Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
265 Howard 39.0%   16   8 - 8 2 - 2 -5.8      -6.2 326 +0.4 155 71.0 122 -5.3 243 -11.4 3
291 Norfolk St. 27.5%   5 - 12 2 - 2 -7.4      -5.7 316 -1.8 233 67.3 227 -9.4 315 -11.5 4
330 Maryland Eastern Shore 16.4%   6 - 13 4 - 0 -10.6      -7.7 348 -2.9 265 61.9 348 -8.4 305 +5.5 1
346 NC Central 8.3%   3 - 12 3 - 1 -11.9      -6.0 323 -6.0 339 67.2 230 -12.8 341 -6.1 2
355 Delaware St. 3.7%   2 - 13 0 - 4 -14.1      -12.0 364 -2.0 241 69.0 173 -18.8 358 -32.8 8
359 South Carolina St. 2.8%   2 - 16 2 - 2 -15.3      -8.6 354 -6.7 346 71.8 98 -16.9 353 -12.1 5
360 Morgan St. 2.4%   3 - 13 2 - 2 -15.8      -7.3 342 -8.5 360 72.6 81 -16.0 352 -13.0 6
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   2 - 18 1 - 3 -19.7      -10.7 362 -9.0 362 70.2 149 -18.1 357 -19.4 7


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 24 359 South Carolina St. 67 330 Maryland Eastern Shore 69 57%   
Sat, Jan 24 355 Delaware St. 66 346 NC Central 71 69%   
Sat, Jan 24 265 Howard 81 360 Morgan St. 68 88%   
Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. 64 291 Norfolk St. 79 92%   
Mon, Jan 26 355 Delaware St. 69 359 South Carolina St. 71 57%   
Mon, Jan 26 360 Morgan St. 68 291 Norfolk St. 80 85%   
Mon, Jan 26 364 Coppin St. 66 265 Howard 77 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 1.9 45.7 28.7 16.3 6.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
Norfolk St. 2.4 30.0 27.6 25.2 11.6 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.0 44.7 26.6 15.4 9.1 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
NC Central 3.6 8.1 14.5 22.7 30.3 15.9 6.9 1.4 0.2
Delaware St. 6.6 0.1 0.3 1.4 4.4 12.8 20.3 35.3 25.4
South Carolina St. 4.9 1.5 4.7 9.9 19.6 28.3 22.8 10.3 2.9
Morgan St. 5.2 1.2 3.2 7.7 15.2 27.6 27.4 13.0 4.8
Coppin St. 7.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.0 6.4 14.6 32.3 44.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 10 - 4 16 - 11 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 5.3 12.4 21.6 27.3 22.4 8.9
Norfolk St. 9 - 5 12 - 15 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.8 9.6 18.7 25.7 24.0 13.2 3.7
Maryland Eastern Shore 10 - 4 12 - 17 0.0 0.7 2.6 7.3 14.0 20.9 21.6 18.3 10.4 3.7 0.6
NC Central 8 - 5 8 - 16 0.2 1.7 6.3 15.6 23.7 24.2 17.4 8.3 2.4 0.3
Delaware St. 4 - 9 6 - 18 1.1 5.5 13.2 21.0 23.8 18.5 11.4 4.4 1.0 0.2
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 6 - 22 0.8 4.3 12.1 21.1 23.6 19.6 11.9 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 7 - 19 1.3 7.0 15.2 22.6 23.5 17.1 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 4 - 26 8.7 22.3 28.1 21.7 12.2 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 45.7% 27.1 14.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 0.0
Norfolk St. 30.0% 15.7 10.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 44.7% 27.6 13.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0
NC Central 8.1% 2.8 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 1.5% 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 1.2% 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 39.0% 39.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.8 3.7 34.5 61.0 0.0%
Norfolk St. 27.5% 27.5% 0.0% 0.0 1.2 26.3 72.5 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 0.1 16.3 83.6 0.0%
NC Central 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0 8.3 91.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 3.7 96.3 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 2.8 97.2 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 2.4 97.7 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 54.1% 0.5 45.9 54.1
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 39.0% 25.0% 26.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 27.5% 23.7% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 16.4% 15.7% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 8.3% 8.2% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%