Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
249 Norfolk St. 37.7%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 4 -4.8      -2.5 242 -2.3 252 66.0 247 0.0 121 0.0 1
323 Howard 15.1%   0 - 1 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 6 -9.3      -4.0 294 -5.3 338 73.0 69 -3.0 301 0.0 1
324 South Carolina St. 11.9%   0 - 1 0 - 0 8 - 16 5 - 5 -9.3      -6.6 347 -2.7 269 73.2 64 +8.7 21 0.0 1
335 NC Central 12.6%   0 - 1 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -10.3      -4.2 303 -6.1 352 67.2 223 +4.7 70 0.0 1
339 Delaware St. 11.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 14 6 - 5 -10.4      -5.3 326 -5.1 331 74.1 56 0.0 121 0.0 1
353 Maryland Eastern Shore 6.2%   0 - 1 0 - 0 7 - 19 5 - 6 -12.4      -9.2 362 -3.1 286 65.6 261 -5.7 321 0.0 1
356 Morgan St. 5.6%   0 - 1 0 - 0 8 - 18 6 - 8 -13.3      -6.8 351 -6.5 355 74.7 41 -2.8 300 0.0 1
363 Coppin St. 0.0%   0 - 1 0 - 0 6 - 24 5 - 9 -15.5      -10.5 363 -5.0 329 69.8 139 -1.4 283 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.9 57.8 19.2 10.0 5.4 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.6
Howard 3.2 22.6 24.0 16.5 11.7 8.9 6.9 5.6 3.7
South Carolina St. 4.8 3.3 9.6 14.7 17.5 17.9 16.0 13.3 7.7
NC Central 3.6 17.5 20.7 17.5 13.0 10.2 8.4 7.2 5.5
Delaware St. 4.7 5.3 11.4 14.6 15.6 15.9 14.4 13.1 9.8
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.2 3.1 8.0 11.6 14.1 16.9 16.5 16.5 13.3
Morgan St. 4.7 7.2 12.5 14.3 13.8 13.1 12.8 13.2 13.3
Coppin St. 5.5 3.4 7.1 9.6 11.7 12.9 14.6 17.1 23.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 5.1 7.7 10.5 12.8 14.9 15.8 13.4 10.3 4.4
Howard 8 - 6 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.8 6.2 8.9 11.7 13.5 13.8 13.1 11.1 8.0 4.8 2.0 0.5
South Carolina St. 5 - 9 0.4 2.2 5.3 9.9 14.7 17.8 18.1 15.0 10.2 5.0 1.4
NC Central 7 - 7 0.2 1.1 2.7 5.1 8.0 10.6 12.9 13.9 13.6 11.5 9.2 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.4
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.6 2.7 5.9 10.0 13.8 16.0 16.0 14.2 10.4 6.5 3.0 0.9
Maryland Eastern Shore 5 - 9 0.9 3.7 8.1 12.8 16.5 17.2 15.4 11.6 7.8 4.1 1.5 0.3
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.9 3.8 6.8 10.3 13.1 14.0 14.0 12.7 9.8 7.0 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0
Coppin St. 5 - 9 2.5 7.2 11.6 14.2 15.5 14.4 12.1 9.5 6.0 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 57.8% 46.2 9.6 1.7 0.3 0.0
Howard 22.6% 14.8 6.2 1.3 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 3.3% 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
NC Central 17.5% 11.2 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 5.3% 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.1% 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 7.2% 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 3.4% 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 37.7% 37.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 7.9 29.4 62.3 0.0%
Howard 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 14.7 84.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 10.2 88.1 0.0%
NC Central 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 11.8 87.4 0.0%
Delaware St. 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 10.2 89.0 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 6.2 93.8 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.7 94.5 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 37.7% 21.5% 31.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 15.1% 12.4% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 11.9% 8.4% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 12.6% 9.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 11.0% 8.4% 7.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.2% 5.6% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 64.2% 0.7 35.8 57.7 6.4
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0