Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.2 #287
Expected Predictive Rating -6.4 #269
Pace 68.7 #190
Improvement -3.0 #309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #314 D+ D F A C
Defense #228 D D- A D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #79 1.12 #218 +1.4 #127
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #150 0.64 #327 -0.8 #213
Three Pointers 36% #293 0.99 #220 -3.2 #290
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #247 -2.5 #248
Freethrows 22.2 #8 72% #199 16.1 #17
Second Chance 28.3% #246 0.94 #312 0.27 #284
Turnovers 21.0% #360
Total Offense -5.6 #314

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #79 1.24 #282 -4.1 #314
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #318 0.75 #165 +1.8 #57
Three Pointers 42% #158 1.08 #270 -1.7 #262
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #305 -4.0 #306
Freethrows 20.1 #313 75% #301 15.1 #326
Second Chance 35.2% #327 1.08 #237 0.38 #319
Turnovers 20.1% #27
Total Defense -1.7 #228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #186 1.8% #330
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.1% #256 6.1% #291
Possession Length 17.3 #166 17.0 #138
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #83 0.24 #345
Improvement -3.2 #339 +0.2 #173

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 11.8% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 38.0% 44.5% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 64.6% 35.1%
Conference Champion 3.9% 5.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.5% 8.1% 5.8%
First Round6.8% 7.7% 4.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 414 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 8 @Iowa St. L 62 - 102 1% -16  0 - 1 -17 -3 C F D- -11 D D B-
 Sun, Nov 9 265 @Howard W 73 - 70 33% +1  1 - 1 +0 +8 B- A+ F -7 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 244 Southern Miss W 75 - 70 51% +6  2 - 1 -3 +1 A+ F F -3 A+ F D
 Tue, Nov 18 209 @San Diego L 68 - 78 25% -7  2 - 2 -10 -9 F D- D+ -1 B+ A- A
 Fri, Nov 21 142 @California Baptist L 59 - 72 15% -13  2 - 3 -9 -6 C F F -4 F B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 293 @UC Riverside L 74 - 83 40% +1  2 - 4 -14 +0 F C B+ -14 F D- B+
 Tue, Dec 2 172 @Tulane L 63 - 65 19% -0  2 - 5 -0 -0 D- B+ F +0 B D D-
 Mon, Dec 8 244 @Southern Miss L 60 - 68 29% +1  2 - 6 -10 -11 D+ F F +1 F C A+
 Thu, Dec 18 291 Norfolk St. W 80 - 68 51% +14  3 - 6 +5 +1 C+ F A+ +3 B+ D C
 Fri, Dec 19 230 Hampton W 81 - 72 37% +7  4 - 6 +5 +12 A- A+ F -7 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 23 30 @Ohio St. L 63 - 89 2% -13  4 - 7 -9 -1 D- A F -9 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 317 Prairie View W 76 - 72 70% +4  5 - 7 1 - 0 -9 -7 C- D+ F -2 B- F A+
 Mon, Jan 5 335 Texas Southern W 84 - 67 74% +9  6 - 7 2 - 0 +3 +5 B+ B- F -2 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 65 - 74 34% -8  6 - 8 2 - 1 -12 -14 F F F +2 B- F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 313 @Florida A&M L 84 - 91 46% -3  6 - 9 2 - 2 -13 +7 C B C+ -20 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 17 246 Southern L 53 - 71 52% -11  6 - 10 2 - 3 -26 -21 F C F -5 F A- B-
 Tue, Jan 27 334 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80 - 73 73%
 Sat, Jan 31 325 @Jackson St. W 76 - 75 50%
 Mon, Feb 2 347 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 72 57%
 Sat, Feb 7 311 Alabama St. W 76 - 72 67%
 Mon, Feb 9 301 Alabama A&M W 71 - 67 64%
 Sat, Feb 14 335 @Texas Southern W 75 - 74 53%
 Mon, Feb 16 317 @Prairie View L 75 - 76 47%
 Sat, Feb 21 246 @Southern L 70 - 76 30%
 Mon, Feb 23 365 Mississippi Valley W 78 - 58 97%
 Thu, Feb 26 269 Bethune-Cookman W 74 - 72 57%
 Thu, Feb 26 313 Florida A&M W 74 - 69 67%
 Tue, Mar 3 301 @Alabama A&M L 68 - 70 42%
 Thu, Mar 5 311 @Alabama St. L 73 - 75 45%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 8 -7 -6 D+ D F -2 D D- A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.3 3.9 1st
2nd 0.4 3.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 5.2 0.9 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 7.5 2.2 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.2 6.0 5.1 0.2 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 8.2 1.0 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 6.6 3.8 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 3.1 7.1 0.6 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 5.4 2.4 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.7 3.4 0.2 8.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.1 7.4 12.9 18.8 20.0 17.4 11.4 5.8 1.8 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 93.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-5 72.4% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 31.6% 1.8    0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 25.4% 25.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.8% 26.5% 26.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.3
12-6 5.8% 23.9% 23.9% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 4.4
11-7 11.4% 20.1% 20.1% 15.9 0.1 2.1 9.1
10-8 17.4% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.1 2.7 14.7
9-9 20.0% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4 17.6
8-10 18.8% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 1.1 17.7
7-11 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.8
6-12 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 15.9 89.4 0.0%