Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 UNC Wilmington 76.3%   14   24 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +3.6      +3.8 78 -0.2 178 64.1 289 +4.2 106 +4.0 2
148 College of Charleston 0.0%   23 - 9 13 - 5 23 - 9 13 - 5 +0.9      -0.2 182 +1.0 140 74.3 46 +4.1 109 +2.6 3
150 Towson 0.0%   21 - 11 16 - 2 21 - 11 16 - 2 +0.6      +0.1 173 +0.5 163 60.7 349 +2.6 129 +9.0 1
183 Drexel 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 -1.3      -2.0 223 +0.6 159 60.0 354 -2.5 203 -3.1 8
206 Elon 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 10 15 - 15 8 - 10 -2.5      +0.2 168 -2.7 258 63.5 304 -2.6 205 -4.9 10
209 Northeastern 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 -2.7      -2.2 228 -0.5 185 68.2 178 -2.1 194 -3.0 7
211 Hampton 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -2.9      -2.0 225 -0.8 195 64.7 278 -2.9 212 -4.4 9
215 Hofstra 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 12 13 - 18 6 - 12 -3.0      -6.0 325 +3.0 92 60.9 347 -4.3 236 -7.7 11
220 Campbell 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 -3.2      -3.7 266 +0.5 164 65.3 257 -5.0 250 -1.5 5
228 Delaware 23.7%   14 - 19 5 - 13 14 - 20 5 - 13 -3.6      +1.9 122 -5.5 328 74.7 37 -4.2 234 -8.3 12
232 William & Mary 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 7 15 - 15 11 - 7 -3.9      -0.2 185 -3.7 280 77.1 15 -2.1 192 +0.3 4
247 Monmouth 0.0%   13 - 20 10 - 8 13 - 20 10 - 8 -4.7      -1.4 211 -3.3 271 68.0 186 -4.3 240 -1.7 6
324 Stony Brook 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 14 7 - 24 4 - 14 -9.7      -2.8 247 -6.9 349 62.7 321 -10.0 321 -10.6 13
328 N.C. A&T 0.0%   6 - 25 3 - 15 6 - 25 3 - 15 -10.5      -6.5 333 -4.1 295 72.1 67 -12.0 338 -12.2 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
UNC Wilmington 2.0 100.0
College of Charleston 3.0 100.0
Towson 1.0 100.0
Drexel 7.0 100.0
Elon 9.0 100.0
Northeastern 7.0 100.0
Hampton 9.0 100.0
Hofstra 11.0 100.0
Campbell 5.0 100.0
Delaware 12.0 100.0
William & Mary 4.0 100.0
Monmouth 5.0 100.0
Stony Brook 13.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Wilmington 14 - 4 100.0
College of Charleston 13 - 5 100.0
Towson 16 - 2 100.0
Drexel 9 - 9 100.0
Elon 8 - 10 100.0
Northeastern 9 - 9 100.0
Hampton 8 - 10 100.0
Hofstra 6 - 12 100.0
Campbell 10 - 8 100.0
Delaware 5 - 13 100.0
William & Mary 11 - 7 100.0
Monmouth 10 - 8 100.0
Stony Brook 4 - 14 100.0
N.C. A&T 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Wilmington
College of Charleston
Towson 100.0% 100.0
Drexel
Elon
Northeastern
Hampton
Hofstra
Campbell
Delaware
William & Mary
Monmouth
Stony Brook
N.C. A&T


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Wilmington 76.3% 76.3% 0.0% 14   5.7 38.9 31.2 0.5 23.7 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 23.7% 23.7% 0.0% 23.7 76.3 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Wilmington 76.3% 0.0% 76.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 23.7% 23.7% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.7% 0.9 9.3 90.7
2nd Round 6.3% 0.1 93.7 6.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0