Preseason Rankings
Utah
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#77
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#57
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#86
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#72
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 6.4% 6.6% 1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.0% 23.6% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.4% 22.9% 6.2%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 8.5
.500 or above 56.6% 57.7% 24.4%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 26.7% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.2% 15.7% 32.1%
First Four3.4% 3.5% 1.6%
First Round21.2% 21.7% 5.8%
Second Round11.9% 12.1% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 4.5% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 32 - 19 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 324   Alcorn St. W 84-64 97%    
  Nov 07, 2024 341   Central Arkansas W 86-64 98%    
  Nov 12, 2024 289   Queens W 89-72 94%    
  Nov 17, 2024 33   Mississippi St. L 71-75 36%    
  Nov 22, 2024 276   Utah Tech W 84-68 92%    
  Nov 26, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 82-52 99.6%   
  Nov 30, 2024 262   Eastern Washington W 86-71 91%    
  Dec 07, 2024 35   St. Mary's L 66-67 48%    
  Dec 14, 2024 269   Radford W 77-61 91%    
  Dec 17, 2024 353   Florida A&M W 84-60 98%    
  Dec 21, 2024 45   Iowa L 80-83 40%    
  Dec 31, 2024 9   @ Baylor L 67-79 16%    
  Jan 04, 2025 21   Texas Tech L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 07, 2025 8   @ Iowa St. L 65-77 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 87   Oklahoma St. W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 53   @ TCU L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 32   BYU L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 21, 2025 3   @ Houston L 61-75 12%    
  Jan 25, 2025 9   Baylor L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 28, 2025 27   Cincinnati L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-74 42%    
  Feb 05, 2025 79   Colorado W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 65   @ West Virginia L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 11, 2025 27   @ Cincinnati L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 2   Kansas L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 17, 2025 39   Kansas St. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 23, 2025 71   @ Central Florida L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 11   @ Arizona L 74-86 17%    
  Mar 01, 2025 73   Arizona St. W 76-73 59%    
  Mar 04, 2025 65   West Virginia W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 32   @ BYU L 73-80 28%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.1 1.5 0.1 9.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.3 15th
16th 0.5 1.7 2.8 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 16th
Total 0.5 1.8 3.6 6.2 8.4 10.2 11.3 11.3 10.8 9.6 7.9 6.2 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 63.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 36.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 9.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 43.5% 56.5% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 3.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.3% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.1% 99.0% 6.8% 92.3% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
13-7 3.2% 96.1% 3.3% 92.8% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.0%
12-8 4.5% 88.4% 2.6% 85.8% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 88.1%
11-9 6.2% 73.3% 1.1% 72.2% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.7 73.0%
10-10 7.9% 50.8% 0.4% 50.5% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 50.6%
9-11 9.6% 22.7% 0.4% 22.3% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.4 22.4%
8-12 10.8% 7.3% 0.2% 7.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 10.0 7.1%
7-13 11.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.9%
6-14 11.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.1%
5-15 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.2
4-16 8.4% 8.4
3-17 6.2% 6.2
2-18 3.6% 3.6
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 23.0% 0.8% 22.2% 7.9 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 77.0 22.4%