IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.4	#310
Expected Predictive Rating	-16.6	#356

Pace	64.8	#286
Improvement	-6.8	#364

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#319

First Shot	-4.3	#302
After Offensive Rebound	-0.8	#235

Layup/Dunks	-2.1	#259
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#83
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#243
Freethrows	-1.7	#279

Improvement	-1.2	#280

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#280

First Shot	-3.6	#296
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.4	#148

Layups/Dunks	-2.6	#279
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.7	#132
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.4	#206
Freethrows	-1.3	#275

Improvement	-5.6	#364

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.5%	11.3%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	12.7%	24.8%	9.0%
.500 or above in Conference	71.5%	79.4%	69.0%
Conference Champion	8.8%	12.3%	7.7%
Last Place in Conference	1.2%	0.6%	1.4%

First Four	7.9%	9.9%	7.3%
First Round	4.6%	6.6%	3.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Neutral) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	27	@ Mississippi	L	64-66	2%	0 - 1			+14.3	-2.6	+16.9
Nov 11, 2024	7	@ Florida	L	62-86	1%	0 - 2			-2.9	-5.2	+3.3
Nov 21, 2024	70	@ New Mexico	L	58-80	4%	0 - 3			-10.8	-16.7	+8.5
Nov 24, 2024	76	@ USC	L	69-80	5%	0 - 4			-0.7	+4.4	-5.6
Nov 26, 2024	267	@ Cal Poly	L	79-82	29%	0 - 5			-5.6	+3.8	-9.4
Dec 07, 2024	237	@ Pepperdine	L	57-85	24%	0 - 6			-29.1	-16.1	-13.0
Dec 16, 2024	230	SE Louisiana	L	65-75	43%	0 - 7			-16.6	-1.9	-15.7
Dec 19, 2024	330	Delaware St.	L	60-73	56%	0 - 8			-22.9	-10.3	-13.9
Dec 20, 2024	174	Norfolk St.	L	64-72	24%
Dec 22, 2024	26	@ Cincinnati	L	55-80	1%
Jan 04, 2025	338	@ Prairie View	L	77-78	50%
Jan 06, 2025	305	@ Texas Southern	L	68-71	38%
Jan 11, 2025	264	Bethune-Cookman	W	69-68	50%
Jan 13, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	71-63	76%
Jan 18, 2025	221	@ Southern	L	62-71	22%
Jan 25, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-59	81%
Jan 27, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-74	71%
Feb 01, 2025	307	Jackson St.	W	70-67	60%
Feb 03, 2025	339	Alcorn St.	W	71-65	71%
Feb 08, 2025	284	@ Alabama St.	L	68-73	34%
Feb 10, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	73-69	63%
Feb 15, 2025	305	Texas Southern	W	71-68	59%
Feb 17, 2025	338	Prairie View	W	80-74	70%
Feb 22, 2025	221	Southern	L	65-68	41%
Mar 01, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	W	68-66	56%
Mar 03, 2025	264	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	65-71	30%
Mar 06, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	76-66	80%
Mar 08, 2025	284	Alabama St.	W	71-70	55%
Projected Record						10 - 18	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.6	2.8	2.5	1.2	0.4	0.0		8.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.7	4.5	2.6	0.6	0.0				11.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.4	5.4	2.4	0.3	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.9	6.0	2.6	0.3							12.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.3	6.2	3.3	0.3	0.0							12.2	5th
6th								0.1	1.7	5.8	3.8	0.5	0.0								11.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.3	4.8	4.1	0.6	0.0									10.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.8	3.4	3.3	0.7	0.0										8.4	8th
9th					0.1	0.7	2.3	2.5	0.7	0.0											6.3	9th
10th				0.1	0.5	1.5	1.4	0.5	0.0												3.9	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0													1.9	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.8	4.8	7.9	10.8	13.2	13.9	13.7	11.4	8.8	5.8	3.1	1.2	0.4	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	96.3%	1.2		1.0	0.1	0.0
15-3	81.6%	2.5		1.7	0.8	0.1
14-4	48.3%	2.8		1.2	1.2	0.3	0.0
13-5	17.9%	1.6		0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.8%	8.8		4.7	2.8	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		59.1%	59.1%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.4%		30.8%	30.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3
16-2	1.2%		30.0%	30.0%		15.9																0.0	0.3	0.8
15-3	3.1%		26.6%	26.6%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.8	2.3
14-4	5.8%		19.4%	19.4%		16.0																0.0	1.1	4.6
13-5	8.8%		16.8%	16.8%		16.0																0.0	1.5	7.3
12-6	11.4%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0																	1.4	10.0
11-7	13.7%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																	1.2	12.5
10-8	13.9%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																	1.1	12.8
9-9	13.2%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																	0.6	12.6
8-10	10.8%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	10.5
7-11	7.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
6-12	4.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
5-13	2.8%																							2.8
4-14	1.4%																							1.4
3-15	0.6%																							0.6
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.5%	8.5%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	8.4	91.5		0.0%