Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.0 341
Expected Predictive Rating -10.1 323
Pace 67.5 216
Improvement -1.6 258

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #308 D+ D+ C- D- B
Defense D- #342 D D D D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 53% 303 -4.1 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% 349 28% 362 -5.0 361
Three Pointers 55% 1 32% 269 +5.5 29
1st FG Attempt 0.95 293 -3.6 292
Second Chance 28.9% 229 0.92 312 0.27 272
Turnovers 17.9% 244
Freethrows 0.25 332 71% 241 0.18 332
Total Offense -5.1 308

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 160 64% 323 -2.8 274
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 195 36% 124 +0.6 140
Three Pointers 41% 184 37% 327 -1.9 278
1st FG Attempt 1.10 306 -4.1 306
Second Chance 32.2% 248 1.17 342 0.38 318
Turnovers 14.3% 325
Freethrows 0.35 298 74% 255 0.25 306
Total Defense -6.9 342

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 52 +0.2 195
Shot Type Accuracy -4.5 323 +3.8 316
Possession Length 18.2 271 16.8 97
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 324 0.20 279
Improvement -1.1 #255 -0.4 #214

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 2% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 68% 42% 74%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 410 - 1210 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 123 @St. Thomas L 76 - 83 6% -11  1% 0 - 1 C -2 B- +4 B- D- B D+ -5 B F F
 Tue, Nov 11 3 Duke L 59 - 114 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -34 F -11 D C+ D+ F -18 F D- D-
 Sat, Nov 15 153 Harvard L 52 - 75 19% -9  0% 0 - 3 F -26 F -19 F D+ F D- -9 F+ B- C
 Tue, Nov 18 159 @Cornell L 73 - 86 9% -6  9% 0 - 4 D -10 F -16 F F B B+ +7 C B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 163 @Marist L 65 - 76 9% -4  21% 0 - 5 D -8 C- -1 B- F C+ D- -8 D+ F F
 Tue, Nov 25 300 East Texas A&M L 67 - 84 35% -10  22% 0 - 6 F -25 F+ -8 D- F+ D+ F -17 F D C-
 Wed, Nov 26 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81 - 73 34% +2  66% 1 - 6 C +0 B +6 D C+ A- D+ -5 A- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 323 Manhattan W 81 - 78 OT 54% +3  79% 2 - 6 D -10 F+ -8 C F F C- -2 B F D
 Tue, Dec 2 84 George Washington L 70 - 84 8% -5  13% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -4 B+ F B- D -7 A- F D+
 Fri, Dec 12 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63 - 60 19% +5  82% 3 - 7 C +0 F -10 F F+ D A +11 B- B F+
 Tue, Dec 23 361 Binghamton W 95 - 85 OT 77% +4  90% 4 - 7 D -10 C +0 B+ C- F+ F+ -11 F B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 306 @Lehigh W 85 - 78 OT 26% +3  81% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C +2 C- -0 D+ A- F C+ +1 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 209 Colgate L 69 - 76 28% -3  10% 5 - 8 1 - 1 D- -13 C +1 C- A- B F -14 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 312 Loyola Maryland L 76 - 84 OT 50% -3  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 F -20 F+ -9 F D+ A F -11 C F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 275 @Boston University L 91 - 100 21% -8  7% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -12 A +12 C+ B- B F -25 F D- D
 Wed, Jan 14 321 @Holy Cross L 75 - 82 31% -7  2% 5 - 11 1 - 4 D- -14 C- -1 D+ D C+ F -13 F A+ F
 Sun, Jan 18 258 American L 67 - 78 37% -7  0% 5 - 12 1 - 5 F -20 D -5 C- D+ B F -16 F+ F A
 Wed, Jan 21 324 @Bucknell W 87 - 84 OT 32% +2  52% 6 - 12 2 - 5 C- -4 A- +10 B D+ C F -14 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 166 @Navy L 56 - 84 9% -12  2% 6 - 13 2 - 6 F -25 F+ -10 C F D- F -19 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 28 306 Lehigh W 67 - 64 48% +3  78% 7 - 13 3 - 6 D -8 F -11 D+ F+ D+ B- +3 B- C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 321 Holy Cross W 69 - 68 54% +1  55% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 F -10 F A+ F C -2 A- D- D-
