Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Pace63.7#297
Improvement-1.5#252

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#162
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks+2.7#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows-4.9#364
Improvement+0.8#156

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#225
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#103
Layups/Dunks+1.1#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#342
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement-2.3#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 414 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-73 34%     0 - 1 -6.0 -2.0 -4.8
  Nov 08, 2024 77   @ TCU L 51-67 14%     0 - 2 -5.9 -8.7 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 110   St. Bonaventure L 65-74 41%     0 - 3 -8.1 -4.1 -4.2
  Nov 16, 2024 66   @ Drake L 61-63 13%     0 - 4 +9.0 +1.0 +7.8
  Nov 22, 2024 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-54 72%     1 - 4 +12.7 +10.6 +6.1
  Nov 23, 2024 209   Northeastern L 55-59 65%     1 - 5 -9.4 -13.3 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2024 257   Florida International W 60-59 73%     2 - 5 -6.9 -7.5 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2024 107   @ Florida Atlantic W 80-78 22%     3 - 5 +8.6 +15.3 -6.6
  Dec 04, 2024 139   Furman L 73-76 50%     3 - 6 -4.5 +2.0 -6.7
  Dec 08, 2024 80   @ LSU L 71-80 15%     3 - 7 +0.8 +6.0 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2024 111   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-79 23%     3 - 8 -6.6 +1.7 -9.8
  Dec 28, 2024 226   @ Richmond W 75-57 47%     4 - 8 +17.3 +6.8 +11.6
  Jan 02, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 79-68 79%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +1.0 +4.4 -3.0
  Jan 04, 2025 207   @ Queens L 83-92 44%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -8.8 +10.0 -18.9
  Jan 09, 2025 121   North Alabama W 75-70 46%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +4.6 +3.3 +1.4
  Jan 11, 2025 344   Central Arkansas W 77-71 89%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -9.0 -1.6 -7.3
  Jan 16, 2025 348   West Georgia W 82-60 90%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +6.5 -1.3 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2025 207   Queens W 60-47 65%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +7.7 -6.0 +16.0
  Jan 23, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 77-61 77%     10 - 9 6 - 1 +6.7 +5.3 +3.4
  Jan 25, 2025 198   @ Eastern Kentucky L 77-81 41%     10 - 10 6 - 2 -3.2 +3.9 -7.2
  Jan 29, 2025 199   @ Jacksonville W 83-79 41%     11 - 10 7 - 2 +4.8 +17.1 -12.1
  Feb 01, 2025 350   Stetson W 82-56 90%     12 - 10 8 - 2 +10.2 +9.7 +3.7
  Feb 06, 2025 198   Eastern Kentucky L 74-92 63%     12 - 11 8 - 3 -22.7 -2.6 -20.3
  Feb 08, 2025 276   @ North Florida W 84-70 59%     13 - 11 9 - 3 +10.3 +4.3 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2025 277   @ Austin Peay L 60-73 59%     13 - 12 9 - 4 -16.8 -2.7 -16.7
  Feb 15, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 68-82 19%     13 - 13 9 - 5 -6.2 +1.1 -7.9
  Feb 18, 2025 199   Jacksonville W 72-56 63%     14 - 13 10 - 5 +11.3 +11.0 +2.8
  Feb 20, 2025 350   @ Stetson W 83-80 80%     15 - 13 11 - 5 -7.3 +9.9 -16.9
  Feb 24, 2025 276   North Florida W 86-82 77%     16 - 13 12 - 5 -5.2 -5.0 -0.7
  Feb 26, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 80-61 89%     17 - 13 13 - 5 +4.2 +4.5 +1.7
  Mar 03, 2025 207   Queens L 65-71 65%     17 - 14 -11.3 -5.8 -6.0
Projected Record 17 - 14 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%