IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.8	#335
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.7	#201
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#330

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.7%	21.1%	10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	30.4%	65.6%	29.9%
.500 or above in Conference	62.6%	83.9%	62.3%
Conference Champion	12.4%	28.5%	12.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.6%	1.9%	7.7%

First Four	9.6%	14.1%	9.5%
First Round	5.1%	12.8%	5.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 12	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	56	@ Syracuse	L	64-87	2%
Nov 06, 2024	239	Cal St. Northridge	L	73-77	36%
Nov 13, 2024	1	@ Connecticut	L	51-85	0.1%
Nov 16, 2024	120	@ St. Bonaventure	L	60-76	7%
Nov 22, 2024	323	Tennessee Martin	L	76-77	45%
Nov 23, 2024	219	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	65-76	17%
Nov 25, 2024	284	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	71-79	25%
Nov 29, 2024	331	@ Manhattan	L	68-72	37%
Dec 03, 2024	321	Army	W	64-63	54%
Dec 07, 2024	318	Binghamton	W	70-69	53%
Dec 18, 2024	313	@ Dartmouth	L	63-69	32%
Dec 22, 2024	66	@ Notre Dame	L	55-77	3%
Dec 29, 2024	308	@ Niagara	L	67-73	30%
Jan 03, 2025	352	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	72-73	47%
Jan 10, 2025	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-74	64%
Jan 12, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	74-64	80%
Jan 18, 2025	332	@ Chicago St.	L	65-69	38%
Jan 20, 2025	356	Stonehill	W	72-66	70%
Jan 24, 2025	304	Central Connecticut St.	L	69-70	49%
Jan 30, 2025	347	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	75-77	44%
Feb 01, 2025	285	@ Wagner	L	57-65	25%
Feb 06, 2025	354	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	68-69	50%
Feb 08, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	71-67	63%
Feb 13, 2025	285	Wagner	L	60-62	44%
Feb 15, 2025	332	Chicago St.	W	68-66	58%
Feb 20, 2025	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	71-65	68%
Feb 22, 2025	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	75-70	66%
Feb 27, 2025	304	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	66-72	30%
Mar 01, 2025	356	@ Stonehill	W	70-69	51%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.4	3.0	3.7	2.6	1.1	0.3		12.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	3.1	5.1	3.8	1.2	0.2				14.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.4	5.9	2.9	0.5	0.0					14.5	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	4.7	6.0	2.2	0.2	0.0						13.9	4th
5th						0.0	1.0	4.5	5.4	1.7	0.1								12.7	5th
6th					0.0	1.0	4.0	4.7	1.4	0.1									11.1	6th
7th				0.1	1.2	3.7	3.5	1.0	0.1										9.6	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.4	2.7	2.3	0.6	0.0											7.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0												4.4	9th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.9	4.9	7.3	9.1	11.2	12.3	12.7	11.5	9.7	7.3	4.9	2.8	1.1	0.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.1		1.1	0.0
14-2	93.8%	2.6		2.2	0.4	0.0
13-3	75.0%	3.7		2.4	1.2	0.1
12-4	41.5%	3.0		1.4	1.3	0.3	0.0
11-5	14.5%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	12.4%	12.4		7.7	3.6	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		59.4%	59.4%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
15-1	1.1%		44.7%	44.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6
14-2	2.8%		39.1%	39.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.0	1.7
13-3	4.9%		31.6%	31.6%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.5	3.4
12-4	7.3%		24.5%	24.5%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.7	5.5
11-5	9.7%		17.0%	17.0%		16.0																0.0	1.6	8.1
10-6	11.5%		12.1%	12.1%		16.0																0.0	1.4	10.1
9-7	12.7%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																	1.1	11.6
8-8	12.3%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.7	11.7
7-9	11.2%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.5	10.7
6-10	9.1%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
5-11	7.3%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
4-12	4.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
3-13	2.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
2-14	1.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	10.3	89.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%