Preseason Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#151
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.5#170
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#242
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#100
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 11.1% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 56.2% 67.0% 39.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.1% 66.6% 49.9%
Conference Champion 10.1% 12.7% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 5.9% 12.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round9.0% 11.0% 5.9%
Second Round1.5% 2.0% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 49 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 152   UTEP W 71-68 61%    
  Nov 14, 2024 263   @ North Dakota W 70-68 58%    
  Nov 22, 2024 136   @ Murray St. L 64-68 36%    
  Nov 26, 2024 351   West Georgia W 76-63 88%    
  Nov 27, 2024 138   @ Samford L 75-79 36%    
  Nov 28, 2024 234   North Dakota St. W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 03, 2024 93   @ Stanford L 67-76 23%    
  Dec 07, 2024 107   @ James Madison L 67-74 28%    
  Dec 11, 2024 263   North Dakota W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 14, 2024 202   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-66 48%    
  Dec 18, 2024 315   @ Idaho St. W 68-62 69%    
  Dec 21, 2024 179   @ Weber St. L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 184   Abilene Christian W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 09, 2025 69   Grand Canyon L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 163   California Baptist W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 16, 2025 145   @ Texas Arlington L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 276   Utah Tech W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 23, 2025 163   @ California Baptist L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 127   @ Seattle L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 69   @ Grand Canyon L 65-76 19%    
  Feb 06, 2025 145   Texas Arlington W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   Tarleton St. W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 218   @ Southern Utah W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 20, 2025 276   @ Utah Tech W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 127   Seattle W 67-66 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 218   Southern Utah W 75-69 70%    
  Mar 06, 2025 184   @ Abilene Christian L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 221   @ Tarleton St. W 68-67 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.9 2.2 1.0 0.2 10.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.0 3.9 1.4 0.2 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.7 1.9 0.2 14.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.4 1.1 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.3 7.6 10.0 11.3 12.7 12.5 10.7 9.1 7.0 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 90.7% 2.2    1.8 0.4
13-3 66.7% 2.9    1.8 1.1 0.1
12-4 36.0% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
11-5 10.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 6.0 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 66.6% 52.6% 14.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 29.5%
15-1 1.0% 55.5% 49.9% 5.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11.2%
14-2 2.4% 42.8% 41.6% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 2.1%
13-3 4.4% 32.4% 32.1% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.4%
12-4 7.0% 24.9% 24.9% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.2 0.0%
11-5 9.1% 17.4% 17.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.5 0.0%
10-6 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 9.6
9-7 12.5% 6.4% 6.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 11.7
8-8 12.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.3
7-9 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
6-10 10.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
5-11 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 7.5
4-12 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-13 3.3% 3.3
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.2% 9.0% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.5 2.0 1.3 0.5 90.9 0.2%