Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#217
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#180
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 11.0
.500 or above 23.6% 28.7% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 22.3% 25.4% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 12.0% 20.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 74.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 33 - 54 - 15
Quad 48 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 294   Western Illinois W 70-63 74%    
  Nov 09, 2024 162   @ UC San Diego L 67-73 29%    
  Nov 16, 2024 103   @ UC Irvine L 66-77 16%    
  Nov 20, 2024 95   @ UNLV L 63-75 14%    
  Nov 22, 2024 60   @ Northwestern L 60-75 10%    
  Nov 26, 2024 244   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-66 64%    
  Nov 29, 2024 161   New Mexico St. L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 07, 2024 273   Grambling St. W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 14, 2024 286   Northern Arizona W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 19, 2024 245   Long Beach St. W 78-74 64%    
  Dec 21, 2024 191   UC Davis W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 28, 2024 98   @ Santa Clara L 68-80 16%    
  Dec 30, 2024 6   Gonzaga L 67-84 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 57-74 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 314   @ Pacific W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 141   Loyola Marymount L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 16, 2025 82   San Francisco L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 18, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 60-71 18%    
  Jan 23, 2025 123   @ Oregon St. L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 314   Pacific W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 30, 2025 282   @ San Diego L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 271   Portland W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 91   @ Washington St. L 62-74 16%    
  Feb 13, 2025 282   San Diego W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 6   @ Gonzaga L 64-87 3%    
  Feb 20, 2025 123   Oregon St. L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 271   @ Portland L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 91   Washington St. L 65-71 30%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 5.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.8 1.2 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 6.1 4.4 1.1 0.1 14.5 7th
8th 0.6 4.3 7.4 4.5 1.0 0.1 17.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 17.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 13.3 10th
11th 0.6 2.0 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 8.7 11th
Total 0.6 2.2 4.7 8.0 11.1 13.6 13.8 12.8 11.0 8.6 6.0 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 88.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 59.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 45.0% 45.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.0%
16-2 0.0% 70.6% 30.6% 40.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.6%
15-3 0.1% 24.3% 13.5% 10.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.4%
14-4 0.5% 19.3% 13.8% 5.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.4%
13-5 1.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7%
12-6 2.2% 1.7% 1.5% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.2%
11-7 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 0.0%
10-8 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
9-9 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
8-10 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 12.8% 12.8
6-12 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 11.1% 11.1
3-15 8.0% 8.0
2-16 4.7% 4.7
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%