Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.8 279
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 290
Pace 60.6 355
Improvement +1.9 113

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #266 C+ F D+ D- C
Defense D+ #277 C- B- D C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 290 57% 188 -2.5 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 201 39% 150 -0.2 191
Three Pointers 46% 74 37% 44 +5.0 35
1st FG Attempt 1.06 108 +2.3 107
Second Chance 20.2% 359 0.85 353 0.17 364
Turnovers 18.4% 277
Freethrows 0.24 347 75% 94 0.18 330
Total Offense -3.6 266

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 343 60% 244 +3.7 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 108 39% 234 -0.9 259
Three Pointers 47% 35 36% 254 -4.1 335
1st FG Attempt 1.05 224 -1.3 222
Second Chance 30.0% 155 0.95 76 0.29 98
Turnovers 14.3% 327
Freethrows 0.28 89 80% 365 0.22 189
Total Defense -3.2 277

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.1 209 -0.8 62
Shot Type Accuracy +2.3 101 +2.1 267
Possession Length 20.2 363 16.9 125
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 362 0.19 253
Improvement +2.3 #69 -0.4 #212

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 1% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 86% 66% 92%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Florida International (Away) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 84 - 12
Quad 45 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 324 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 52% -6  6% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -8 F B+ C+ D -7 F+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  60% 0 - 2 C+ +4 A- +10 A F+ A+ D- -9 B+ F D
 Tue, Nov 18 228 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 49% +14  100% 1 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +7 A+ F D+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 127 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 20% -10  0% 1 - 3 F -18 F+ -10 B- D- F D- -9 C+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 302 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 55% +1  47% 2 - 3 B- +5 D+ -2 A+ F F+ A- +8 A- A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 247 Iona L 66 - 89 53% -7  14% 2 - 4 F -31 F -12 C F C- F -19 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 359 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 70% -1  31% 2 - 5 F+ -15 F -11 D+ F F D+ -4 F C- B
 Wed, Dec 10 84 @George Washington W 70 - 58 7% +6  98% 3 - 5 A +22 C- -2 A C- F A+ +24 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 186 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 41% -19  0% 3 - 6 F -27 F+ -10 C- F F F -18 F B- F+
 Tue, Dec 16 354 Rider W 65 - 57 83% +6  87% 4 - 6 D -9 F -11 D F D+ B- +3 A F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 179 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 40% -12  0% 4 - 7 0 - 1 F -22 F -28 F F F B- +3 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 184 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 41% -4  7% 4 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 A- F B+ D -6 C- D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 154 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 35% +5  77% 5 - 8 1 - 2 B+ +12 D+ -4 A- F C A+ +17 A+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 121 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 12% -7  0% 5 - 9 1 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 C- F B+ C- -2 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 10 223 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 26% +5  89% 5 - 10 1 - 4 C- -2 C- -1 B D+ C- C -2 B- C- D-
 Thu, Jan 15 239 UTEP L 69 - 70 52% +2  63% 5 - 11 1 - 5 D -8 C +1 D- B- A+ F+ -10 D- B- F
 Sat, Jan 17 167 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 37% -14  0% 5 - 12 1 - 6 F -32 C- -1 B- F+ A+ F -35 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 95 @Liberty L 51 - 67 9% -7  17% 5 - 13 1 - 7 D+ -8 F -15 C+ F F B +5 C A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 167 @New Mexico St. W 73 - 64 19% +5  76% 6 - 13 2 - 7 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ F C- B- +3 D A B-
