Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#191
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#195
Pace73.1#63
Improvement+2.4#76

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#193
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#238
Layup/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#83
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement+3.0#37

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot-2.7#266
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#40
Layups/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#56
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-0.6#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 14.0
.500 or above 5.9% 10.2% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 3.4% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.7% 30.2% 54.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 36 - 87 - 16
Quad 46 - 313 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 60-92 4%     0 - 1 -12.4 -2.6 -8.0
  Nov 09, 2024 147   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 32%     1 - 1 +4.5 -7.7 +12.2
  Nov 12, 2024 313   Binghamton W 78-63 82%     2 - 1 +3.8 -2.4 +5.9
  Nov 15, 2024 271   @ Manhattan L 76-78 59%     2 - 2 -5.7 -5.9 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2024 195   Drexel L 71-73 60%     2 - 3 -6.1 +3.5 -9.8
  Nov 25, 2024 50   Penn St. L 66-85 14%     2 - 4 -8.8 -3.9 -4.6
  Nov 26, 2024 72   San Francisco L 64-85 20%     2 - 5 -13.4 +1.6 -17.0
  Dec 01, 2024 357   New Hampshire W 83-61 91%     3 - 5 +5.7 -0.4 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 85%     4 - 5 -3.4 -3.4 -0.9
  Dec 08, 2024 199   Maine W 87-72 61%     5 - 5 +10.8 +6.8 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2024 144   Bryant W 86-84 40%     6 - 5 +3.2 +1.8 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2024 280   Albany W 87-83 77%     7 - 5 -5.1 +1.2 -6.7
  Dec 31, 2024 105   Saint Louis L 63-88 38%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -23.1 -8.4 -14.9
  Jan 04, 2025 95   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 34%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -17.2 -2.2 -16.1
  Jan 08, 2025 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 8%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +2.4 +0.4 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 126   @ Davidson L 64-74 28%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -5.4 -11.9 +6.9
  Jan 15, 2025 152   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 52%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -3.8 +5.0 -8.1
  Jan 22, 2025 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-70 29%     7 - 11 0 - 6 +0.4 +2.4 -2.3
  Jan 26, 2025 142   Duquesne W 65-63 50%     8 - 11 1 - 6 +0.7 -0.5 +1.3
  Jan 29, 2025 193   @ La Salle W 88-72 41%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +17.0 +15.2 +1.5
  Feb 01, 2025 95   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-74 19%     9 - 12 2 - 7 +5.8 +11.6 -6.0
  Feb 05, 2025 121   Rhode Island L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 80   Dayton L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   @ Richmond L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 142   @ Duquesne L 67-72 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 126   Davidson L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 62-73 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's L 72-78 32%    
  Mar 05, 2025 124   George Washington L 75-76 48%    
  Mar 08, 2025 121   @ Rhode Island L 74-80 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.5 0.7 1.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 0.5 2.1 8th
9th 1.2 2.4 0.1 3.6 9th
10th 0.3 3.5 1.2 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 4.6 0.3 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 6.8 2.8 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.4 6.7 8.5 0.6 16.2 13th
14th 1.7 10.0 14.7 3.5 0.0 29.7 14th
15th 2.7 9.2 9.9 2.6 0.1 24.6 15th
Total 2.7 10.8 20.3 24.6 21.0 12.8 5.9 1.6 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 1.6
8-10 5.9% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
7-11 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-12 21.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 21.0
5-13 24.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.6
4-14 20.3% 20.3
3-15 10.8% 10.8
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%