Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#107
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#128
Pace72.1#69
Improvement-1.9#266

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#76
First Shot+4.4#67
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#214
Layup/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-2.1#282

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.1#184
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#210
Layups/Dunks+4.8#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#334
Freethrows+0.9#116
Improvement+0.2#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 8.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.7% 8.9% 0.0%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 411 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 196   Indiana St. W 97-64 71%     1 - 0 +31.1 +5.7 +20.3
  Nov 12, 2024 78   @ Central Florida L 94-100 27%     1 - 1 +4.1 +12.9 -8.1
  Nov 15, 2024 148   @ College of Charleston L 116-119 2OT 51%     1 - 2 +0.6 +17.0 -15.7
  Nov 16, 2024 71   Liberty W 77-74 OT 35%     2 - 2 +10.8 +6.5 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 91   Oklahoma St. W 86-78 43%     3 - 2 +13.6 +3.2 +9.1
  Nov 22, 2024 66   Drake L 63-75 33%     3 - 3 -3.8 -1.4 -3.1
  Nov 24, 2024 166   Seton Hall L 61-63 66%     3 - 4 -2.5 -4.0 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2024 187   Florida Gulf Coast L 78-80 78%     3 - 5 -6.2 +8.9 -15.2
  Dec 04, 2024 257   @ Florida International W 88-77 73%     4 - 5 +8.6 +14.2 -6.1
  Dec 10, 2024 199   Jacksonville W 85-63 79%     5 - 5 +17.3 +6.4 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2024 201   Texas St. W 89-80 80%     6 - 5 +3.9 +11.0 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 8   @ Michigan St. L 69-86 5%     6 - 6 +5.2 +5.4 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2025 50   Memphis L 62-90 33%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -19.7 -8.0 -10.5
  Jan 05, 2025 163   @ East Carolina W 78-76 55%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +4.6 +1.9 +2.6
  Jan 08, 2025 243   @ Charlotte W 75-64 71%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +9.2 +2.6 +7.1
  Jan 12, 2025 108   UAB L 76-81 61%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -4.0 -0.9 -3.2
  Jan 15, 2025 141   @ Tulane L 65-80 50%     8 - 9 2 - 3 -11.2 -5.3 -6.1
  Jan 19, 2025 191   Rice W 75-73 78%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -2.4 +6.3 -8.5
  Jan 26, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 64-77 27%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -3.0 +8.0 -13.0
  Jan 29, 2025 184   Texas San Antonio W 94-74 77%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +15.9 +24.2 -6.9
  Feb 02, 2025 189   South Florida W 94-72 78%     11 - 10 5 - 4 +17.7 +18.6 -1.4
  Feb 08, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 79-55 72%     12 - 10 6 - 4 +21.9 +10.1 +13.1
  Feb 10, 2025 243   Charlotte W 87-75 85%     13 - 10 7 - 4 +4.7 +6.9 -2.5
  Feb 16, 2025 155   @ Temple W 83-81 53%     14 - 10 8 - 4 +5.0 +7.9 -2.9
  Feb 20, 2025 126   Wichita St. L 68-75 67%     14 - 11 8 - 5 -7.7 +2.4 -10.8
  Feb 23, 2025 50   @ Memphis L 65-84 17%     14 - 12 8 - 6 -5.2 -0.1 -5.1
  Feb 27, 2025 79   North Texas L 61-71 47%     14 - 13 8 - 7 -5.5 +3.7 -11.1
  Mar 02, 2025 189   @ South Florida W 69-63 60%     15 - 13 9 - 7 +7.2 -1.4 +8.6
  Mar 06, 2025 108   @ UAB L 80-89 40%     15 - 14 9 - 8 -2.5 +5.7 -8.2
  Mar 09, 2025 163   East Carolina W 81-53 74%     16 - 14 10 - 8 +25.1 +10.2 +16.3
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 6.7% 6.7% 12.6 3.0 3.1 0.6 93.3
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 12.6 3.0 3.1 0.6 93.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.7% 100.0% 12.6 44.4 46.3 9.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.0%
Lose Out 25.0%