Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#284
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#258
Pace65.4#288
Improvement-0.7#243

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#306
First Shot-3.4#270
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#277
Layup/Dunks-0.3#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#346
Freethrows+3.6#27
Improvement-1.5#301

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#223
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#263
Layups/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#102
Freethrows-2.0#298
Improvement+0.9#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 32.7% 49.7% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 56.5% 64.4% 53.6%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.1% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four5.0% 5.0% 4.9%
First Round6.0% 7.9% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 6 @Iowa St. L 62-102 1%     0 - 1 -16.6 -3.3 -10.7
  Sun, Nov 9 315 @Howard W 73-70 45%     1 - 1 -2.5 +4.2 -6.5
  Thu, Nov 13 219 Southern Miss W 75-70 50%     2 - 1 -1.6 -2.4 +0.9
  Tue, Nov 18 262 @San Diego L 68-78 35%     2 - 2 -12.7 -11.1 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 21 130 @California Baptist L 59-72 14%     2 - 3 -7.9 -4.9 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 24 271 @UC Riverside L 74-83 37%     2 - 4 -12.1 +0.1 -12.4
  Tue, Dec 2 172 @Tulane L 63-65 21%     2 - 5 -0.1 -3.5 +3.2
  Mon, Dec 8 219 @Southern Miss L 68-74 28%    
  Thu, Dec 18 231 Norfolk St. L 64-67 41%    
  Fri, Dec 19 212 Hampton L 66-69 37%    
  Tue, Dec 23 25 @Ohio St. L 59-83 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 322 Prairie View W 74-68 70%    
  Mon, Jan 5 296 Texas Southern W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 67-73 28%    
  Mon, Jan 12 345 @Florida A&M W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 201 Southern L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 365 Mississippi Valley W 77-59 95%    
  Mon, Jan 26 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 31 312 @Jackson St. L 67-68 45%    
  Mon, Feb 2 333 @Alcorn St. W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 268 Alabama St. W 72-70 59%    
  Mon, Feb 9 266 Alabama A&M W 68-66 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 296 @Texas Southern L 70-72 42%    
  Mon, Feb 16 322 @Prairie View L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 201 @Southern L 69-76 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 218 Bethune-Cookman L 69-70 49%    
  Thu, Feb 26 345 Florida A&M W 74-66 75%    
  Tue, Mar 3 266 @Alabama A&M L 65-69 36%    
  Thu, Mar 5 268 @Alabama St. L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 3.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.3 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.4 0.9 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.5 1.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.1 2.4 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.1 3.2 0.3 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 4.0 0.5 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 3.4 0.7 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 5.6 8.3 11.0 13.9 13.9 13.8 11.5 8.1 5.0 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.4% 1.1    0.9 0.2
14-4 66.8% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
13-5 30.4% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
12-6 8.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 41.2% 41.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.3% 34.8% 34.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.6% 24.8% 24.8% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.0
13-5 5.0% 22.7% 22.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 3.9
12-6 8.1% 18.0% 18.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.7
11-7 11.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.1 1.4 10.0
10-8 13.8% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4 12.3
9-9 13.9% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1 12.7
8-10 13.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 13.5
7-11 11.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
5-13 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.0 91.5 0.0%