Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#238
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Pace73.5#56
Improvement-3.0#299

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#216
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#243
Layup/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#92
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#245
First Shot-4.4#313
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#47
Layups/Dunks-4.9#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#65
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement-2.6#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 70 - 9
Quad 35 - 85 - 17
Quad 45 - 410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 60-92 2%     0 - 1 -11.5 -2.2 -7.4
  Nov 09, 2024 166   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 27%     1 - 1 +3.3 -6.4 +9.7
  Nov 12, 2024 308   Binghamton W 78-63 76%     2 - 1 +3.5 -1.1 +4.4
  Nov 15, 2024 236   @ Manhattan L 76-78 39%     2 - 2 -3.3 -5.5 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2024 183   Drexel L 71-73 50%     2 - 3 -6.1 +3.3 -9.5
  Nov 25, 2024 58   Penn St. L 66-85 10%     2 - 4 -9.1 -3.6 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2024 67   San Francisco L 64-85 13%     2 - 5 -12.8 +2.5 -17.4
  Dec 01, 2024 353   New Hampshire W 83-61 87%     3 - 5 +5.7 -0.9 +5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 77%     4 - 5 -2.9 -1.7 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2024 221   Maine W 87-72 58%     5 - 5 +8.9 +4.8 +2.6
  Dec 14, 2024 151   Bryant W 86-84 33%     6 - 5 +2.5 +2.6 -0.4
  Dec 21, 2024 270   Albany W 87-83 67%     7 - 5 -4.8 +1.1 -6.2
  Dec 31, 2024 101   Saint Louis L 63-88 29%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -23.4 -8.8 -14.7
  Jan 04, 2025 109   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 31%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -19.1 -0.8 -19.3
  Jan 08, 2025 33   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 4%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +4.3 +0.0 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 140   @ Davidson L 64-74 22%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -6.1 -11.1 +5.5
  Jan 15, 2025 190   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 51%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -6.3 +4.0 -9.6
  Jan 22, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-70 16%     7 - 11 0 - 6 +2.5 +3.0 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2025 121   Duquesne W 65-63 36%     8 - 11 1 - 6 +1.6 -0.9 +2.6
  Jan 29, 2025 225   @ La Salle W 88-72 37%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +15.3 +14.3 +0.8
  Feb 01, 2025 109   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-74 16%     9 - 12 2 - 7 +4.4 +13.2 -9.0
  Feb 05, 2025 138   Rhode Island W 80-79 40%     10 - 12 3 - 7 -0.4 +5.9 -6.4
  Feb 12, 2025 75   Dayton L 76-93 20%     10 - 13 3 - 8 -12.3 +10.4 -24.2
  Feb 15, 2025 227   @ Richmond L 66-70 37%     10 - 14 3 - 9 -4.7 -1.7 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2025 121   @ Duquesne L 64-73 19%     10 - 15 3 - 10 -3.9 -5.1 +1.2
  Feb 22, 2025 140   Davidson L 69-80 40%     10 - 16 3 - 11 -12.7 -7.8 -4.5
  Feb 26, 2025 91   @ George Mason L 64-74 12%     10 - 17 3 - 12 -1.5 -1.2 +0.0
  Mar 01, 2025 77   Saint Joseph's L 76-90 20%     10 - 18 3 - 13 -9.3 +9.4 -19.4
  Mar 05, 2025 113   George Washington L 58-81 33%     10 - 19 3 - 14 -22.4 -10.4 -13.0
  Mar 08, 2025 138   @ Rhode Island L 67-86 22%     10 - 20 3 - 15 -14.9 -11.3 -1.7
  Mar 12, 2025 138   Rhode Island L 77-82 30%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 70.8%