Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#330
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#349
Pace61.8#337
Improvement-1.5#250

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#343
First Shot-6.1#333
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#275
Layup/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#300
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement-1.6#268

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#263
First Shot-3.2#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#226
Freethrows-1.8#303
Improvement+0.2#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 14.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.5% 14.2% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 4.9% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 138 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 29   @ Mississippi L 64-66 1%     0 - 1 +15.0 -1.3 +16.3
  Nov 11, 2024 3   @ Florida L 62-86 0.3%    0 - 2 +2.2 -2.3 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2024 41   @ New Mexico L 58-80 2%     0 - 3 -6.6 -12.0 +7.9
  Nov 24, 2024 62   @ USC L 69-80 3%     0 - 4 +1.0 +2.7 -2.1
  Nov 26, 2024 194   @ Cal Poly L 79-82 14%     0 - 5 -2.0 +5.3 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2024 217   @ Pepperdine L 57-85 17%     0 - 6 -28.3 -17.3 -11.0
  Dec 16, 2024 218   SE Louisiana L 65-75 32%     0 - 7 -15.9 -4.2 -12.7
  Dec 19, 2024 310   Delaware St. L 60-73 44%     0 - 8 -22.0 -11.9 -11.5
  Dec 20, 2024 182   Norfolk St. L 70-76 19%     0 - 9 -7.2 +2.1 -9.9
  Dec 22, 2024 45   @ Cincinnati L 49-84 2%     0 - 10 -20.7 -8.8 -15.9
  Jan 04, 2025 358   @ Prairie View L 55-73 60%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -31.2 -21.3 -10.8
  Jan 06, 2025 279   @ Texas Southern L 66-71 OT 26%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -8.9 -12.1 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 289   Bethune-Cookman L 59-65 48%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -16.2 -16.4 +0.2
  Jan 13, 2025 322   Florida A&M W 79-72 57%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -5.4 +6.9 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2025 231   @ Southern L 60-67 18%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -8.1 -8.3 -0.1
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 65-54 91%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -14.5 -6.3 -6.2
  Jan 27, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-77 69%     3 - 14 3 - 4 -11.7 +1.4 -13.1
  Feb 01, 2025 269   Jackson St. L 50-65 42%     3 - 15 3 - 5 -23.7 -19.5 -6.0
  Feb 03, 2025 327   Alcorn St. L 53-60 58%     3 - 16 3 - 6 -19.6 -17.7 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2025 288   @ Alabama St. W 77-67 28%     4 - 16 4 - 6 +5.4 +7.0 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2025 359   @ Alabama A&M W 72-61 60%     5 - 16 5 - 6 -2.2 -3.6 +1.6
  Feb 15, 2025 279   Texas Southern L 60-67 45%     5 - 17 5 - 7 -16.4 -12.0 -4.5
  Feb 17, 2025 358   Prairie View W 70-48 78%     6 - 17 6 - 7 +3.3 -2.8 +9.0
  Feb 22, 2025 231   Southern L 64-71 35%     6 - 18 6 - 8 -13.6 +1.0 -15.7
  Mar 01, 2025 322   @ Florida A&M L 68-73 36%     6 - 19 6 - 9 -11.8 -1.8 -10.6
  Mar 03, 2025 289   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-78 28%     6 - 20 6 - 10 -11.7 +0.5 -12.5
  Mar 06, 2025 359   Alabama A&M W 67-51 78%     7 - 20 7 - 10 -2.8 -3.9 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2025 288   Alabama St. L 47-59 48%     7 - 21 7 - 11 -22.1 -24.1 +0.5
  Mar 11, 2025 359   Alabama A&M W 73-56 70%     8 - 21 8 - 11 +1.0 +1.3 +1.2
  Mar 12, 2025 231   Southern L 61-68 26%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 8 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 3.5 96.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 3.5 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.2%
Lose Out 75.2%