Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.6 244
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 195
Pace 61.4 349
Improvement +1.4 128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #132 C+ D+ C+ B+ B-
Defense D #331 D+ D+ D- D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 108 56% 221 +0.9 145
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 234 40% 105 -0.7 218
Three Pointers 41% 184 35% 119 +0.9 150
1st FG Attempt 1.04 140 +1.0 141
Second Chance 24.3% 336 1.07 117 0.26 295
Turnovers 16.1% 127
Freethrows 0.35 44 74% 112 0.26 40
Total Offense +1.4 132

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 291 63% 303 +0.5 154
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 201 38% 166 +0.4 154
Three Pointers 46% 57 36% 291 -4.1 332
1st FG Attempt 1.08 286 -3.2 287
Second Chance 30.0% 156 1.16 336 0.35 272
Turnovers 13.4% 341
Freethrows 0.33 268 72% 204 0.24 263
Total Defense -6.0 331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.6 106 -0.1 140
Shot Type Accuracy +0.4 156 +3.3 304
Possession Length 19.7 358 16.9 131
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 326 0.17 179
Improvement +2.9 #50 -1.5 #277

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 7% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 46% 60% 25%
.500 or above in Conference 94% 100% 86%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 2%
First Round6% 7% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 12 @Kansas L 51 - 94 2% -23  1% 0 - 1 F -21 D- -8 C- F B+ F -17 F A F
 Fri, Nov 7 202 @Buffalo L 76 - 83 31% -3  11% 0 - 2 D+ -7 B- +5 A F C F -12 D- F+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 123 @St. Thomas L 61 - 80 17% -19  0% 0 - 3 D- -14 F -13 D- D- F+ C -0 C- A D+
 Sat, Nov 15 71 @Minnesota L 65 - 72 OT 8% -1  30% 0 - 4 C+ +4 D- -6 D+ D D+ A +10 B A F
 Fri, Nov 21 81 Yale L 67 - 73 14% -6  4% 0 - 5 C +1 C- -1 F A+ B- C+ +1 B- C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 22 183 Massachusetts W 79 - 75 38% +4  76% 1 - 5 C+ +3 B +5 C+ D- A+ C- -3 A F F+
 Mon, Nov 24 247 Iona W 80 - 75 50% -0  49% 2 - 5 C +0 B +6 F+ A A+ D -6 C+ F+ F
 Thu, Dec 4 204 Robert Morris L 78 - 80 54% +1  47% 2 - 6 0 - 1 D+ -8 C+ +2 A- F C F+ -9 D- C D+
 Sun, Dec 7 150 @Wright St. L 58 - 86 22% -12  0% 2 - 7 0 - 2 F -24 F -15 F C- F F+ -10 C F F
 Thu, Dec 11 332 @IU Indianapolis W 85 - 75 63% +1  45% 3 - 7 1 - 2 C+ +2 C +0 C F C C+ +1 A F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 17 133 UC Santa Barbara W 67 - 64 37% +8  99% 4 - 7 C+ +2 B- +4 A F A C -1 D- D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 23 192 @Campbell L 79 - 102 30% -9  16% 4 - 8 F -22 B +6 A D+ D F -30 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 242 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 72 - 54 38% +10  99% 5 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 B- +5 C+ D B A+ +14 B C B
 Mon, Jan 5 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79 - 76 67% +8  82% 6 - 8 3 - 2 D+ -6 B +6 A+ F A- F -12 F A C+
 Fri, Jan 9 332 IU Indianapolis W 75 - 59 81% +9  76% 7 - 8 4 - 2 C+ +2 F -11 D F D- A +13 A+ B+ F+
 Sun, Jan 11 201 Northern Kentucky W 80 - 78 54% +13  99% 8 - 8 5 - 2 C- -4 A+ +15 A+ D A F -18 D B+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 299 @Cleveland St. W 88 - 73 51% +2  42% 9 - 8 6 - 2 B +10 A+ +19 A+ A- B D -6 D- B- F+
 Sun, Jan 18 143 Oakland L 63 - 88 40% -11  13% 9 - 9 6 - 3 F -27 F -11 D+ F D+ F -18 F F C
 Thu, Jan 22 205 @Youngstown St. L 81 - 88 32% -8  1% 9 - 10 6 - 4 D+ -7 A- +11 A F+ C+ F -18 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 204 @Robert Morris W 71 - 67 32% +5  89% 10 - 10 7 - 4 C+ +4 B- +4 C A C C+ +1 D+ B D+
 Fri, Jan 30 299 Cleveland St. L 82 - 89 73% -5  14% 10 - 11 7 - 5 F -18 C+ +3 C D+ B+ F -21 F F D
 Sun, Feb 1 150 Wright St. L 75 - 83 42% -9  0% 10 - 12 7 - 6 D -10 B- +5 C B- B- F -16 D C- F
 Wed, Feb 4 201 @Northern Kentucky W 87 - 84 OT 31% +3  70% 11 - 12 8 - 6 C+ +3 B +6 C- A+ D- C- -2 F+ A F
