Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#137
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#131
Pace74.7#36
Improvement+2.5#87

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#204
First Shot-5.0#308
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#14
Layup/Dunks-6.6#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows+3.8#18
Improvement+0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#101
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#65
Layups/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#82
Freethrows-2.6#340
Improvement+2.4#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 15.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.2% 15.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 23 - 44 - 5
Quad 36 - 810 - 13
Quad 46 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 162   @ California Baptist L 84-88 45%     0 - 1 -1.4 +8.7 -9.8
  Nov 16, 2024 240   Presbyterian W 85-67 79%     1 - 1 +10.9 +11.6 +0.0
  Nov 20, 2024 210   Abilene Christian W 84-78 75%     2 - 1 +0.4 +9.4 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2024 65   Rutgers W 79-77 33%     3 - 1 +7.9 -1.4 +9.0
  Nov 28, 2024 70   UC Irvine L 59-76 27%     3 - 2 -9.2 -10.2 +2.1
  Nov 29, 2024 150   Towson W 67-63 OT 53%     4 - 2 +4.6 -2.3 +7.1
  Nov 30, 2024 133   Kent St. L 60-67 49%     4 - 3 -5.3 -10.2 +4.8
  Dec 06, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. W 81-77 64%     5 - 3 +1.8 -0.4 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2024 56   @ Santa Clara L 74-94 14%     5 - 4 -7.2 +1.2 -6.9
  Dec 21, 2024 156   @ San Jose St. L 65-89 44%     5 - 5 -21.0 -12.1 -7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 124   Jacksonville St. W 83-71 57%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +11.5 +12.4 -0.5
  Jan 09, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 79-84 34%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +0.7 +3.5 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 154   @ Western Kentucky L 69-85 44%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -13.0 -6.9 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. W 75-69 OT 68%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +2.7 -11.5 +13.4
  Jan 18, 2025 119   Louisiana Tech W 78-76 55%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +2.0 +9.4 -7.3
  Jan 23, 2025 125   @ New Mexico St. W 69-56 37%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +17.9 +3.9 +14.3
  Jan 25, 2025 159   @ UTEP L 71-73 44%     9 - 8 4 - 3 +0.9 -2.2 +3.1
  Jan 30, 2025 71   Liberty L 68-76 36%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -3.0 +1.2 -4.3
  Feb 01, 2025 257   Florida International W 73-67 81%     10 - 9 5 - 4 -1.9 -3.4 +1.3
  Feb 06, 2025 154   Western Kentucky W 76-69 65%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +4.5 +2.6 +1.8
  Feb 08, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 75-76 55%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -0.8 +1.0 -1.7
  Feb 13, 2025 119   @ Louisiana Tech W 69-47 35%     12 - 10 7 - 5 +27.5 +9.0 +21.8
  Feb 15, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. L 76-78 47%     12 - 11 7 - 6 +0.2 +0.6 -0.4
  Feb 20, 2025 159   UTEP W 83-73 65%     13 - 11 8 - 6 +7.4 +8.6 -1.4
  Feb 22, 2025 125   New Mexico St. L 49-60 58%     13 - 12 8 - 7 -11.7 -17.2 +4.8
  Feb 27, 2025 257   @ Florida International L 61-76 64%     13 - 13 8 - 8 -17.4 -11.1 -5.8
  Mar 02, 2025 71   @ Liberty W 85-80 19%     14 - 13 9 - 8 +15.6 +16.3 -0.9
  Mar 08, 2025 124   @ Jacksonville St. W 74-70 36%     15 - 13 10 - 8 +9.0 +7.4 +1.8
  Mar 13, 2025 125   New Mexico St. L 67-68 47%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 7.2% 7.2% 13.0 1.4 4.3 1.5 0.0 92.8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 13.0 1.4 4.3 1.5 0.0 92.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.2% 100.0% 13.0 19.8 59.3 20.8 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.3%
Lose Out 52.2%