Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#52
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.9#285
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#47
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#64
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 2.5% 2.6% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 7.9% 8.2% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 15.2% 15.8% 3.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.5% 41.7% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.1% 39.3% 15.4%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.3
.500 or above 69.6% 71.2% 36.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 56.3% 31.9%
Conference Champion 3.8% 3.9% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 4.0% 11.7%
First Four5.0% 5.1% 3.2%
First Round37.9% 39.0% 14.8%
Second Round22.5% 23.3% 7.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.4% 9.8% 2.2%
Elite Eight3.9% 4.0% 0.8%
Final Four1.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 95.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 25 - 48 - 12
Quad 35 - 213 - 13
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 269   Radford W 75-57 95%    
  Nov 08, 2024 136   Murray St. W 73-62 85%    
  Nov 11, 2024 246   Gardner-Webb W 79-62 93%    
  Nov 15, 2024 65   West Virginia W 73-69 64%    
  Nov 18, 2024 361   VMI W 90-62 99%    
  Nov 22, 2024 54   LSU W 73-72 50%    
  Nov 29, 2024 31   @ Ohio St. L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 04, 2024 33   @ Mississippi St. L 67-72 34%    
  Dec 07, 2024 74   @ Virginia Tech L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 11, 2024 255   Eastern Kentucky W 81-64 94%    
  Dec 21, 2024 119   Sam Houston St. W 74-64 79%    
  Jan 01, 2025 109   California W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 04, 2025 93   Stanford W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 07, 2025 4   @ Duke L 63-75 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 50   Louisville W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 15, 2025 83   @ Florida St. L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 43   Clemson W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 56   @ Syracuse L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 7   North Carolina L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 01, 2025 41   @ Wake Forest L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 03, 2025 57   Virginia W 62-59 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 7   @ North Carolina L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 11, 2025 78   @ SMU L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 36   Miami (FL) W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 18, 2025 56   Syracuse W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 66   @ Notre Dame L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 80   Georgia Tech W 73-68 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 05, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 114   Boston College W 74-65 77%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.2 0.9 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.6 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 3.6 0.9 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.8 0.1 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.2 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.5 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 4.6 6.2 8.1 9.6 10.6 10.7 10.3 9.6 7.9 6.3 4.6 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
18-2 87.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
17-3 66.1% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
16-4 34.0% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 13.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 41.0% 59.0% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 43.6% 56.4% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.6% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 2.8 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.0% 99.8% 18.2% 81.6% 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 4.6% 99.3% 14.0% 85.3% 5.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 6.3% 96.4% 9.5% 86.9% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.0%
13-7 7.9% 88.0% 6.5% 81.5% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 87.1%
12-8 9.6% 72.5% 3.6% 68.8% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.7 71.4%
11-9 10.3% 54.0% 2.0% 52.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 53.1%
10-10 10.7% 30.7% 0.8% 29.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.4 30.1%
9-11 10.6% 10.3% 0.4% 10.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.5 10.0%
8-12 9.6% 2.5% 0.3% 2.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3 2.3%
7-13 8.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.2%
6-14 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 6.2
5-15 4.6% 4.6
4-16 3.0% 3.0
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 40.5% 3.8% 36.7% 7.3 0.9 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 59.5 38.1%