 Sat, Jan 31 239 @UTEP L 55 - 70 30% -2  43% 6 - 14 2 - 8 F+ -16 F -13 F D- F+ D -6 C+ C F
 Wed, Feb 4 95 Liberty L 69 - 75 19% -1  28% 6 - 15 2 - 9 C- -4 C +0 A F B- D+ -5 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 173 Middle Tennessee W 89 - 88 OT 38% +0  45% 7 - 15 3 - 9 C- -3 A+ +14 A+ C D F -17 D+ F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 188 @Florida International L 69 - 77 23%
 Sat, Feb 14 179 @Missouri St. L 62 - 71 20%
 Wed, Feb 18 160 Western Kentucky L 67 - 71 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 173 @Middle Tennessee L 62 - 71 20%
 Thu, Feb 26 184 @Jacksonville St. L 61 - 69 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 154 @Kennesaw St. L 68 - 78 18%
 Thu, Mar 5 121 Sam Houston St. L 69 - 76 27%
 Sat, Mar 7 223 Louisiana Tech L 63 - 64 47%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -7 D+ -4 C+ F D+ D+ -3 C- B- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C B B- 35% 19% 46% C C+ F F+ F D+ F+ B- D- D+ C- C- D+ D+ 31% 22% 47% B C- C B- B- D B- F C
1.03 57% 39% 37% +2 0 1.06 20% 0.9 .17 18% .24 75% .18 1.13 60% 39% 36% +2 -1 1.05 30% 1.0 .29 14% .28 80% .19
Nov
3		 Bucknell F+ F F F F 40% 13% 47% B+ F D A+ B+ C+ C- F D- D C- A+ F F 37% 20% 43% C+ F+ F C F D+ B F C+
0.98 48% 14% 28% -11 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19 1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21
Nov
11		 BYU A- D- D+ A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% C+ A D- F F+ A+ F A D- D- A- D+ C- A- 31% 18% 51% C- B+ F C F D B+ F C
1.12 50% 33% 48% +6 -2 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 8% .16 78% .13 1.40 53% 44% 36% +1 0 1.04 51% 1.2 .62 12% .28 87% .24
Nov
18		 St. Peter's B+ A A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F+ A+ D F F D+ D+ D D C- A- F+ F F 28% 19% 53% C+ F A+ C- A+ F A+ F A+
1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26 1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10
Nov
23		 Southern Illinois F+ A+ A+ D A- 11% 32% 57% F B- C+ F D- F F C+ F D- F D- A+ D+ 20% 51% 29% A+ C+ F C- F D+ F F F
0.87 80% 53% 30% +4 -3 1.02 30% 0.7 .20 28% .14 71% .10 1.16 90% 48% 14% +3 -5 0.98 41% 1.0 .41 15% .43 80% .34
Nov
25		 UNC Greensboro D+ A+ B- A+ A+ 14% 38% 48% F A+ F F F F+ F F F A- B A+ D+ C+ 4% 43% 53% A+ A- A- A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.14 86% 42% 54% +20 -4 1.34 19% 0.4 .07 17% .15 50% .08 0.94 50% 25% 36% -4 -5 0.83 21% 0.6 .13 14% .40 82% .33
Dec
1		 Iona F B+ F C C 44% 18% 38% C+ C F C+ F C- F F F F F F F F 33% 19% 48% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F
0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05 1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25
Dec
6		 Delaware St. F D+ F A- D+ 41% 17% 43% C- D+ F B- F F F A+ C- D+ C- D+ F+ F 45% 25% 30% F F C D C- B F A- F+
0.94 59% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.2 .20 23% .22 100% .22 0.98 54% 38% 38% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 22% .40 63% .25
Dec
10		 George Washington C- D- A+ A+ A 40% 17% 43% B- A F A+ C- F D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 37% 14% 49% A- A+ C+ A+ A+ C F A+ D+
1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22 0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25
Dec
13		 Cal St. Northridge F+ F A B- C- 29% 13% 58% C+ C- C F F F B B- B F B F F F 43% 19% 38% B- F F+ A+ B- F+ A- F C+
0.98 43% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 22% .34 78% .27 1.30 52% 70% 50% +13 +1 1.28 38% 0.7 .26 13% .24 79% .19
Dec
16		 Rider F D A+ D+ D- 53% 12% 35% B- D F C- F D+ A A+ A+ B- A D+ A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% F+ A B F F D- A+ F B-
1.04 52% 60% 33% -1 +2 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 14% .37 80% .30 0.91 41% 40% 17% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 14% .17 100% .17
