Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#266
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#277
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.5% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 52.4% 64.9% 38.1%
.500 or above in Conference 63.1% 70.6% 54.4%
Conference Champion 10.8% 13.8% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 3.3% 7.5%
First Four3.7% 3.8% 3.6%
First Round7.6% 9.8% 5.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 53.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 414 - 816 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 220   Northeastern W 67-66 53%    
  Nov 08, 2024 282   @ San Diego L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 11, 2024 23   @ UCLA L 54-74 3%    
  Nov 16, 2024 313   Dartmouth W 67-61 71%    
  Nov 19, 2024 285   Wagner W 62-58 64%    
  Nov 23, 2024 272   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-78 41%    
  Nov 24, 2024 249   Howard L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 01, 2024 334   Sacred Heart W 75-66 78%    
  Dec 07, 2024 259   Albany W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 13, 2024 243   @ Merrimack L 63-67 36%    
  Dec 21, 2024 143   @ Umass Lowell L 66-75 22%    
  Dec 29, 2024 253   @ Maine L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 02, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 61-67 29%    
  Jan 05, 2025 321   Army W 65-58 72%    
  Jan 08, 2025 252   American W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 62-70 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 264   Lehigh W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 321   @ Army W 62-61 53%    
  Jan 22, 2025 258   @ Navy L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   Bucknell W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 27, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-63 65%    
  Feb 05, 2025 258   Navy W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 12, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 171   Colgate L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 19, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 71-60 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 252   @ American L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 69-72 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 199   Lafayette L 63-64 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.9 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 4.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.5 4.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.8 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.0 1.0 0.1 5.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.9 7.0 8.7 10.2 11.2 11.6 10.9 9.5 7.7 5.6 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
16-2 95.3% 1.8    1.6 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.7% 2.8    2.0 0.7 0.0
14-4 51.3% 2.9    1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 22.3% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.6 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.9% 49.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 49.2% 49.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.9% 40.9% 40.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.1
15-3 3.5% 32.4% 32.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 2.4
14-4 5.6% 25.2% 25.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 4.2
13-5 7.7% 18.6% 18.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.3
12-6 9.5% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 8.2
11-7 10.9% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 9.9
10-8 11.6% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.9
9-9 11.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.7
8-10 10.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
7-11 8.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 5.6 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%