Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#342
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#313
Pace69.0#198
Improvement+0.7#126

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#314
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks-4.7#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#32
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement-0.6#233

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#347
First Shot-4.8#326
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#265
Layups/Dunks-1.9#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#164
Freethrows-3.5#337
Improvement+1.3#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.6% 8.0% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 17.6% 23.7% 15.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 36.6% 28.4% 38.9%
First Four1.2% 1.6% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 166 @St. Thomas L 76-83 11%     0 - 1 -4.8 +5.3 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 11 3 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -36.1 -9.9 -21.1
  Sat, Nov 15 193 Harvard L 52-75 28%     0 - 3 -28.2 -17.9 -12.6
  Tue, Nov 18 150 @Cornell L 73-86 9%     0 - 4 -9.7 -9.8 +1.5
  Fri, Nov 21 159 @Marist L 65-76 10%     0 - 5 -8.3 +3.0 -11.9
  Tue, Nov 25 300 East Texas A&M L 67-84 37%     0 - 6 -24.8 -6.4 -18.6
  Wed, Nov 26 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 52%     1 - 6 -3.9 +4.9 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 29 310 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 50%     2 - 6 -8.2 -5.2 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 62 George Washington L 70-84 6%     2 - 7 -7.9 -1.2 -7.2
  Fri, Dec 12 272 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-78 22%    
  Tue, Dec 23 349 Binghamton W 73-69 63%    
  Wed, Dec 31 299 @Lehigh L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 176 Colgate L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 319 Loyola Maryland W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 235 @Boston University L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 301 @Holy Cross L 69-75 29%    
  Sun, Jan 18 250 American L 73-76 38%    
  Wed, Jan 21 304 @Bucknell L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 198 @Navy L 66-78 14%    
  Wed, Jan 28 299 Lehigh L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 301 Holy Cross L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 176 @Colgate L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 331 Lafayette W 73-71 56%    
  Wed, Feb 11 235 Boston University L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 250 @American L 70-79 20%    
  Wed, Feb 18 319 @Loyola Maryland L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 198 Navy L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 304 Bucknell L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 331 @Lafayette L 70-74 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 5.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 4.6 1.5 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.6 2.4 0.2 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.5 3.8 0.3 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.5 7.0 4.1 0.6 19.4 9th
10th 0.5 2.1 5.4 7.4 7.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 25.8 10th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.7 9.2 13.2 14.3 14.5 12.9 9.9 7.5 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 82.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 71.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 49.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 14.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 17.4% 17.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.5% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 2.8% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.1 2.6
10-8 4.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.2 4.6
9-9 7.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.2
8-10 9.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.7
7-11 12.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.8
6-12 14.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-13 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
4-14 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.2
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%