Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
243 Norfolk St. 40.9%   16   3 - 9 0 - 0 14 - 13 11 - 3 -4.8      -4.6 294 -0.2 170 67.2 247 -6.0 252 0.0 1
265 Howard 34.8%   6 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 11 10 - 4 -5.7      -5.2 310 -0.5 178 71.4 130 -2.8 208 0.0 1
345 Maryland Eastern Shore 6.4%   2 - 13 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 7 -12.0      -7.4 344 -4.6 324 60.9 358 -13.0 338 0.0 1
346 Delaware St. 6.7%   2 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -12.1      -9.6 361 -2.5 253 68.8 201 -11.5 331 0.0 1
348 NC Central 6.7%   0 - 10 0 - 0 7 - 18 7 - 7 -12.3      -8.4 354 -3.9 304 67.2 245 -18.1 357 0.0 1
358 South Carolina St. 2.7%   0 - 13 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 8 -14.9      -8.1 349 -6.8 347 71.8 114 -18.9 358 0.0 1
360 Morgan St. 2.0%   1 - 11 0 - 0 6 - 20 5 - 9 -15.5      -6.7 338 -8.7 362 72.6 95 -19.7 361 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 14 0 - 0 5 - 25 3 - 11 -19.2      -10.8 364 -8.4 358 71.6 120 -15.5 347 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 265 Howard 67 120 UNC Wilmington 66   
Sat, Dec 20 298 Longwood 74 348 NC Central 72   
Sun, Dec 21 243 Norfolk St. 72 202 UTEP 71   
Sun, Dec 21 360 Morgan St. 64 95 San Francisco 94   
Mon, Dec 22 243 Norfolk St. 70 131 UC Irvine 89   
Mon, Dec 22 41 Texas 94 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 71   
Mon, Dec 22 90 South Carolina 95 358 South Carolina St. 70   
Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. 67 99 Georgetown 97   
Tue, Dec 23 123 Loyola Marymount 83 360 Morgan St. 56   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 314 Louisiana 63 243 Norfolk St. 64 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.7 54.8 27.6 10.3 4.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
Howard 2.0 45.3 31.2 13.0 6.0 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.1 6.1 12.8 21.0 20.1 16.9 12.2 7.6 3.2
Delaware St. 4.2 6.2 12.7 20.6 19.4 16.4 12.5 8.3 3.8
NC Central 4.2 6.4 12.4 19.8 18.8 16.5 13.0 8.7 4.4
South Carolina St. 5.3 1.7 5.1 10.9 15.4 18.3 19.7 18.1 10.8
Morgan St. 5.5 1.4 4.1 9.5 14.2 17.9 19.7 20.1 13.0
Coppin St. 6.8 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.8 9.0 14.6 24.8 43.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.6 7.6 12.9 18.5 21.5 18.6 11.6 3.6
Howard 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 5.3 9.9 15.0 18.5 20.3 16.1 8.7 2.4
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.9 12.3 16.4 18.2 16.3 12.1 7.7 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.9 7.7 12.3 16.0 17.3 16.0 12.3 7.3 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.0
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.3 8.2 12.4 16.2 16.9 15.3 11.6 7.3 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.0
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.7 5.0 10.0 15.3 18.3 17.3 14.5 9.2 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 5 - 9 0.4 2.2 6.1 11.8 16.3 18.4 16.9 13.1 8.2 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 3.1 11.0 18.3 21.4 18.6 13.5 8.0 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 54.8% 39.6 13.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
Howard 45.3% 31.2 12.1 1.7 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.1% 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 6.2% 2.9 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
NC Central 6.4% 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 1.4% 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 40.9% 40.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 1.1 4.1 35.4 59.1 0.0%
Howard 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 30.4 65.2 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 6.7 93.3 0.0%
NC Central 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 6.6 93.3 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 2.7 97.3 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 40.9% 26.9% 27.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 34.8% 22.3% 23.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.4% 6.3% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 6.7% 6.5% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 6.7% 6.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 60.1% 0.6 39.9 60.1
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0