Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.6 #295
Expected Predictive Rating -9.5 #317
Pace 61.3 #350
Improvement -0.1 #192

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #298 C+ F D+ F C
Defense #267 C C+ D- C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #271 1.05 #301 -3.8 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #191 0.83 #74 +0.4 #155
Three Pointers 45% #101 1.14 #35 +4.8 #39
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #134 +1.5 #133
Freethrows 12.8 #350 73% #194 9.3 #349
Second Chance 21.5% #357 0.92 #327 0.20 #360
Turnovers 17.6% #260
Total Offense -4.7 #298

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #320 1.16 #177 +3.4 #74
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #124 0.76 #192 -0.6 #222
Three Pointers 45% #60 1.07 #247 -3.3 #311
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #194 -0.5 #192
Freethrows 15.0 #65 80% #362 11.9 #145
Second Chance 29.0% #112 1.06 #201 0.31 #140
Turnovers 13.8% #326
Total Defense -3.0 #267

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #206 -1.2% #79
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.2% #129 2.3% #222
Possession Length 19.6 #353 17.0 #133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.07 #364 0.19 #234
Improvement -0.6 #210 +0.5 #154

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 85.6% 65.9% 87.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 104 - 14
Quad 45 - 98 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 319 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 47% +4  0 - 1 -15 -5 F A- C- -10 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  0 - 2 +5 +15 A+ F A+ -13 B F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 220 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 46% +14  1 - 2 +4 +11 A+ F D+ -6 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 146 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21% -10  1 - 3 -19 -9 B- F F -11 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 25 294 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 50% +1  2 - 3 +5 +1 A+ F F +6 A A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 227 Iona L 66 - 89 47% -7  2 - 4 -30 -9 C+ F D -21 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 355 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 63% -1  2 - 5 -14 -8 D+ F F -6 F C- A-
 Wed, Dec 10 72 @George Washington W 70 - 58 5% +6  3 - 5 +23 +1 A+ D F +22 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 13 207 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 43% -19  3 - 6 -28 -8 C F F -21 F B F
 Tue, Dec 16 354 Rider W 65 - 57 79% +6  4 - 6 -8 -6 D- F D+ -1 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 179 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 37% -12  4 - 7 0 - 1 -22 -26 F F F +0 C+ A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 216 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 45% -4  4 - 8 0 - 2 -9 -1 A- F A- -9 C D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 150 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 31% +5  5 - 8 1 - 2 +13 -1 A- F C +15 A+ A A
 Thu, Jan 8 124 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 11% -7  5 - 9 1 - 3 -7 -4 C- F B+ -4 B+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 228 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 26% +5  5 - 10 1 - 4 -3 +3 B+ D C -5 C D D+
 Thu, Jan 15 256 UTEP L 69 - 70 52% +2  5 - 11 1 - 5 -9 +2 F B A+ -11 D C F
 Sat, Jan 17 133 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 27% -14  5 - 12 1 - 6 -30 +2 C+ D A+ -36 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 94 @Liberty L 60 - 76 6%
 Wed, Jan 28 133 @New Mexico St. L 62 - 74 13%
 Sat, Jan 31 256 @UTEP L 63 - 69 30%
 Wed, Feb 4 94 Liberty L 63 - 73 17%
 Sat, Feb 7 128 Middle Tennessee L 63 - 70 27%
 Thu, Feb 12 192 @Florida International L 68 - 77 21%
 Sat, Feb 14 179 @Missouri St. L 62 - 71 19%
 Wed, Feb 18 162 Western Kentucky L 69 - 73 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 128 @Middle Tennessee L 60 - 73 12%
 Thu, Feb 26 216 @Jacksonville St. L 62 - 69 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 150 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 80 15%
 Thu, Mar 5 124 Sam Houston St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Sat, Mar 7 228 Louisiana Tech L 61 - 62 46%
Totals 8 - 22 4 - 16 -8 -5 C+ F D+ -3 C C+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.1 0.2 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.7 4.4 0.9 0.0 15.5 11th
12th 5.2 15.7 22.1 19.6 9.0 1.9 0.1 73.5 12th
Total 5.2 15.7 22.5 22.7 16.7 9.6 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.6% 0.6
8-12 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9
7-13 4.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.7
6-14 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-15 16.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.7
4-16 22.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.7
3-17 22.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 22.5
2-18 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
1-19 5.2% 5.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.4%