IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.6	#74
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#166
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.6	#58

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.0	#91

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.2%	1.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	4.2%	4.3%	0.5%
Top 6 Seed	9.0%	9.2%	1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	29.2%	29.7%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	27.7%	28.1%	7.1%
Average Seed	7.8	7.8	8.7

.500 or above	62.4%	63.2%	25.6%
.500 or above in Conference	43.3%	43.8%	19.0%
Conference Champion	2.3%	2.3%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.7%	8.4%	20.8%

First Four	4.6%	4.7%	1.8%
First Round	26.6%	27.1%	6.3%
Second Round	14.6%	14.9%	3.4%
Sweet Sixteen	5.5%	5.6%	1.0%
Elite Eight	2.1%	2.2%	0.2%
Final Four	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 97.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 2	5 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 2	12 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	340	Delaware St.	W	82-60	98%
Nov 08, 2024	330	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-60	97%
Nov 11, 2024	189	Winthrop	W	79-67	86%
Nov 15, 2024	67	Penn St.	L	74-75	47%
Nov 20, 2024	222	Jacksonville	W	76-62	89%
Nov 25, 2024	30	Michigan	L	71-75	36%
Dec 04, 2024	89	Vanderbilt	W	74-70	63%
Dec 07, 2024	52	Pittsburgh	W	71-70	54%
Dec 12, 2024	312	N.C. A&T	W	82-63	95%
Dec 15, 2024	258	Navy	W	76-61	91%
Dec 21, 2024	90	Saint Joseph's	W	74-73	53%
Dec 31, 2024	4	@ Duke	L	64-78	12%
Jan 04, 2025	36	Miami (FL)	L	74-75	49%
Jan 08, 2025	93	@ Stanford	L	74-76	45%
Jan 11, 2025	109	@ California	W	74-73	53%
Jan 15, 2025	49	North Carolina St.	W	73-72	53%
Jan 18, 2025	41	Wake Forest	L	74-75	50%
Jan 22, 2025	80	@ Georgia Tech	L	71-74	41%
Jan 25, 2025	43	Clemson	W	72-71	51%
Jan 29, 2025	83	@ Florida St.	L	74-77	42%
Feb 01, 2025	57	@ Virginia	L	59-64	36%
Feb 05, 2025	78	SMU	W	75-72	60%
Feb 08, 2025	66	@ Notre Dame	L	65-69	38%
Feb 15, 2025	57	Virginia	W	62-61	55%
Feb 18, 2025	114	@ Boston College	W	72-71	54%
Feb 22, 2025	36	@ Miami (FL)	L	72-78	30%
Feb 25, 2025	50	Louisville	W	76-75	53%
Mar 01, 2025	56	Syracuse	W	77-76	54%
Mar 04, 2025	7	North Carolina	L	73-79	32%
Mar 08, 2025	43	@ Clemson	L	68-74	32%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.4	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			3.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.1	1.8	1.1	0.3	0.0					4.5	3rd
4th												0.1	0.9	2.2	1.3	0.2	0.0						4.7	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	2.3	1.9	0.4	0.0							5.2	5th
6th											0.2	2.0	2.7	0.6	0.0								5.5	6th
7th										0.1	1.2	3.1	1.1	0.1	0.0								5.6	7th
8th									0.0	0.6	2.9	2.2	0.3	0.0									6.0	8th
9th									0.1	2.0	3.1	0.7	0.0										6.0	9th
10th								0.0	0.8	3.4	1.8	0.1	0.0										6.1	10th
11th							0.0	0.3	2.7	2.9	0.4	0.0											6.5	11th
12th							0.1	1.6	3.5	1.2	0.0												6.4	12th
13th						0.0	0.9	3.1	2.1	0.2													6.4	13th
14th					0.0	0.5	2.5	3.0	0.6	0.0													6.7	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	1.8	3.3	1.2	0.1														6.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	1.6	0.3	0.0													6.4	16th
17th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.0														6.0	17th
18th	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0															5.1	18th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.3	5.0	6.8	8.8	9.6	10.1	10.3	9.8	8.9	7.5	6.0	4.4	3.1	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	98.5%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	85.8%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
17-3	62.3%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
16-4	31.5%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	11.7%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	68.6%	31.4%	1.0		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	37.1%	62.9%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.5%		100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	1.1%		100.0%	17.2%	82.7%	3.2		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0		99.9%
16-4	1.9%		99.2%	17.3%	81.9%	4.3		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.0%
15-5	3.1%		98.2%	11.3%	86.9%	5.5		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		98.0%
14-6	4.4%		93.8%	7.7%	86.1%	6.9			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.1						0.3		93.3%
13-7	6.0%		85.8%	4.6%	81.2%	8.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.0					0.9		85.1%
12-8	7.5%		67.7%	2.3%	65.4%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.1	0.0				2.4		66.9%
11-9	8.9%		48.2%	1.2%	47.0%	9.8				0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.2	1.4	0.2					4.6		47.5%
10-10	9.8%		27.8%	0.6%	27.2%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	0.2	0.0				7.1		27.3%
9-11	10.3%		9.2%	0.4%	8.8%	10.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				9.4		8.9%
8-12	10.1%		1.9%	0.2%	1.7%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					9.9		1.7%
7-13	9.6%		0.6%	0.1%	0.5%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0					9.5		0.5%
6-14	8.8%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					8.8
5-15	6.8%																							6.8
4-16	5.0%																							5.0
3-17	3.3%																							3.3
2-18	1.8%																							1.8
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		29.2%	2.1%	27.1%	7.8		0.4	0.8	1.3	1.7	2.0	2.8	2.8	3.5	4.0	4.4	4.7	0.8	0.0				70.8		27.7%