Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#255
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#272
Pace69.1#177
Improvement+1.7#75

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#187
First Shot+0.5#165
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#154
Freethrows-3.0#335
Improvement+0.8#114

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#317
First Shot-6.5#352
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#53
Layups/Dunks-0.7#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows-1.8#301
Improvement+0.9#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 19.5% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 46.7% 61.6% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.1% 89.1% 84.0%
Conference Champion 20.6% 24.5% 17.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.2%
First Four10.0% 9.4% 10.5%
First Round12.3% 15.1% 10.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 412 - 814 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 57-87 2%     0 - 1 -9.8 -6.2 -3.1
  Nov 08, 2024 55   @ Missouri L 62-77 6%     0 - 2 -2.1 -6.2 +3.9
  Nov 13, 2024 315   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 63%     1 - 2 -4.7 +7.4 -12.2
  Nov 18, 2024 246   @ Florida International W 75-70 37%     2 - 2 +3.2 +2.3 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 256   Boston University L 62-69 50%     2 - 3 -12.2 -7.3 -5.5
  Nov 25, 2024 250   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 38%     2 - 4 -19.9 +1.5 -21.6
  Nov 30, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 61%     2 - 5 -12.1 -4.2 -7.8
  Dec 08, 2024 26   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 -0.6 +4.3 -5.1
  Dec 14, 2024 135   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 36%     3 - 6 +3.4 +11.2 -7.9
  Dec 17, 2024 150   Drexel L 65-68 40%     3 - 7 -5.6 -5.2 -0.6
  Dec 28, 2024 269   @ Hampton L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 01, 2025 104   @ Yale L 70-83 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 330   Delaware St. W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 06, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 349   Morgan St. W 84-74 82%    
  Jan 13, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 78-62 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 174   @ Norfolk St. L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 262   NC Central W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 03, 2025 245   South Carolina St. W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 330   @ Delaware St. W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 17, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   @ Morgan St. W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 24, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 75-65 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 262   @ NC Central L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 03, 2025 245   @ South Carolina St. L 73-76 38%    
  Mar 06, 2025 174   Norfolk St. L 72-73 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.4 6.0 2.6 0.4 20.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 7.2 10.3 4.7 0.6 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 7.9 9.2 2.7 0.1 21.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.8 6.9 1.7 0.0 17.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.8 7.7 12.3 16.7 18.6 16.6 12.2 6.6 2.6 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.1
12-2 91.3% 6.0    4.6 1.4 0.0
11-3 60.6% 7.4    3.3 3.5 0.6 0.0
10-4 21.7% 3.6    0.7 1.7 1.0 0.1
9-5 2.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 20.6% 20.6 11.6 6.8 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 45.8% 45.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.6% 44.8% 44.8% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.5
12-2 6.6% 33.7% 33.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 4.4
11-3 12.2% 27.2% 27.2% 15.8 0.0 0.7 2.6 8.9
10-4 16.6% 21.3% 21.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.3 13.1
9-5 18.6% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.1 2.9 15.7
8-6 16.7% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 1.8 14.9
7-7 12.3% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.0 11.3
6-8 7.7% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.5 7.2
5-9 3.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.2 3.6
4-10 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-11 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 13.7 83.1 0.0%