 Wed, Feb 4 209 @Colgate L 55 - 69 13% -8  31% 8 - 14 4 - 7 D- -14 F -16 F F+ F C+ +1 C- D A
 Sat, Feb 7 319 Lafayette L 60 - 63 54% -4  13% 8 - 15 4 - 8 F+ -16 F -17 F D- F C+ +1 C+ C- B
 Wed, Feb 11 275 Boston University L 68 - 85 40% -10  6% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F -26 D- -8 F B B- F -21 F A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 258 @American L 69 - 78 19%
 Wed, Feb 18 312 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 78 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 166 Navy L 66 - 75 21%
 Wed, Feb 25 324 Bucknell W 73 - 72 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 319 @Lafayette L 69 - 74 32%
Totals 10 - 19 6 - 12 -12 D -5 D+ D+ C- D- -7 D D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D F D+ D 35% 10% 55% B D+ C- D D+ C- D- C- D- D- D C+ D D 39% 20% 41% C- D C- D- D D D C- D
1.01 53% 28% 32% -5 +1 0.95 29% 0.9 .27 18% .25 71% .18 1.18 64% 36% 37% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 14% .35 74% .18
Nov
8		 St. Thomas B- C A+ C B- 41% 9% 50% B B- C F D- B D+ B C- D+ F C+ A+ A- 53% 6% 42% F+ B F F F F F C- F
1.11 59% 60% 33% +2 +2 1.09 31% 0.8 .25 16% .24 79% .19 1.21 75% 33% 18% -1 +3 1.06 29% 1.4 .40 10% .40 72% .29
Nov
11		 Duke F A+ F F D- 17% 10% 73% B- D C B- C+ D+ F C+ F+ F F A+ F+ F 36% 5% 59% C+ F D D+ D- D- F F F
0.77 70% 17% 23% -12 0 0.78 22% 0.8 .18 22% .12 71% .08 1.48 90% 0% 40% +15 +2 1.36 43% 1.3 .57 13% .43 83% .36
Nov
15		 Harvard F C+ A+ F F 38% 13% 49% C F C+ F+ D+ F C- F D- D- F D- F F 35% 26% 40% A- F+ C B+ B- C F C F
0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15 1.18 73% 45% 41% +12 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35
Nov
18		 Cornell F C C+ F F 43% 9% 48% B+ F F D+ F B B- A B+ B+ B- A+ F C+ 49% 9% 42% D C A+ D B+ C+ F A+ D
0.93 60% 40% 18% -11 +2 0.84 20% 1.1 .22 13% .35 79% .28 1.10 58% 20% 45% +5 +2 1.17 22% 1.3 .28 19% .44 57% .25
Nov
21		 Marist C- A C+ D- B- 30% 17% 53% B- B- B F F C+ D+ A C+ D- D D- A C- 40% 24% 36% D D+ F C+ F F B F C
0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26 1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19
Nov
25		 East Texas A&M F+ C- F F+ F+ 42% 2% 56% A- D- D+ F F+ D+ B- C B- F F A F F 32% 8% 60% D F B F D C- F F F
0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25 1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32
Nov
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson B B F C D- 38% 10% 52% B D C B+ C+ A- A+ C A+ D+ C- D- A+ A 29% 17% 54% C+ A- D+ F F F F B- F
1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41 1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28
Nov
29		 Manhattan F+ F+ F A+ C- 45% 9% 47% A- C F D F F F A+ F C- D A+ A B 34% 22% 44% C B B F F D B- F C
1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10 1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 -1 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23
Dec
2		 George Washington D+ D F A+ B+ 25% 8% 68% B- B+ F C- F B- F D F D C- A+ B A- 28% 9% 63% A- A- C+ F F D+ F F F
1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07 1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48
Dec
12		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F F F B- F 55% 4% 40% A+ F D+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+ A D- B+ A- B- 28% 25% 47% B B- C+ A+ B F+ C A+ A+
0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29 0.91 67% 31% 28% -3 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10
Dec
23		 Binghamton C D A+ A+ B+ 41% 10% 49% B- B+ D- A C- F+ A+ F A- F+ F D- A+ F+ 53% 15% 32% F F A F B- F B+ C- B