 Sat, Feb 7 271 Detroit Mercy W 76 - 63 67% +9  94% 12 - 12 9 - 6 C+ +4 C- -1 F B B B +6 C+ B B+
 Thu, Feb 12 242 Purdue Fort Wayne W 76 - 73 61%
 Sun, Feb 15 268 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74 - 76 44%
 Fri, Feb 20 143 @Oakland L 75 - 84 20%
 Sun, Feb 22 271 @Detroit Mercy L 75 - 76 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 205 Youngstown St. W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 14 - 15 11 - 9 -5 C+ +1 C+ D+ C+ D -6 D+ D+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C+ C+ C 41% 18% 41% B- C+ D- C+ D+ C+ B B- B+ D D C D D 35% 20% 46% C+ D+ C D- D+ D- D+ C D+
1.11 56% 40% 35% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 16% .35 74% .26 1.17 63% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.2 .35 13% .33 72% .26
Nov
3		 Kansas D- C+ F D C- 22% 22% 56% C- C- F F F B+ A+ D- A- F F F F F 37% 16% 47% D F C A+ A F F+ B- D-
0.79 55% 9% 29% -12 -1 0.76 17% 0.3 .05 12% .32 61% .19 1.46 84% 50% 42% +17 +1 1.37 32% 0.9 .29 5% .39 75% .29
Nov
7		 Buffalo B- A- A A A 38% 4% 58% B+ A F F F C A+ A- A+ F D C F+ D 49% 13% 38% F+ D- C- F F+ F F A F
1.18 71% 50% 42% +13 +2 1.31 15% 0.5 .08 17% .39 81% .32 1.29 63% 40% 40% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.3 .38 11% .72 66% .47
Nov
13		 St. Thomas F C- F F+ F+ 49% 14% 37% B D- F+ C- D- F+ C- F F+ C C- C+ D C- 45% 5% 50% D C- A+ A+ A D+ A+ F A
0.87 58% 14% 28% -7 +2 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 21% .25 57% .14 1.14 65% 33% 38% +6 +2 1.19 10% 0.7 .06 13% .16 90% .15
Nov
15		 Minnesota D- C F F+ D 41% 16% 43% A- D+ F+ C+ D D+ A+ F A A D- B+ A- B 35% 21% 44% B+ B B A+ A F F A+ F
0.91 57% 25% 27% -7 +1 0.90 19% 0.9 .16 20% .42 63% .26 1.01 71% 30% 29% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.7 .20 11% .61 51% .32
Nov
21		 Yale C- F A+ F F 29% 16% 56% C F B A+ A+ B- A+ F A C+ B F+ D C+ 41% 26% 33% B+ B- B+ F C+ C- D+ B C-
1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28 1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27
Nov
22		 Massachusetts B B C- F C+ 56% 19% 26% B C+ D+ F+ D- A+ A+ A A+ C- D- A A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% D A D+ F F F+ F F F
1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47 1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38
Nov
24		 Iona B F B C- F 42% 13% 45% B- F+ D A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D A A F+ C+ 38% 13% 48% D C+ F D F+ F F+ D- F+
1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32 1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23
Dec
4		 Robert Morris C+ C A+ C- A- 50% 16% 34% B- A- F F F C A+ B+ A+ F+ F D- C- F 25% 38% 38% A+ D- F+ A- C D+ F+ C+ D-
1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44 1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21
Dec
7		 Wright St. F D+ F F F 58% 16% 27% A- F F+ A+ C- F B+ C+ B+ F+ F A+ A+ C+ 39% 8% 53% F C C F F F F F F
0.86 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.87 23% 1.3 .30 27% .36 72% .26 1.27 80% 25% 22% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.9 .59 12% .42 80% .33
Dec
11		 IU Indianapolis C D B+ A C+ 36% 20% 43% F+ C F C F C A+ A A+ C+ B B- A+ A 28% 26% 46% B A B+ F F+ F+ F F F
1.16 56% 44% 42% +6 0 1.14 26% 1.3 .32 19% .53 84% .44 1.03 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.81 23% 1.8 .40 12% .41 77% .31
Dec
17		 UC Santa Barbara B- D- F A+ A- 49% 2% 49% A+ A F F F A A+ F C- C F C- C D 48% 12% 40% F D- A+ F D+ C+ A+ B+ A+
1.18 52% 0% 52% +10 +3 1.28 11% 0.3 .04 12% .46 52% .24 1.13 75% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 19% .15 71% .11
Dec
23		 Campbell B B+ A+ B- A+ 36% 39% 25% F A C+ F+ D+ D A+ F A- F D+ D- F F 43% 15% 43% C+ F F F F F F+ B+ D+
1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28 1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31
Jan
1		 Purdue Fort Wayne B- B- B- B- C+ 41% 12% 46% C+ C+ D D+ D B A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C B+ 28% 11% 62% C B A- F C B A- A+ A+
1.16 65% 40% 37% +5 +1 1.15 30% 1.0 .30 18% .49 92% .45 0.87 46% 20% 34% -5 0 0.94 15% 1.4 .21 18% .16 38% .06
