Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#130
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.7#184
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 23.6% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 2.3% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.7 11.9 13.1
.500 or above 67.5% 85.0% 61.8%
.500 or above in Conference 77.9% 86.1% 75.3%
Conference Champion 20.3% 28.1% 17.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.7% 4.5%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
First Round16.1% 23.0% 13.9%
Second Round3.0% 5.6% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Neutral) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 48 - 214 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 51   Rutgers L 64-71 25%    
  Nov 10, 2023 112   @ Hofstra L 70-74 35%    
  Nov 15, 2023 94   @ Duquesne L 70-76 30%    
  Nov 18, 2023 311   @ Monmouth W 75-67 75%    
  Nov 22, 2023 180   @ Old Dominion L 67-68 50%    
  Nov 25, 2023 228   Northeastern W 74-65 78%    
  Nov 29, 2023 331   @ Bucknell W 75-66 79%    
  Dec 02, 2023 104   Furman W 75-74 54%    
  Dec 05, 2023 125   Drexel W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 10, 2023 136   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-75 41%    
  Dec 30, 2023 194   @ Delaware W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 06, 2024 219   Harvard W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 15, 2024 243   Dartmouth W 77-67 80%    
  Jan 20, 2024 303   @ Columbia W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 27, 2024 157   @ Cornell L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 02, 2024 68   @ Yale L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 03, 2024 185   @ Brown W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 10, 2024 203   Penn W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 16, 2024 185   Brown W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 17, 2024 68   Yale L 68-71 42%    
  Feb 23, 2024 219   @ Harvard W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 24, 2024 243   @ Dartmouth W 74-70 62%    
  Mar 01, 2024 303   Columbia W 81-68 85%    
  Mar 02, 2024 157   Cornell W 81-76 65%    
  Mar 09, 2024 203   @ Penn W 73-72 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.7 6.2 3.8 1.1 20.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 6.9 8.9 5.7 1.2 24.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 7.1 6.5 2.1 0.2 18.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 6.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.3 1.6 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 8th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.9 6.3 8.9 11.8 13.6 14.8 13.9 11.6 7.4 3.8 1.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
13-1 100.0% 3.8    3.5 0.3
12-2 83.7% 6.2    4.5 1.7 0.0
11-3 49.7% 5.7    2.9 2.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 20.5% 2.8    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1
9-5 4.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 12.8 6.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.1% 76.8% 61.6% 15.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 39.8%
13-1 3.8% 58.8% 50.0% 8.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 17.6%
12-2 7.4% 39.2% 37.2% 2.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.5 3.2%
11-3 11.6% 28.6% 28.2% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.6%
10-4 13.9% 19.8% 19.8% 13.3 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 11.1
9-5 14.8% 13.2% 13.2% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 12.8
8-6 13.6% 9.7% 9.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 12.3
7-7 11.8% 5.8% 5.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 11.1
6-8 8.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.5
5-9 6.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.2
4-10 3.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-11 1.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-12 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-13 0.3% 0.3
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 16.6% 15.9% 0.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.1 4.2 3.7 2.5 1.6 1.2 83.4 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 99.1% 4.1 14.0 7.9 1.8 43.0 8.8 9.6 14.0