Preseason Rankings
Oregon St.
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#123
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.6#316
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#141
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#128
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.5% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.3 10.3 11.3
.500 or above 65.3% 69.8% 39.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 60.9% 42.7%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.4% 5.2%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
First Round3.7% 4.0% 1.6%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 47 - 11
Quad 410 - 216 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 276   Utah Tech W 76-65 85%    
  Nov 08, 2024 179   Weber St. W 70-64 72%    
  Nov 15, 2024 244   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-60 80%    
  Nov 21, 2024 34   Oregon L 66-72 31%    
  Nov 25, 2024 86   @ North Texas L 58-65 26%    
  Nov 30, 2024 191   UC Davis W 70-63 72%    
  Dec 07, 2024 279   Idaho W 71-60 84%    
  Dec 14, 2024 103   UC Irvine W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 17, 2024 300   Sacramento St. W 70-57 86%    
  Dec 22, 2024 117   College of Charleston L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 30, 2024 271   Portland W 76-65 83%    
  Jan 02, 2025 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-68 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 282   San Diego W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 09, 2025 98   @ Santa Clara L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 314   @ Pacific W 74-66 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 6   Gonzaga L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 82   @ San Francisco L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 23, 2025 217   Pepperdine W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 98   Santa Clara L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 28, 2025 6   @ Gonzaga L 64-81 7%    
  Feb 06, 2025 91   Washington St. L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 59-65 33%    
  Feb 13, 2025 271   @ Portland W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   Pacific W 77-63 87%    
  Feb 20, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   @ San Diego W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 82   San Francisco L 67-69 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 56-68 17%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.3 0.9 0.1 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 3.0 0.8 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 6.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.9 2.1 0.2 15.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.7 1.4 0.1 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.2 3.2 0.9 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.5 7.9 10.4 12.4 13.2 12.6 11.1 8.7 6.1 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 81.1% 0.6    0.5 0.2
15-3 46.4% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1
14-4 15.9% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 46.8% 53.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 87.5% 37.0% 50.6% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.2%
16-2 0.8% 69.9% 30.9% 39.1% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 56.5%
15-3 1.8% 43.0% 18.3% 24.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 30.2%
14-4 3.7% 23.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.8 13.0%
13-5 6.1% 11.2% 8.0% 3.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.4 3.4%
12-6 8.7% 5.1% 4.7% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.4%
11-7 11.1% 2.6% 2.5% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.1%
10-8 12.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.0%
9-9 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
8-10 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
7-11 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 10.4
6-12 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.0% 2.5% 1.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 96.0 1.6%