Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
231 Norfolk St. 46.5%   16   1 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 12 11 - 3 -4.1      -5.3 316 +1.2 132 65.9 278 -7.2 276 0.0 1
315 Howard 19.7%   2 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 5 -8.5      -5.2 309 -3.3 281 73.0 99 -12.0 326 0.0 1
336 NC Central 9.7%   0 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 17 7 - 7 -11.0      -6.5 339 -4.5 325 67.2 251 -11.8 323 0.0 1
341 Maryland Eastern Shore 9.5%   2 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 19 7 - 7 -11.2      -8.6 357 -2.6 256 59.0 364 -9.5 302 0.0 1
352 South Carolina St. 5.8%   0 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 21 6 - 8 -12.6      -7.7 350 -4.8 332 72.5 104 -15.8 351 0.0 1
355 Delaware St. 5.0%   0 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 18 6 - 8 -13.5      -10.4 363 -3.1 271 69.2 193 -18.1 358 0.0 1
359 Morgan St. 3.7%   0 - 6 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 8 -14.2      -6.9 344 -7.2 355 74.3 68 -21.4 363 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 24 4 - 10 -17.0      -10.6 364 -6.4 350 70.9 148 -13.1 338 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 245 East Carolina 68 341 Maryland Eastern Shore 56   
Wed, Dec 3 169 James Madison 67 336 NC Central 62   
Wed, Dec 3 355 Delaware St. 59 198 Navy 66   
Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. 49 65 West Virginia 91   
Fri, Dec 5 218 Bethune-Cookman 80 352 South Carolina St. 59   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 169 James Madison 72 231 Norfolk St. 66 72%   
Sat, Dec 6 323 N.C. A&T 71 336 NC Central 73 55%   
Sat, Dec 6 250 American 70 341 Maryland Eastern Shore 61 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 287 Delaware 71 355 Delaware St. 67 64%   
Sat, Dec 6 289 Longwood 80 359 Morgan St. 76 66%   
Sat, Dec 6 364 Coppin St. 59 98 Liberty 84 98%   
Mon, Dec 8 288 Charleston Southern 79 352 South Carolina St. 70 79%   
Tue, Dec 9 315 Howard 76 323 N.C. A&T 75 53%   
Tue, Dec 9 121 DePaul 86 359 Morgan St. 66 96%   
Tue, Dec 9 23 Kentucky 88 336 NC Central 59 99%   
Tue, Dec 9 341 Maryland Eastern Shore 51 26 Virginia 79 99%   
Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. 63 184 Saint Joseph's 81 95%   
Wed, Dec 10 28 Baylor 83 231 Norfolk St. 63 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.7 62.8 19.9 8.5 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
Howard 2.9 23.5 26.7 18.4 12.2 8.7 5.7 3.3 1.5
NC Central 3.9 11.3 17.3 18.0 16.6 13.5 10.9 7.8 4.5
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.0 9.5 17.1 18.4 16.7 14.3 11.4 8.3 4.4
South Carolina St. 4.6 5.9 11.9 14.9 16.7 16.8 14.4 11.9 7.6
Delaware St. 5.0 4.2 9.3 12.6 14.6 15.7 16.1 15.4 12.2
Morgan St. 5.2 3.8 7.7 11.0 13.1 15.3 16.7 17.4 15.0
Coppin St. 6.4 0.7 2.3 4.9 7.5 11.6 16.3 23.7 32.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.3 7.2 12.1 17.0 19.5 18.3 13.1 5.2
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.1 8.8 12.5 15.6 17.0 14.9 11.5 6.6 2.9 0.7
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.0 10.5 13.8 15.7 16.2 13.4 9.1 5.5 2.6 0.7 0.2
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.1 11.1 14.7 16.2 15.7 13.3 9.1 4.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.8 10.3 14.2 16.2 16.6 13.9 9.4 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.4 1.8 4.6 9.1 12.2 15.5 15.9 14.6 11.2 7.7 4.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.6 2.6 6.0 10.3 14.1 16.0 15.5 13.1 10.0 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
Coppin St. 4 - 10 1.8 6.7 12.8 18.3 18.2 15.9 12.2 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 62.8% 49.3 11.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Howard 23.5% 14.6 7.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
NC Central 11.3% 6.0 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.5% 4.9 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 5.9% 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 4.2% 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 3.8% 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 46.5% 46.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.2 5.0 40.1 53.5 0.0%
Howard 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 19.5 80.3 0.0%
NC Central 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.1 9.7 90.3 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0 9.5 90.5 0.0%
South Carolina St. 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 5.8 94.2 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 5.0 95.0 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 3.7 96.3 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 46.5% 32.0% 31.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 19.7% 18.3% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 9.7% 9.4% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.5% 9.4% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 5.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 54.4% 0.5 45.6 54.4
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0