Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
181 Norfolk St. 42.3%   16   6 - 6 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 3 -1.0      +0.3 158 -1.4 211 65.5 267 +0.4 164 0.0 1
247 South Carolina St. 18.2%   4 - 7 0 - 0 13 - 14 9 - 5 -4.8      -3.4 272 -1.4 212 70.4 143 -6.0 269 0.0 1
255 Howard 17.6%   3 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 14 9 - 5 -5.1      -0.6 185 -4.6 316 69.1 177 -6.0 270 0.0 1
276 NC Central 13.2%   3 - 9 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 6 -6.2      -1.8 225 -4.4 308 66.2 257 -6.8 281 0.0 1
326 Delaware St. 5.4%   4 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 14 7 - 7 -9.4      -5.2 322 -4.2 303 71.3 114 -4.8 244 0.0 1
348 Morgan St. 2.1%   2 - 8 0 - 0 7 - 19 5 - 9 -12.2      -4.4 295 -7.8 358 75.0 45 -15.2 351 0.0 1
359 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0%   0 - 11 0 - 0 4 - 22 4 - 10 -14.1      -6.9 347 -7.1 353 68.2 204 -17.4 357 0.0 1
363 Coppin St. 0.1%   0 - 12 0 - 0 3 - 25 3 - 11 -18.2      -12.6 363 -5.6 338 67.0 231 -18.8 361 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.7 59.1 21.9 10.8 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 2.9 21.1 24.6 21.6 16.2 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.3
Howard 2.9 21.6 24.8 21.2 15.8 10.0 4.6 1.7 0.3
NC Central 3.3 14.7 20.9 21.8 19.5 13.5 6.5 2.5 0.5
Delaware St. 4.3 6.1 10.9 15.1 19.5 22.4 15.6 8.1 2.4
Morgan St. 5.5 1.5 3.8 7.1 12.2 19.9 27.0 20.2 8.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.1 0.5 1.7 3.8 7.8 14.5 24.5 30.8 16.4
Coppin St. 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.8 11.9 26.6 54.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.8 12.0 18.2 21.6 19.8 12.5 4.4
South Carolina St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.8 7.5 12.5 16.4 18.9 16.8 12.1 6.8 2.6 0.5
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.9 7.5 12.1 16.2 18.5 17.1 12.6 6.8 2.6 0.6
NC Central 8 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.8 10.3 15.1 18.1 18.0 14.5 9.1 4.1 1.4 0.2
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.9 8.1 12.9 16.5 17.8 15.5 11.3 7.0 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
Morgan St. 5 - 9 0.3 2.0 5.9 11.1 16.7 19.0 17.1 12.8 8.0 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 10 1.0 4.9 11.5 16.9 19.9 17.8 12.9 8.2 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 7.9 19.2 23.9 21.1 14.2 8.2 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 59.1% 43.9 12.2 2.6 0.4 0.0
South Carolina St. 21.1% 12.1 6.7 1.9 0.3 0.0
Howard 21.6% 12.2 7.2 1.9 0.3 0.0
NC Central 14.7% 7.8 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.0
Delaware St. 6.1% 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 1.5% 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 42.3% 42.3% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 2.9 9.4 16.8 12.9 57.7 0.0%
South Carolina St. 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.8 14.8 81.8 0.0%
Howard 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 14.4 82.4 0.0%
NC Central 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 11.9 86.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.2 94.6 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 42.3% 4.6% 40.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 18.2% 10.1% 13.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 17.6% 10.4% 12.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 13.2% 9.5% 8.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.4% 4.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 78.6% 0.8 21.4 78.6
2nd Round 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0