IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.2	#223

Pace	72.5	#84
Improvement	+0.4	#148

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#325

First Shot	-2.4	#244
After Offensive Rebound	-3.1	#334

Layup/Dunks	+3.5	#60
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#169
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.6	#294
Freethrows	-2.1	#297

Improvement	+1.4	#72

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#166

First Shot	+2.7	#95
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.7	#341

Layups/Dunks	+2.4	#87
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#238
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#196
Freethrows	+0.9	#124

Improvement	-1.0	#259

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.4%	22.0%	16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	48.1%	69.5%	44.4%
.500 or above in Conference	89.6%	93.8%	88.9%
Conference Champion	19.9%	25.5%	18.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%

First Four	10.7%	9.8%	10.9%
First Round	11.9%	16.9%	11.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 10
Quad 4	15 - 7	16 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	24	@ Texas Tech	L	61-94	3%	0 - 1			-16.1	-3.1	-13.9
Nov 09, 2024	53	@ Nebraska	L	58-63	5%	0 - 2			+8.0	-10.5	+18.8
Nov 12, 2024	146	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	69-91	20%	0 - 3			-18.5	-9.3	-7.9
Nov 16, 2024	245	South Carolina St.	W	75-62	59%	1 - 3			+5.3	-3.1	+8.0
Nov 19, 2024	202	@ Tulane	L	57-72	26%	1 - 4			-13.9	-14.9	+0.8
Nov 26, 2024	277	North Dakota	W	79-67	53%	2 - 4			+5.6	-0.4	+5.9
Nov 27, 2024	238	Gardner-Webb	L	64-79	45%	2 - 5			-19.2	-15.4	-2.9
Dec 01, 2024	114	@ Minnesota	L	62-79	14%	2 - 6			-10.7	-0.9	-11.2
Dec 12, 2024	91	@ Virginia	L	41-59	9%	2 - 7			-8.8	-14.4	+1.6
Dec 14, 2024	39	@ West Virginia	L	61-84	4%	2 - 8			-8.4	-4.2	-3.9
Dec 18, 2024	179	@ South Florida	W	77-69	24%	3 - 8			+10.0	+7.7	+2.6
Dec 21, 2024	122	@ Davidson	L	66-77	15%
Dec 30, 2024	28	@ Mississippi St.	L	62-84	2%
Jan 04, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	W	72-67	67%
Jan 11, 2025	310	@ Grambling St.	L	68-69	50%
Jan 13, 2025	221	@ Southern	L	66-72	30%
Jan 18, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	75-56	96%
Jan 20, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	87-72	91%
Jan 25, 2025	307	@ Jackson St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 27, 2025	339	@ Alcorn St.	W	72-69	60%
Feb 01, 2025	284	Alabama St.	W	75-71	65%
Feb 03, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	80-67	87%
Feb 08, 2025	338	@ Prairie View	W	82-79	60%
Feb 10, 2025	305	@ Texas Southern	L	72-73	48%
Feb 15, 2025	339	Alcorn St.	W	75-66	79%
Feb 17, 2025	307	Jackson St.	W	73-67	69%
Feb 22, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	77-70	72%
Feb 24, 2025	284	@ Alabama St.	L	72-74	44%
Mar 01, 2025	221	Southern	W	69-68	51%
Mar 03, 2025	310	Grambling St.	W	71-65	70%
Mar 08, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	75-64	83%
Projected Record						15 - 16	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.5	2.7	5.5	6.1	3.5	1.4	0.2		19.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	4.1	7.8	5.3	1.4	0.1	0.0			19.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.6	7.3	3.9	0.7	0.0					15.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.6	6.6	3.5	0.4	0.0						13.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.5	5.2	3.3	0.4	0.0							10.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.9	3.6	3.1	0.4	0.0								8.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.0	0.4	2.3	2.5	0.5	0.0									5.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.2	1.7	0.5	0.0										3.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.4	0.0											2.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0												1.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0													0.3	11th
12th	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															0.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.9	5.4	8.3	11.8	14.6	15.8	14.8	11.6	7.6	3.7	1.4	0.2			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	99.7%	1.4		1.4	0.0
16-2	96.0%	3.5		3.1	0.4	0.0
15-3	80.7%	6.1		4.2	1.8	0.1
14-4	47.7%	5.5		2.3	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	18.1%	2.7		0.5	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.9%	19.9		11.8	5.9	1.8	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		47.0%	47.0%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.4%		42.4%	42.4%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.8
16-2	3.7%		37.2%	37.2%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	2.3
15-3	7.6%		31.8%	31.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	5.2
14-4	11.6%		26.6%	26.6%		15.8															0.0	0.5	2.6	8.5
13-5	14.8%		21.8%	21.8%		15.9															0.0	0.2	3.1	11.5
12-6	15.8%		16.1%	16.1%		16.0																0.0	2.5	13.2
11-7	14.6%		12.5%	12.5%		16.0																0.0	1.8	12.8
10-8	11.8%		10.7%	10.7%		16.0																	1.3	10.5
9-9	8.3%		8.7%	8.7%		16.0																	0.7	7.6
8-10	5.4%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.2	5.2
7-11	2.9%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
6-12	1.3%																							1.3
5-13	0.6%																							0.6
4-14	0.2%																							0.2
3-15	0.0%																							0.0
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	2.3	14.5	82.6		0.0%