7.9%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.8
8-12	8.9%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	8.8
7-13	9.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
6-14	10.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
5-15	10.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
4-16	9.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
3-17	8.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
2-18	6.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
1-19	3.9%																							3.9
0-20	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	14.9								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.8	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%