Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#313
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#296
Pace70.9#139
Improvement+1.6#90

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#206
First Shot-0.8#192
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#226
Layup/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows+1.6#88
Improvement-1.6#300

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#351
First Shot-5.6#342
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#306
Layups/Dunks-4.9#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#317
Freethrows+3.8#11
Improvement+3.2#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 9.8% 15.0% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 47.2% 23.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 1.9% 8.9%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 411 - 912 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 38 @USC L 83-114 2%     0 - 1 -15.5 +4.7 -15.6
  Wed, Nov 12 251 Utah Tech W 79-75 36%     1 - 1 -1.2 +10.0 -10.9
  Fri, Nov 14 109 @Hawaii L 56-86 8%     1 - 2 -23.2 -10.7 -11.5
  Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-73 90%     2 - 2 -16.1 +5.4 -20.9
  Fri, Nov 21 43 @Texas A&M L 68-109 2%     2 - 3 -26.2 -2.7 -21.0
  Wed, Nov 26 295 Wagner L 101-103 OT 55%     2 - 4 -12.1 +14.0 -25.9
  Sat, Nov 29 331 @Army L 78-81 OT 44%     2 - 5 -10.3 -2.4 -7.8
  Fri, Dec 5 277 Fairfield W 70-66 52%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -5.3 -10.1 +4.7
  Sun, Dec 7 157 @Marist L 68-80 13%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -8.8 -3.4 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 13 193 @Fordham L 53-82 18%     3 - 7 -28.1 -13.8 -16.4
  Thu, Dec 18 148 Furman L 68-75 26%     3 - 8 -9.1 -5.9 -3.2
  Sun, Dec 21 286 Presbyterian W 87-81 53%     4 - 8 -3.6 +9.9 -13.6
  Mon, Dec 29 344 @Rider W 72-71 50%    
  Fri, Jan 2 160 Quinnipiac L 77-83 29%    
  Sun, Jan 4 263 @Merrimack L 69-75 28%    
  Fri, Jan 9 347 Canisius W 74-68 73%    
  Sun, Jan 11 352 Niagara W 76-69 75%    
  Wed, Jan 14 277 @Fairfield L 75-81 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 179 Siena L 72-76 33%    
  Mon, Jan 19 160 @Quinnipiac L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 165 @Iona L 76-87 14%    
  Fri, Jan 30 344 Rider W 74-68 71%    
  Sun, Feb 1 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 297 St. Peter's W 72-71 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 250 Sacred Heart L 79-80 48%    
  Fri, Feb 13 352 @Niagara W 73-72 55%    
  Sun, Feb 15 347 @Canisius W 71-70 51%    
  Fri, Feb 20 157 Marist L 69-75 29%    
  Fri, Feb 27 297 @St. Peter's L 69-74 34%    
  Sun, Mar 1 165 Iona L 79-84 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.6 3.9 1.0 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.1 1.4 0.1 13.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.4 5.8 1.8 0.1 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 5.0 5.9 2.2 0.2 14.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 4.0 5.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.4 10.2 13.5 15.1 14.8 12.9 9.8 6.3 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 42.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 13.0% 13.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.7
13-7 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.4
12-8 6.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.1
11-9 9.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.5
10-10 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.8
9-11 14.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.7
8-12 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
7-13 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.4
6-14 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-16 3.2% 3.2
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 98.9 0.0%