1.21 52% 60% 48% +10 +2 1.25 25% 1.3 .33 15% .45 63% .29 1.08 71% 44% 21% +2 +2 1.08 11% 1.0 .11 11% .32 77% .25
Dec
31		 Lehigh C- A F F D 49% 11% 40% A D+ B A A- F A+ D+ A+ C+ F A+ A+ C 43% 23% 33% D C A+ F D+ F D- A+ C-
1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42 1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21
Jan
3		 Colgate C F F B D+ 40% 9% 51% B+ C- B A- A- B B+ F D+ F C+ C+ F D- 33% 20% 47% D+ D F+ B- D+ F D+ F F
1.13 47% 25% 38% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.2 .41 13% .38 55% .21 1.24 56% 40% 43% +7 0 1.14 33% 0.9 .30 11% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 Loyola Maryland F+ C+ F F F 28% 15% 57% C F D C+ D+ A F F F F C+ A B B- 47% 8% 45% F C F D F D- F C+ F
1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11 1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26
Jan
10		 Boston University A D- C+ A+ C+ 31% 16% 53% C C+ C B B- B D- A+ C F D- F F F 44% 8% 48% F F B- F D- D F+ F F
1.33 50% 44% 45% +8 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21 1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30
Jan
14		 Holy Cross C- D+ A+ D- D- 48% 5% 47% A D+ B+ F D C+ F C F+ F B C F F 30% 28% 42% C+ F A A+ A+ F C- F D-
1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14 1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25
Jan
18		 American D C A D- D 51% 8% 41% A C- B- F D+ B F A+ F F D+ D- F+ F 30% 16% 53% B F+ F F F A F C F
1.06 60% 50% 30% 0 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15 1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33
Jan
21		 Bucknell A- B- F A B- 37% 8% 56% A- B B F D+ C B A+ A+ F F D D- F 44% 15% 41% D F D- A- C F F C- F
1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33 1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30
Jan
24		 Navy F+ C+ B C- C 17% 20% 63% C- C F+ F F D- C- F D- F D+ F F F 24% 33% 43% A+ F F F F B- F+ C- F+
0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14 1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30
Jan
28		 Lehigh F C+ F B D+ 35% 20% 44% C D+ D- D F+ D+ F F F B- A A- F B 40% 26% 34% C- B- D+ A C+ C- D+ A C
0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09 0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Holy Cross F F A C- F 33% 4% 63% B F A A+ A+ F B- F F C A+ C+ F A 41% 25% 33% D- A- D F+ D- D- D- F F
1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11 1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27
Feb
4		 Colgate F F+ F D- F 22% 18% 60% D F D F F+ F B- F+ C C+ F C+ C+ C- 35% 33% 33% B C- F A D A F C- F
0.86 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 25% 0.8 .19 20% .35 67% .23 1.07 69% 40% 33% +4 -2 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 22% .38 74% .28
Feb
7		 Lafayette F C- F F F 43% 7% 50% A F B- F D- F F B F C+ B- C B C+ 45% 19% 36% C C+ F+ B C- B F A- F
0.89 57% 25% 22% -10 +2 0.85 36% 0.7 .26 19% .17 78% .13 0.94 52% 33% 29% -6 +1 0.91 33% 0.8 .25 19% .48 62% .29
Feb
11		 Boston University D- F A+ F+ F 27% 6% 67% B- F D+ A+ B B- C B- C F F F F F 40% 19% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ F+ F D+ F
1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22 1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.6 0.2 0.8 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 3.1 1.0 4.1 6th
7th 1.5 7.2 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.3 10.8 3.5 14.6 8th
9th 0.9 12.1 16.1 0.4 29.4 9th
10th 15.1 21.9 3.0 40.0 10th
Total 16.0 34.3 31.4 14.4 3.6 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.6
7-11 14.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 14.2
6-12 31.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.2 31.2
5-13 34.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 34.2
4-14 16.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.6%