Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#324
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#321
Pace62.7#321
Improvement+3.2#58

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#247
First Shot-4.5#299
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#84
Layup/Dunks-3.4#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#260
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement+2.4#75

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#349
First Shot-5.0#327
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#322
Layups/Dunks-4.9#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#301
Freethrows+1.3#97
Improvement+0.8#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 45 - 137 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 25   @ Marquette L 62-102 1%     0 - 1 -21.9 -1.2 -21.0
  Nov 07, 2024 219   @ Central Michigan W 73-72 19%     1 - 1 +0.6 +1.8 -1.2
  Nov 11, 2024 90   @ George Mason L 56-94 5%     1 - 2 -29.5 -7.6 -22.2
  Nov 20, 2024 75   Yale L 64-86 9%     1 - 3 -17.3 -8.8 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2024 291   @ Columbia L 63-82 31%     1 - 4 -23.7 -12.8 -11.6
  Nov 27, 2024 205   @ Brown L 54-77 17%     1 - 5 -22.7 -13.9 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2024 182   Norfolk St. L 66-77 29%     1 - 6 -15.0 -4.9 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2024 300   Air Force L 61-69 43%     1 - 7 -16.0 -14.4 -1.6
  Dec 14, 2024 299   @ Rider W 72-55 33%     2 - 7 +11.8 +9.1 +5.9
  Dec 17, 2024 267   Marist L 66-68 46%     2 - 8 -10.6 +6.6 -17.7
  Dec 21, 2024 223   Maine W 74-72 36%     3 - 8 -4.1 +6.1 -10.1
  Dec 29, 2024 270   @ Albany L 70-77 27%     3 - 9 -10.3 -1.6 -9.0
  Jan 02, 2025 247   @ Monmouth L 56-78 23%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -24.0 -10.2 -17.1
  Jan 04, 2025 232   William & Mary L 76-83 38%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -13.7 +3.1 -17.2
  Jan 09, 2025 183   Drexel L 51-67 29%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -20.1 -8.9 -15.5
  Jan 11, 2025 209   Northeastern L 66-70 34%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -9.4 -7.3 -2.2
  Jan 16, 2025 228   @ Delaware L 74-84 20%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -10.9 -3.0 -7.9
  Jan 18, 2025 150   @ Towson L 49-53 12%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -0.7 -12.6 +11.1
  Jan 23, 2025 220   Campbell L 54-79 36%     3 - 16 0 - 7 -31.0 -12.8 -21.4
  Jan 25, 2025 328   N.C. A&T W 89-74 64%     4 - 16 1 - 7 +1.7 +12.3 -10.3
  Jan 30, 2025 148   @ College of Charleston L 74-81 11%     4 - 17 1 - 8 -3.4 +8.0 -11.8
  Feb 01, 2025 111   @ UNC Wilmington L 70-80 8%     4 - 18 1 - 9 -3.6 +1.9 -6.0
  Feb 06, 2025 150   Towson L 59-66 24%     4 - 19 1 - 10 -9.2 -7.3 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2025 215   @ Hofstra W 80-75 19%     5 - 19 2 - 10 +4.7 +20.0 -14.8
  Feb 13, 2025 247   Monmouth L 69-79 41%     5 - 20 2 - 11 -17.5 -3.6 -14.5
  Feb 15, 2025 209   @ Northeastern L 60-71 18%     5 - 21 2 - 12 -10.9 -4.4 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2025 328   @ N.C. A&T L 72-73 42%     5 - 22 2 - 13 -8.8 +4.6 -13.4
  Feb 24, 2025 211   @ Hampton L 49-81 18%     5 - 23 2 - 14 -32.1 -18.5 -16.8
  Feb 27, 2025 215   Hofstra W 59-56 35%     6 - 23 3 - 14 -2.8 -1.5 -0.7
  Mar 01, 2025 206   Elon W 71-66 33%     7 - 23 4 - 14 -0.3 +1.2 -1.0
  Mar 07, 2025 228   Delaware L 76-80 28%     7 - 24 -7.6 +7.1 -15.3
Projected Record 7 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%