Jan
5		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B A+ C C- A+ 60% 19% 21% B A+ F A- F A- A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F C+ A+ A C+ D- D D-
1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36 1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22
Jan
9		 IU Indianapolis F C- B D D- 49% 16% 36% C D F+ F F D- A- B+ A A A A A+ A+ 25% 23% 52% B- A+ A- C B+ F+ C+ C C+
1.04 59% 43% 31% 0 +1 1.04 29% 1.0 .29 22% .46 81% .37 0.82 47% 29% 23% -14 -1 0.72 21% 1.1 .23 12% .16 70% .11
Jan
11		 Northern Kentucky A+ A D- A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% B A+ B- F D A D D+ D F C+ B- F+ D- 41% 12% 47% D+ D B A- B+ F D- F F
1.33 71% 33% 53% +17 +1 1.39 36% 0.9 .32 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .24 5% .35 80% .28
Jan
15		 Cleveland St. A+ A A- A+ A+ 26% 13% 61% C- A+ F A+ A- B B- A+ A- D F D D F+ 24% 12% 63% C D- A+ F B- F+ F D+ F
1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28 1.19 70% 40% 38% +8 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36
Jan
18		 Oakland F A+ A- F D+ 28% 26% 47% D D+ F F F D+ B- A+ A- F F+ B F F 52% 26% 22% C+ F F C+ F C F A+ D
0.98 77% 50% 23% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.6 .16 17% .26 86% .23 1.38 67% 33% 50% +9 0 1.20 53% 1.1 .56 14% .47 62% .29
Jan
22		 Youngstown St. A- B- A A+ A- 53% 18% 29% B+ A D F F+ C+ C- A B- F D+ F F F 18% 11% 71% B+ F D F F F+ F F F
1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29 1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Robert Morris B- B B F C- 47% 15% 38% B- C D- A+ A C F C+ F C+ C- A+ F+ C- 30% 15% 54% C- D+ B+ C B D+ C+ A+ B
1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19 1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Cleveland St. C+ F C- A+ C- 40% 10% 50% B C D C+ D+ B+ B+ A A F B D F F 23% 23% 53% A F F F F D F D- F
1.25 40% 40% 48% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30 1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39
Feb
1		 Wright St. B- F+ C A+ C 48% 23% 30% C+ C C- A B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C D 33% 20% 47% B- D C- C C- F F F F
1.18 48% 40% 46% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.3 .37 16% .49 85% .41 1.31 80% 22% 33% +4 0 1.09 33% 1.1 .37 8% .48 89% .43
Feb
4		 Northern Kentucky B C- F B D+ 47% 13% 40% B+ C- B+ A+ A+ D- B B B+ C- C+ F D+ F+ 40% 9% 51% D F+ B+ A+ A F D A C
1.15 56% 29% 38% 0 +2 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 23% .38 73% .27 1.11 57% 80% 34% +4 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 11% .33 64% .21
Feb
7		 Detroit Mercy C- F F+ C+ F 50% 15% 35% B- F B B- B B B A+ A B A+ B F C 20% 39% 41% B+ C+ B- B B B+ D F+ F+
1.14 42% 29% 35% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.2 .43 12% .39 87% .34 0.95 33% 33% 42% -2 -4 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 20% .32 82% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.3 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 3.0 1.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.9 13.0 22.8 8.0 0.3 45.0 3rd
4th 5.1 15.4 3.2 0.0 23.8 4th
5th 0.5 9.9 4.9 0.2 15.5 5th
6th 2.3 4.2 0.2 6.7 6th
7th 2.4 0.5 2.9 7th
8th 0.4 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 5.6 20.6 33.5 27.5 11.2 1.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 15.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 1.7% 11.8% 11.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
13-7 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 15.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 10.0
12-8 27.5% 8.0% 8.0% 15.3 0.1 1.3 0.8 25.3
11-9 33.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.8 1.2 31.5
10-10 20.6% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.1 0.8 19.7
9-11 5.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.5
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.4 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.2 15.0 50.0 35.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 2.5%