Preseason Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#113
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.1#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.1% 26.1% 15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 13.2
.500 or above 75.7% 80.7% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.2% 84.6% 72.0%
Conference Champion 30.1% 32.6% 19.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.4% 5.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round23.9% 25.9% 15.6%
Second Round5.0% 5.6% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.7% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 80.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 36 - 47 - 9
Quad 48 - 216 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 212   Quinnipiac W 75-66 80%    
  Nov 08, 2024 203   @ Illinois-Chicago W 69-67 59%    
  Nov 11, 2024 12   @ Purdue L 61-76 9%    
  Nov 16, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 64-71 26%    
  Nov 20, 2024 260   @ Stony Brook W 70-65 68%    
  Nov 23, 2024 237   Fairfield W 72-65 73%    
  Nov 24, 2024 187   Delaware W 69-65 65%    
  Dec 02, 2024 142   @ Rhode Island L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 07, 2024 111   Vermont W 64-61 59%    
  Dec 20, 2024 131   Akron W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 01, 2025 249   Howard W 75-64 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 181   Brown W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 230   @ Columbia W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 20, 2025 313   Dartmouth W 71-56 89%    
  Jan 25, 2025 182   Harvard W 70-63 72%    
  Jan 31, 2025 104   @ Princeton L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 166   @ Penn W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 172   @ Cornell W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 14, 2025 166   Penn W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 14, 2025 104   Princeton W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 21, 2025 172   Cornell W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 230   Columbia W 75-65 79%    
  Feb 28, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 68-59 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 182   @ Harvard W 67-66 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 181   @ Brown W 68-67 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.4 8.3 8.9 5.5 1.8 30.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 7.0 8.5 4.3 0.9 22.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.6 5.8 1.6 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.3 4.2 0.7 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.0 0.4 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.9 0.2 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.0 7.6 10.4 12.9 14.6 14.5 12.7 9.8 5.5 1.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.8    1.8
13-1 100.0% 5.5    5.2 0.2
12-2 91.3% 8.9    7.2 1.7 0.0
11-3 65.3% 8.3    4.6 3.3 0.4
10-4 30.5% 4.4    1.4 2.1 0.8 0.1
9-5 7.3% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 30.1% 30.1 20.3 7.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.8% 77.9% 65.8% 12.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 35.3%
13-1 5.5% 59.5% 54.4% 5.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 11.0%
12-2 9.8% 47.7% 46.2% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.1 2.8%
11-3 12.7% 36.9% 36.8% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.0 0.3%
10-4 14.5% 29.7% 29.7% 13.0 0.1 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 10.2
9-5 14.6% 23.1% 23.1% 13.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 11.2
8-6 12.9% 14.9% 14.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 11.0
7-7 10.4% 4.2% 4.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.9
6-8 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-9 5.0% 5.0
4-10 3.0% 3.0
3-11 1.5% 1.5
2-12 0.6% 0.6
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 24.1% 23.4% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.6 7.5 6.4 3.4 1.7 0.5 75.9 0.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.4 13.4 6.1 30.5 30.5 19.5