St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#110
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#91
Pace62.4#328
Improvement-5.1#342

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#117
Layup/Dunks+3.1#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows-0.4#199
Improvement-3.1#314

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#77
First Shot+4.7#51
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#267
Layups/Dunks+3.8#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#271
Freethrows+2.5#35
Improvement-2.0#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.0% 3.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 7
Quad 38 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 113   Cal St. Northridge W 70-56 62%     1 - 0 +14.6 -8.6 +22.1
  Nov 09, 2024 356   @ Canisius W 87-78 92%     2 - 0 -2.9 +16.4 -18.2
  Nov 13, 2024 187   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-65 59%     3 - 0 +10.3 +2.3 +8.3
  Nov 16, 2024 355   Le Moyne W 71-52 96%     4 - 0 +2.0 -7.1 +10.8
  Nov 24, 2024 151   Bryant W 85-70 72%     5 - 0 +12.7 +11.4 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2024 55   Utah St. L 67-72 25%     5 - 1 +5.6 -3.3 +8.8
  Nov 29, 2024 103   Northern Iowa W 68-56 49%     6 - 1 +16.0 +5.7 +11.8
  Dec 04, 2024 224   @ Bucknell W 64-47 66%     7 - 1 +16.4 -3.1 +20.9
  Dec 07, 2024 346   Buffalo W 65-55 95%     8 - 1 -5.1 -7.6 +3.5
  Dec 14, 2024 87   Providence W 74-70 41%     9 - 1 +9.9 +12.5 -2.1
  Dec 17, 2024 254   @ Siena W 65-48 72%     10 - 1 +14.7 -5.6 +21.1
  Dec 21, 2024 311   Niagara W 71-52 92%     11 - 1 +7.2 -2.0 +10.9
  Dec 31, 2024 35   Virginia Commonwealth W 77-75 25%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.8 +19.3 -6.2
  Jan 04, 2025 238   @ Fordham W 86-66 69%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +18.6 +16.7 +2.9
  Jan 08, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 68-73 37%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +2.1 +2.9 -1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 225   La Salle L 82-83 OT 82%     13 - 3 2 - 2 -7.2 +7.3 -14.5
  Jan 15, 2025 226   Richmond W 63-49 82%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +7.8 +2.7 +8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 122   @ Duquesne L 57-75 45%     14 - 4 3 - 3 -12.9 -5.2 -9.9
  Jan 21, 2025 90   George Mason L 62-75 53%     14 - 5 3 - 4 -10.0 -0.3 -10.6
  Jan 24, 2025 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-75 12%     14 - 6 3 - 5 +2.3 -0.6 +2.3
  Jan 28, 2025 74   Dayton W 75-53 46%     15 - 6 4 - 5 +26.7 +20.3 +11.7
  Feb 01, 2025 238   Fordham W 74-72 84%     16 - 6 5 - 5 -4.9 +6.4 -11.1
  Feb 04, 2025 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 53-77 39%     16 - 7 5 - 6 -17.5 -13.0 -5.7
  Feb 09, 2025 114   George Washington L 52-62 62%     16 - 8 5 - 7 -9.5 -14.4 +4.1
  Feb 12, 2025 138   @ Rhode Island L 64-68 48%     16 - 9 5 - 8 +0.1 -1.4 +1.1
  Feb 15, 2025 190   @ Massachusetts W 73-59 60%     17 - 9 6 - 8 +15.2 +1.1 +13.8
  Feb 22, 2025 122   Duquesne W 70-63 66%     18 - 9 7 - 8 +6.6 +6.8 +0.7
  Feb 26, 2025 76   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-75 27%     18 - 10 7 - 9 -0.8 -0.6 -0.7
  Mar 05, 2025 190   Massachusetts W 73-72 78%     19 - 10 8 - 9 -3.3 -4.0 +0.7
  Mar 08, 2025 140   @ Davidson W 64-61 49%     20 - 10 9 - 9 +6.8 -4.2 +11.2
  Mar 13, 2025 122   Duquesne W 65-64 55%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 2.0% 2.0% 12.0 0.1 1.9 0.0 98.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.1 1.9 0.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.0% 100.0% 12.0 3.0 95.6 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 44.2%