Preseason Rankings
Wofford
Southern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#153
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.6#292
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#112
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.0% 19.2% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 68.7% 82.3% 59.4%
.500 or above in Conference 77.7% 84.9% 72.9%
Conference Champion 18.7% 24.9% 14.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round14.7% 19.1% 11.8%
Second Round1.9% 2.8% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Away) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 9
Quad 413 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 158   @ Lipscomb L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 13, 2024 303   @ Presbyterian W 73-68 67%    
  Nov 16, 2024 4   @ Duke L 60-81 3%    
  Nov 22, 2024 201   St. Thomas W 68-65 59%    
  Nov 23, 2024 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 47%    
  Nov 24, 2024 257   Portland St. W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 01, 2024 231   North Alabama W 76-69 72%    
  Dec 04, 2024 246   Gardner-Webb W 76-68 74%    
  Dec 07, 2024 288   @ Elon W 74-70 63%    
  Dec 16, 2024 117   @ College of Charleston L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 18, 2024 94   @ Saint Louis L 71-80 23%    
  Jan 01, 2025 188   UNC Greensboro W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 170   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 08, 2025 238   Western Carolina W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 165   @ Furman L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 15, 2025 147   @ Chattanooga L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 208   Mercer W 72-66 68%    
  Jan 22, 2025 325   The Citadel W 75-62 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 138   @ Samford L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 361   VMI W 87-68 95%    
  Feb 01, 2025 188   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 147   Chattanooga W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 208   @ Mercer L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 12, 2025 325   @ The Citadel W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 138   Samford W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 361   @ VMI W 84-71 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 170   East Tennessee St. W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 26, 2025 238   @ Western Carolina W 71-70 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 165   Furman W 75-72 62%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.7 5.1 3.8 2.0 0.5 18.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.7 3.9 1.3 0.2 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.3 5.5 1.8 0.2 12.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.5 1.4 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 3.7 1.1 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.8 5.7 8.0 9.8 10.9 12.2 12.2 10.7 9.1 6.4 4.0 2.0 0.5 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
16-2 96.1% 3.8    3.4 0.4 0.0
15-3 79.4% 5.1    3.6 1.4 0.1
14-4 52.1% 4.7    2.3 2.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 20.7% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.7% 18.7 12.3 4.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 68.5% 63.0% 5.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 15.0%
17-1 2.0% 57.0% 55.8% 1.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.9%
16-2 4.0% 43.4% 43.1% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 0.6%
15-3 6.4% 35.6% 35.5% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.1 0.0%
14-4 9.1% 27.8% 27.8% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.5
13-5 10.7% 21.0% 21.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 8.5
12-6 12.2% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 10.4
11-7 12.2% 10.5% 10.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 11.0
10-8 10.9% 7.4% 7.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 10.1
9-9 9.8% 5.5% 5.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.2
8-10 8.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.7
7-11 5.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.7
6-12 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.0% 15.0% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 3.9 3.8 2.8 1.4 85.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.3 17.2 34.5 31.0 17.2