Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#207
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#207
Pace74.9#46
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#153
First Shot+2.7#100
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#300
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#72
Freethrows+1.5#97
Improvement+1.3#82

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#256
First Shot-3.5#294
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#114
Layups/Dunks-4.1#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#231
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement-1.2#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 7.1% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 53.7% 68.7% 43.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.2% 66.0% 54.6%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.6% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.4% 4.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.5% 7.0% 4.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 9
Quad 411 - 616 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 265   Bucknell L 73-85 73%     0 - 1 -20.5 -8.6 -10.6
  Nov 07, 2024 258   Robert Morris W 81-77 72%     1 - 1 -4.3 -0.1 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 259   @ Iona W 64-58 50%     2 - 1 +3.7 -7.1 +10.8
  Nov 18, 2024 172   Bryant L 84-85 56%     2 - 2 -4.8 +0.0 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2024 182   Vermont L 71-75 46%     2 - 3 -5.2 +1.9 -7.2
  Nov 24, 2024 104   Yale W 100-94 26%     3 - 3 +10.4 +20.2 -10.2
  Nov 30, 2024 286   @ Rider W 72-66 56%     4 - 3 +2.2 +5.9 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2024 330   Delaware St. W 93-80 84%     5 - 3 +0.1 +5.4 -6.7
  Dec 06, 2024 199   @ Duquesne L 66-80 37%     5 - 4 -12.7 +0.7 -14.4
  Dec 20, 2024 218   @ St. Peter's L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 28, 2024 12   @ St. John's L 69-90 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 161   @ Northeastern L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 04, 2025 273   Monmouth W 80-73 73%    
  Jan 09, 2025 320   @ N.C. A&T W 86-82 64%    
  Jan 11, 2025 269   @ Hampton W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 306   Stony Brook W 81-72 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 178   Elon W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 153   @ Hofstra L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 150   @ Drexel L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 30, 2025 211   Towson W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 273   @ Monmouth W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 06, 2025 135   UNC Wilmington L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 222   William & Mary W 88-84 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 211   @ Towson L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 300   Campbell W 78-70 76%    
  Feb 20, 2025 150   Drexel W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 153   Hofstra W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 121   @ College of Charleston L 76-84 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 135   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-81 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 3.7 1.5 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.1 0.2 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.9 0.9 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.5 1.9 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.0 3.2 0.3 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.0 1.3 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 1.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.5 0.2 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 5.0 7.6 11.0 12.9 14.1 13.8 11.4 8.6 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.4% 1.4    1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 56.4% 1.9    0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.1% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 27.4% 27.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 34.3% 34.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.6% 21.0% 21.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-4 3.4% 17.9% 17.9% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.8
13-5 5.7% 16.0% 16.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.8
12-6 8.6% 12.1% 12.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 7.5
11-7 11.4% 8.2% 8.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 10.4
10-8 13.8% 5.2% 5.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 13.0
9-9 14.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.7
8-10 12.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.7
7-11 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 7.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-15 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.9 0.6 94.4 0.0%