Preseason Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#156
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#118
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#141
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 11.6% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 65.7% 77.1% 53.8%
.500 or above in Conference 69.9% 76.6% 62.8%
Conference Champion 12.0% 15.3% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.0% 4.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round8.9% 11.6% 6.2%
Second Round1.5% 2.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 411 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   Kent St. W 71-70 51%    
  Nov 13, 2024 3   @ Houston L 55-76 2%    
  Nov 19, 2024 211   Rice W 74-68 70%    
  Nov 22, 2024 110   Liberty L 67-70 38%    
  Nov 30, 2024 215   Nicholls St. W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 07, 2024 108   Louisiana Tech L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 11, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 74-64 80%    
  Dec 14, 2024 283   Lamar W 77-68 79%    
  Dec 18, 2024 139   Appalachian St. W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 22, 2024 99   McNeese St. L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 02, 2025 291   @ Coastal Carolina W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 204   @ Georgia St. L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 09, 2025 227   Old Dominion W 77-70 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 296   Louisiana Monroe W 76-66 80%    
  Jan 16, 2025 134   @ Arkansas St. L 72-77 35%    
  Jan 18, 2025 296   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 22, 2025 185   Texas St. W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 236   Southern Miss W 75-68 71%    
  Jan 30, 2025 185   @ Texas St. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 223   South Alabama W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 05, 2025 209   @ Georgia Southern L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 129   Troy W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 194   Marshall W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 20, 2025 129   @ Troy L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 236   @ Southern Miss W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 26, 2025 134   Arkansas St. W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 223   @ South Alabama W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 3.5 2.8 1.3 0.4 12.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.8 3.8 3.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.8 0.9 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.6 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.1 0.3 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.5 0.8 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.8 5.5 7.2 9.2 10.0 11.0 11.3 10.6 9.4 7.3 5.3 3.2 1.4 0.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-1 97.7% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 86.3% 2.8    2.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 65.1% 3.5    2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.4% 2.7    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.0% 12.0 7.1 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 60.5% 45.8% 14.6% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.0%
17-1 1.4% 46.3% 42.6% 3.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 6.4%
16-2 3.2% 34.8% 34.0% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 1.3%
15-3 5.3% 26.9% 26.8% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.9 0.2%
14-4 7.3% 20.1% 20.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.9
13-5 9.4% 15.3% 15.3% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.9
12-6 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.5
11-7 11.3% 7.2% 7.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.5
10-8 11.0% 3.3% 3.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.6
9-9 10.0% 1.8% 1.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.9
8-10 9.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1
7-11 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 7.2
6-12 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.5
5-13 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 8.9% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 91.0 0.2%