Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#279
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#240
Pace72.0#83
Improvement-3.6#323

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#342
First Shot-4.9#313
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#296
Layup/Dunks+2.4#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#334
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement-0.7#220

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
First Shot+2.3#103
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#318
Layups/Dunks+2.0#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#213
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-2.9#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.3% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 36.3% 46.5% 20.7%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 99.0% 94.0%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.1% 11.2% 11.0%
First Round8.5% 9.4% 7.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 414 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 12   @ Texas Tech L 61-94 2%     0 - 1 -12.9 -1.9 -11.9
  Nov 09, 2024 48   @ Nebraska L 58-63 4%     0 - 2 +8.1 -10.2 +18.6
  Nov 12, 2024 149   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-91 18%     0 - 3 -18.6 -8.9 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2024 229   South Carolina St. W 75-62 49%     1 - 3 +6.8 -1.3 +7.6
  Nov 19, 2024 141   @ Tulane L 57-72 17%     1 - 4 -11.3 -12.6 +1.2
  Nov 26, 2024 269   North Dakota W 79-67 48%     2 - 4 +5.9 -1.9 +7.7
  Nov 27, 2024 236   Gardner-Webb L 64-79 42%     2 - 5 -19.4 -15.1 -3.4
  Dec 01, 2024 92   @ Minnesota L 62-79 9%     2 - 6 -8.5 -1.0 -8.9
  Dec 12, 2024 97   @ Virginia L 41-59 10%     2 - 7 -10.6 -18.4 +3.8
  Dec 14, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 61-84 4%     2 - 8 -8.6 -2.8 -5.6
  Dec 18, 2024 177   @ South Florida W 77-69 22%     3 - 8 +9.7 +8.6 +1.3
  Dec 21, 2024 126   @ Davidson L 63-76 15%     3 - 9 -8.4 -8.8 +0.2
  Dec 30, 2024 35   @ Mississippi St. L 73-87 3%     3 - 10 +1.7 +6.9 -5.2
  Jan 04, 2025 340   @ Florida A&M W 62-55 60%     4 - 10 1 - 0 -2.2 -8.5 +7.1
  Jan 11, 2025 339   @ Grambling St. W 65-59 60%     5 - 10 2 - 0 -3.2 -9.8 +6.7
  Jan 13, 2025 224   @ Southern L 53-69 30%     5 - 11 2 - 1 -17.0 -19.7 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-58 96%     6 - 11 3 - 1 -2.6 +2.6 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-64 91%     7 - 11 4 - 1 -12.3 -17.3 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 284   @ Jackson St. L 81-86 41%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -9.3 +5.5 -14.6
  Jan 27, 2025 320   @ Alcorn St. L 61-70 52%     7 - 13 4 - 3 -16.0 -9.4 -7.2
  Feb 01, 2025 308   Alabama St. W 67-64 67%     8 - 13 5 - 3 -8.0 -13.1 +5.0
  Feb 03, 2025 360   Alabama A&M W 89-75 83%     9 - 13 6 - 3 -2.9 +9.1 -12.0
  Feb 08, 2025 348   @ Prairie View W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 10, 2025 274   @ Texas Southern L 68-71 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 320   Alcorn St. W 69-64 71%    
  Feb 17, 2025 284   Jackson St. W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 22, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 308   @ Alabama St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 224   Southern L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 339   Grambling St. W 70-62 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 340   Florida A&M W 75-67 77%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 7.4 4.9 0.7 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.3 11.8 7.8 1.0 22.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 10.6 10.6 1.1 24.6 4th
5th 0.9 7.0 7.6 1.2 16.7 5th
6th 0.4 4.0 6.3 1.3 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.5 7.3 16.0 21.9 25.5 16.8 7.9 1.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 59.3% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1
14-4 24.4% 1.9    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1
13-5 3.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.6% 29.6% 29.6% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.1
14-4 7.9% 23.2% 23.2% 15.9 0.3 1.6 6.1
13-5 16.8% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.1 3.1 13.5
12-6 25.5% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.1 3.8 21.7
11-7 21.9% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 2.6 19.3
10-8 16.0% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 1.6 14.4
9-9 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.6 6.7
8-10 2.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 2.4
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 13.5 85.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 15.0 14.6 70.8 14.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%