Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#126
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#121
Pace67.9#223
Improvement+0.7#127

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#92
First Shot+2.8#105
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#155
Layup/Dunks+0.8#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#115
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement-0.7#238

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
First Shot-3.0#281
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#54
Layups/Dunks+0.2#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#211
Freethrows-0.9#240
Improvement+1.4#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 7.8% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.6
.500 or above 67.9% 78.5% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.8% 72.4% 60.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 9.7% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.1% 3.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round6.7% 7.7% 5.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 53.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 38 - 510 - 12
Quad 47 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 132 Boston College W 83-78 OT 64%     1 - 0 +3.9 +2.6 +0.7
  Sat, Nov 8 180 College of Charleston W 94-77 65%     2 - 0 +15.6 +23.1 -6.9
  Sun, Nov 9 98 @Liberty L 68-88 30%     2 - 1 -12.0 -0.4 -12.2
  Thu, Nov 20 139 Pacific W 82-59 66%     3 - 1 +21.5 +14.9 +8.3
  Mon, Nov 24 143 Loyola Marymount W 76-65 55%     4 - 1 +12.3 +12.7 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 66 George Mason L 65-74 28%     4 - 2 -0.4 +7.5 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 30 111 St. Bonaventure L 65-70 57%     4 - 3 -4.2 -1.6 -3.0
  Sun, Dec 7 177 @Florida Gulf Coast W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Dec 13 324 Albany W 82-67 92%    
  Fri, Dec 19 42 @St. Mary's L 65-77 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 269 Texas San Antonio W 81-69 86%    
  Sun, Jan 4 172 @Tulane W 77-76 54%    
  Wed, Jan 7 112 @UAB L 74-78 35%    
  Sun, Jan 11 75 Memphis L 75-77 43%    
  Thu, Jan 15 97 Wichita St. W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Jan 18 157 @Temple L 78-79 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 172 Tulane W 80-73 73%    
  Sun, Jan 25 79 @South Florida L 75-83 25%    
  Thu, Jan 29 75 @Memphis L 72-80 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 245 East Carolina W 80-70 83%    
  Wed, Feb 4 91 Tulsa W 75-74 50%    
  Wed, Feb 11 217 @Rice W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 79 South Florida L 78-80 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 269 @Texas San Antonio W 78-72 69%    
  Sun, Feb 22 145 @North Texas L 68-69 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 157 Temple W 81-75 70%    
  Sun, Mar 1 186 Charlotte W 75-67 75%    
  Sat, Mar 7 97 @Wichita St. L 71-76 32%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.5 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 7.8 1st
2nd 0.6 2.9 3.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.1 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 5.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.7 3.1 0.2 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.1 4.1 0.6 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.7 1.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.6 1.5 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.9 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.0 0.3 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.6 6.2 8.8 11.6 13.4 14.3 12.8 10.4 7.5 4.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 97.3% 0.9    0.8 0.1
15-3 80.8% 2.0    1.5 0.5
14-4 52.5% 2.5    1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.9% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 70.0% 70.0% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 47.1% 35.3% 11.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 18.2%
16-2 1.0% 30.8% 30.1% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.0%
15-3 2.4% 28.2% 28.2% 11.7 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.7
14-4 4.8% 18.2% 18.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 3.9
13-5 7.5% 15.8% 15.8% 12.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.3
12-6 10.4% 10.9% 10.9% 12.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 9.3
11-7 12.8% 7.4% 7.4% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 11.8
10-8 14.3% 4.7% 4.7% 13.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 13.6
9-9 13.4% 3.1% 3.1% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.0
8-10 11.6% 2.0% 2.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4
7-11 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
6-12 6.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 93.3 0.0%