Dec
29		 Missouri St. F F B F F 32% 18% 50% A- F F B F F C D- D+ B- B F+ C+ C+ 36% 16% 49% F+ C A A+ A+ C- D+ F D-
0.71 25% 43% 26% -15 0 0.71 18% 1.2 .21 25% .35 69% .24 1.01 56% 43% 32% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.5 .13 17% .38 74% .28
Jan
2		 Jacksonville St. C- B+ A+ B- A- 28% 10% 62% C+ A- F F F B+ F A- F D C A+ C+ C 51% 3% 46% F C- B F D+ C F C- F
1.06 64% 60% 35% +5 +1 1.14 19% 0.3 .06 13% .12 83% .10 1.11 55% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.03 26% 1.3 .33 18% .53 69% .37
Jan
4		 Kennesaw St. D+ B+ B+ C+ A- 51% 19% 30% C+ A- F F F C F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 22% 16% 61% A A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ F B
1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19 0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22
Jan
8		 Sam Houston St. D- A- F D D+ 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F F F B+ F D F C- F+ A+ C+ B+ 35% 25% 40% B+ B+ C- A B F D- F F
0.96 69% 20% 29% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15 1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28
Jan
10		 Louisiana Tech C- D- B A- B 36% 15% 49% C B F A+ D+ C- D- C+ D C D+ A+ B C 36% 34% 30% A B- C+ D C- D- F C+ F
1.03 47% 43% 39% +1 +1 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 18% .28 73% .20 1.06 59% 25% 29% -7 -2 0.85 33% 0.9 .31 15% .53 63% .34
Jan
15		 UTEP C F F A F+ 37% 23% 40% C D- D+ A+ B- A+ C+ C- C+ F+ F B- C+ D 33% 24% 44% D- D- A+ F B- F A+ C+ A
1.12 38% 30% 41% -5 0 0.91 30% 1.4 .41 13% .39 71% .28 1.14 72% 31% 33% +3 -1 1.05 18% 1.3 .24 6% .16 67% .10
Jan
17		 New Mexico St. C- F F A+ C+ 39% 17% 43% B B- F A F+ A+ D- D F+ F F D+ F F 27% 30% 43% B F C- F F F A F C+
1.10 44% 25% 45% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 10% .32 72% .23 1.57 80% 41% 46% +15 -2 1.27 33% 2.0 .67 6% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Liberty F A+ F B B- 33% 28% 40% D C+ F A+ F F B+ F C- B D+ B F+ C- 36% 6% 57% B C B- A+ A D- C+ A B-
0.85 69% 27% 38% +3 -1 1.05 4% 2.0 .08 27% .29 54% .16 1.11 65% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 10% .24 62% .15
Jan
28		 New Mexico St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% C A+ F F F C- F A+ C+ B- C+ D F F+ 18% 32% 50% A D C- A+ A B- A+ D+ A
1.22 80% 50% 42% +16 -1 1.32 19% 0.5 .10 17% .30 100% .30 1.07 56% 44% 40% +6 -3 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
31		 UTEP F A+ F F F 27% 22% 51% D+ F B F D- F+ A+ A+ A+ D D- A+ F C- 27% 42% 31% A C+ F A C F F F F
0.88 73% 11% 10% -21 -1 0.59 39% 0.6 .25 22% .60 93% .56 1.12 67% 21% 43% -1 -4 0.93 35% 0.8 .27 10% .44 80% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Liberty C A+ A B A 28% 24% 48% D A F F F B- D- A+ C- D+ F A+ F+ F 30% 9% 61% A D- A+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.11 71% 50% 38% +9 -1 1.18 8% 1.0 .08 16% .17 89% .15 1.20 85% 25% 41% +13 +1 1.30 9% 0.0 .00 14% .37 90% .34
Feb
7		 Middle Tennessee A+ B D+ A+ A+ 35% 7% 59% B+ A+ D A- C D B+ A+ A+ F F F B F+ 11% 30% 59% A+ D+ F F F D+ D- D+ D-
1.30 63% 33% 52% +17 +2 1.39 22% 1.2 .26 18% .37 90% .34 1.28 83% 63% 31% +8 -3 1.11 42% 1.3 .53 15% .32 68% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.2 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.9 7th
8th 0.4 1.3 0.1 1.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 1.4 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 4.6 0.3 7.2 10th
11th 0.3 3.5 9.4 3.2 0.0 16.4 11th
12th 9.9 23.7 25.1 9.9 0.6 0.0 69.2 12th
Total 9.9 24.1 28.8 21.6 11.0 3.6 0.9 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11 0.9% 0.9
8-12 3.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.6
7-13 11.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.0
6-14 21.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 21.5
5-15 28.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 28.7
4-16 24.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 24.0
3-17 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.8%