Preseason Rankings
Queens
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#321
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#172
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#342
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 9.9% 22.8% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 31.1% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 24.1% 12.5% 27.9%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 46 - 88 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 159   Marshall L 76-83 25%    
  Nov 15, 2022 182   @ La Salle L 66-78 13%    
  Nov 18, 2022 347   Green Bay W 71-68 62%    
  Nov 26, 2022 123   @ George Mason L 62-78 8%    
  Nov 29, 2022 234   @ Bowling Green L 76-86 21%    
  Dec 09, 2022 255   @ High Point L 67-75 25%    
  Dec 14, 2022 189   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-78 16%    
  Dec 20, 2022 98   @ Nebraska L 69-88 7%    
  Dec 22, 2022 319   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-80 41%    
  Dec 29, 2022 254   Austin Peay L 68-70 43%    
  Dec 31, 2022 219   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-84 19%    
  Jan 05, 2023 250   @ Bellarmine L 64-73 24%    
  Jan 07, 2023 242   Kennesaw St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 12, 2023 334   Central Arkansas W 81-77 64%    
  Jan 14, 2023 309   North Alabama W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 19, 2023 243   @ North Florida L 70-79 23%    
  Jan 21, 2023 160   @ Jacksonville L 59-72 15%    
  Jan 26, 2023 203   Florida Gulf Coast L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 28, 2023 292   Stetson W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 02, 2023 225   @ Lipscomb L 72-82 21%    
  Feb 04, 2023 254   @ Austin Peay L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 09, 2023 219   Eastern Kentucky L 76-81 36%    
  Feb 11, 2023 250   Bellarmine L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 16, 2023 209   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-77 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 242   @ Kennesaw St. L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 22, 2023 100   Liberty L 64-76 17%    
  Feb 24, 2023 100   @ Liberty L 61-79 8%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.3 1.2 0.0 11.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 4.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 14.1 12th
13th 0.9 3.4 5.9 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 16.4 13th
14th 2.0 4.5 5.1 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.8 14th
Total 2.0 5.4 8.7 11.2 12.3 12.7 11.7 10.3 8.0 6.2 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 81.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 60.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 27.0% 19.0% 7.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8%
16-2 0.1% 19.5% 19.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 17.9% 17.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 1.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9
10-8 4.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.3
9-9 6.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.1
8-10 8.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.9
7-11 10.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.2
6-12 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.7
5-13 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-15 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
2-16 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.7
1-17 5.4% 5.4
0-18 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%