Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#317
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.7#43
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.8% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 14.5% 39.2% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 45.4% 24.3%
Conference Champion 2.7% 6.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 33.6% 17.6% 34.4%
First Four1.4% 1.6% 1.4%
First Round2.3% 5.0% 2.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 72 - 10
Quad 48 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 93   @ Stanford L 70-88 5%    
  Nov 12, 2024 84   @ Colorado St. L 64-83 5%    
  Nov 17, 2024 149   Montana St. L 74-80 28%    
  Nov 24, 2024 190   @ Montana L 71-81 17%    
  Nov 25, 2024 239   Cal St. Northridge L 78-83 34%    
  Nov 26, 2024 276   Utah Tech L 77-80 39%    
  Dec 01, 2024 271   @ Portland L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 04, 2024 300   Sacramento St. W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 07, 2024 257   @ Portland St. L 73-80 28%    
  Dec 15, 2024 244   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-76 26%    
  Dec 17, 2024 345   @ Cal Poly W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 21, 2024 226   Northern Colorado L 79-81 43%    
  Jan 02, 2025 178   @ South Dakota St. L 71-82 18%    
  Jan 04, 2025 274   @ South Dakota L 77-83 30%    
  Jan 09, 2025 263   North Dakota L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 234   North Dakota St. L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 15, 2025 302   Nebraska Omaha W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 201   @ St. Thomas L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 23, 2025 225   @ Oral Roberts L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 30, 2025 205   UMKC L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 302   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 06, 2025 274   South Dakota L 79-80 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 201   St. Thomas L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 263   @ North Dakota L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 225   Oral Roberts L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 27, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 69-78 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 178   South Dakota St. L 74-79 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.7 0.9 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 6.0 5.3 1.2 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.0 7.0 5.1 1.1 0.0 18.4 8th
9th 1.7 4.7 7.2 6.5 3.4 0.7 0.1 24.2 9th
Total 1.7 4.8 8.3 10.8 12.8 13.2 12.3 10.9 8.8 6.6 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 97.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 82.0% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 52.7% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 24.5% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 75.0% 75.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 29.4% 29.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 23.5% 23.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.8% 26.8% 26.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-4 1.5% 19.5% 19.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2
11-5 2.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.3
10-6 4.5% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.0
9-7 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.2
8-8 8.8% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.4
7-9 10.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.6
6-10 12.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.1
5-11 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.7
3-13 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
2-14 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
1-15 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%