Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#234
Pace74.7#37
Improvement+1.1#154

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#121
First Shot+4.2#74
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#310
Layup/Dunks+2.4#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#73
Freethrows+1.2#104
Improvement+1.6#109

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#327
First Shot-6.6#348
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#90
Layups/Dunks-5.4#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#256
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement-0.5#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.2% 100.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.2% 99.8% 0.0%
First Round15.1% 62.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 103 - 13
Quad 411 - 714 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 224   Bucknell L 73-85 60%     0 - 1 -18.1 -9.9 -7.0
  Nov 07, 2024 146   Robert Morris W 81-77 43%     1 - 1 +2.2 +1.4 +0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 255   @ Iona W 64-58 45%     2 - 1 +3.7 -6.2 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2024 151   Bryant L 84-85 45%     2 - 2 -3.3 +1.9 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2024 212   Vermont L 71-75 47%     2 - 3 -6.9 +0.1 -7.1
  Nov 24, 2024 76   Yale W 100-94 15%     3 - 3 +13.5 +22.2 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2024 302   @ Rider W 72-66 57%     4 - 3 +0.6 +4.2 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2024 312   Delaware St. W 93-80 78%     5 - 3 +1.2 +4.0 -4.2
  Dec 06, 2024 121   @ Duquesne L 66-80 20%     5 - 4 -8.9 +1.4 -11.3
  Dec 20, 2024 287   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 53%     5 - 5 -12.5 +3.0 -16.7
  Dec 28, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 76-97 2%     5 - 6 -0.5 +13.2 -12.6
  Jan 02, 2025 209   @ Northeastern L 77-80 36%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -2.9 +5.2 -8.2
  Jan 04, 2025 247   Monmouth W 84-64 65%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +12.5 +9.4 +3.8
  Jan 09, 2025 328   @ N.C. A&T W 98-88 66%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +2.2 +6.6 -6.0
  Jan 11, 2025 211   @ Hampton L 77-83 37%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -6.1 +7.3 -13.6
  Jan 16, 2025 324   Stony Brook W 84-74 80%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -2.4 +2.9 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2025 206   Elon W 79-77 56%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -3.3 +0.3 -3.6
  Jan 23, 2025 216   @ Hofstra L 68-93 37%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -25.2 +3.7 -30.4
  Jan 25, 2025 183   @ Drexel L 54-67 31%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -11.6 -10.8 -2.2
  Jan 30, 2025 150   Towson L 66-76 44%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.2 -5.3 -7.2
  Feb 01, 2025 247   @ Monmouth L 83-92 44%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -11.0 +8.8 -19.8
  Feb 06, 2025 110   UNC Wilmington L 67-77 33%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -9.1 -3.6 -6.1
  Feb 08, 2025 232   William & Mary W 74-64 62%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +3.4 -10.4 +12.8
  Feb 13, 2025 150   @ Towson L 70-75 25%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -1.7 +1.8 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2025 220   Campbell L 91-96 59%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -11.0 +20.2 -31.4
  Feb 20, 2025 183   Drexel L 74-78 52%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -8.1 +1.6 -9.7
  Feb 22, 2025 216   Hofstra L 65-78 58%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -18.7 -2.7 -16.7
  Feb 27, 2025 148   @ College of Charleston L 84-94 24%     10 - 18 5 - 12 -6.4 +7.8 -13.5
  Mar 01, 2025 110   @ UNC Wilmington L 58-88 17%     10 - 19 5 - 13 -23.6 -13.1 -10.7
  Mar 07, 2025 324   Stony Brook W 80-76 72%     11 - 19 -5.7 +10.3 -15.5
  Mar 08, 2025 220   Campbell W 79-62 48%     12 - 19 +13.8 +12.7 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2025 232   William & Mary W 100-78 51%     13 - 19 +18.1 +12.5 +3.2
  Mar 10, 2025 150   Towson W 82-72 34%     14 - 19 +10.6 +11.1 -0.3
  Mar 11, 2025 110   UNC Wilmington L 76-83 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 24.2% 24.2% 16.0 24.2 75.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.2% 24.2% 0.0% 16.0 24.2 75.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 24.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 75.8%