Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.6 #150
Expected Predictive Rating +0.1 #163
Pace 78.7 #13
Improvement +1.8 #100

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #135 C C C B- B+
Defense #179 C+ C+ D+ F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #104 1.12 #212 +1.0 #140
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #316 0.70 #270 -2.9 #317
Three Pointers 45% #113 0.99 #225 +1.2 #142
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #203 -0.7 #202
Freethrows 19.5 #85 72% #222 13.9 #105
Second Chance 34.4% #73 0.95 #296 0.33 #157
Turnovers 16.5% #179
Total Offense +1.0 #135

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #28 1.02 #30 -0.6 #197
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #270 0.68 #64 +1.7 #65
Three Pointers 37% #282 1.11 #295 +0.3 #163
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #132 +1.5 #132
Freethrows 22.5 #352 74% #229 16.6 #352
Second Chance 30.0% #153 0.99 #100 0.30 #115
Turnovers 15.0% #266
Total Defense -0.4 #179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #50 1.6% #320
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.5% #227 -4.4% #94
Possession Length 15.0 #22 17.1 #147
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #145 0.19 #254
Improvement +0.4 #156 +1.4 #102

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 10.2% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.4 13.8
.500 or above 83.5% 91.5% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 75.4% 85.7% 62.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.0% 0.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round8.6% 10.2% 6.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 36 - 56 - 10
Quad 411 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 313 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 74% +9  1 - 0 +14 +6 A+ F D+ +6 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 16 74 South Florida L 89 - 108 35% -9  1 - 1 -14 +7 D+ A+ B -19 D+ D F
 Mon, Nov 24 239 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 69% -1  2 - 1 +1 +1 D+ C C -1 C- B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 321 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 84% +1  2 - 2 -18 -2 D+ D- F -15 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 26 225 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 55% +0  3 - 2 +1 +7 A- D F -6 C B D-
 Tue, Dec 2 325 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 90% +9  4 - 2 +2 +5 F A+ A -4 A+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 273 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 82% +16  5 - 2 +14 +3 A+ C F +7 A+ D- F
 Wed, Dec 17 128 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 33% -7  5 - 3 0 - 1 +4 -1 F C+ D- +5 A+ A+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 17 Alabama L 81 - 92 6% -18  5 - 4 +7 +4 C A+ F +4 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 94 @Liberty L 73 - 81 22% -8  5 - 5 0 - 2 +1 -2 F C C+ +2 C+ B+ A-
 Sun, Jan 4 295 @Delaware L 52 - 67 69% -5  5 - 6 0 - 3 -20 -17 F D- F -4 D+ B+ D
 Wed, Jan 7 179 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 68% +8  6 - 6 1 - 3 +6 +9 A+ C+ F -4 B- C C
 Sat, Jan 10 216 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 75% +5  7 - 6 2 - 3 -0 +10 C A+ B -10 F C+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 192 Florida International W 89 - 86 71% -4  8 - 6 3 - 3 -2 +9 B F A+ -11 A- F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 162 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 42% +5  9 - 6 4 - 3 +19 +8 C+ D- B+ +11 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 124 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 32% -5  9 - 7 4 - 4 -1 +12 C B+ A+ -12 F C F
 Fri, Jan 23 228 @Louisiana Tech W 71 - 70 55%
 Wed, Jan 28 162 Western Kentucky W 85 - 81 64%
 Sat, Jan 31 133 New Mexico St. W 80 - 78 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 216 @Jacksonville St. W 75 - 74 54%
 Thu, Feb 12 128 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 75 56%
 Sat, Feb 14 124 Sam Houston St. W 84 - 83 55%
 Wed, Feb 18 179 @Missouri St. L 76 - 77 46%
 Sat, Feb 21 228 Louisiana Tech W 74 - 67 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 94 Liberty L 78 - 80 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 295 Delaware W 80 - 69 85%
 Thu, Mar 5 256 @UTEP W 77 - 74 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 133 @New Mexico St. L 77 - 81 36%
Totals 16 - 12 11 - 9 +1 +1 C C C +0 C+ C+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 5.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.7 5.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 7.5 6.3 1.0 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.4 5.6 7.1 1.2 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 7.4 2.1 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.8 3.1 0.2 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 7.5 12.7 17.7 19.3 17.3 12.5 6.3 2.0 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 47.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-5 22.3% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.3% 25.8% 25.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-5 2.0% 25.1% 25.1% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
14-6 6.3% 18.1% 18.1% 12.9 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.1
13-7 12.5% 15.2% 15.2% 13.3 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 10.6
12-8 17.3% 11.9% 11.9% 13.6 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.1 15.3
11-9 19.3% 8.0% 8.0% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 17.8
10-10 17.7% 4.5% 4.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 16.9
9-11 12.7% 2.7% 2.7% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.4
8-12 7.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.1 0.0 7.4
7-13 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 13.5 91.4 0.0%