IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.4	#299
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.8	#266

Pace	65.3	#274
Improvement	-2.6	#322

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#265

First Shot	-1.8	#226
After Offensive Rebound	-1.4	#267

Layup/Dunks	-0.4	#194
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.5	#311
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.2	#57
Freethrows	-3.0	#336

Improvement	-0.4	#213

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#304

First Shot	-3.3	#288
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.9	#257

Layups/Dunks	-1.1	#211
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.0	#104
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.9	#349
Freethrows	+2.7	#33

Improvement	-2.2	#335

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.4%	7.3%	4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	29.2%	36.2%	16.3%
.500 or above in Conference	43.4%	47.6%	35.5%
Conference Champion	6.6%	8.0%	4.0%
Last Place in Conference	17.9%	15.3%	22.8%

First Four	4.0%	4.1%	3.7%
First Round	4.3%	5.1%	2.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 65.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 11	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	236	Albany	W	67-59	49%	1 - 0			+0.9	-8.0	+9.2
Nov 08, 2024	2	@ Duke	L	58-100	1%	1 - 1			-18.0	-2.6	-14.9
Nov 15, 2024	233	@ Marist	L	88-91 OT	26%	1 - 2			-3.7	+15.7	-19.4
Nov 20, 2024	334	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	84-70	72%	2 - 2			+0.8	+0.5	-0.1
Nov 22, 2024	293	@ Manhattan	L	79-80	38%	2 - 3			-5.1	-0.1	-5.0
Dec 03, 2024	332	@ Le Moyne	W	103-100 3OT	49%	3 - 3			-4.2	-1.4	-3.6
Dec 08, 2024	120	Cornell	L	84-103	25%	3 - 4			-19.4	+6.1	-25.1
Dec 13, 2024	136	@ George Washington	L	60-75	14%	3 - 5			-10.6	-6.6	-5.3
Dec 22, 2024	314	Binghamton	W	70-66	65%
Dec 29, 2024	230	Texas San Antonio	L	75-76	47%
Jan 02, 2025	223	@ Colgate	L	65-72	25%
Jan 05, 2025	256	@ Boston University	L	64-69	31%
Jan 08, 2025	313	Loyola Maryland	W	71-67	65%
Jan 11, 2025	244	@ Lehigh	L	70-76	30%
Jan 15, 2025	246	Lafayette	W	68-67	52%
Jan 18, 2025	256	Boston University	W	67-66	53%
Jan 22, 2025	310	@ Holy Cross	L	70-72	43%
Jan 26, 2025	302	Navy	W	73-70	62%
Jan 29, 2025	223	Colgate	L	68-69	46%
Feb 01, 2025	242	@ American	L	64-70	30%
Feb 05, 2025	310	Holy Cross	W	73-69	64%
Feb 08, 2025	264	Bucknell	W	68-67	55%
Feb 12, 2025	313	@ Loyola Maryland	L	68-70	43%
Feb 15, 2025	302	@ Navy	L	70-73	41%
Feb 19, 2025	242	American	W	67-66	50%
Feb 23, 2025	264	@ Bucknell	L	65-70	34%
Feb 25, 2025	246	@ Lafayette	L	64-70	31%
Mar 01, 2025	244	Lehigh	W	74-73	51%
Projected Record						12 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.5	1.5	2.0	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		6.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.6	2.9	2.9	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0				8.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	3.4	3.4	1.2	0.1	0.0						8.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	3.3	4.6	1.2	0.1								9.4	4th
5th								0.1	2.4	5.7	1.9	0.1									10.1	5th
6th							0.1	1.6	6.2	2.8	0.2	0.0									11.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.5	5.3	4.0	0.4											11.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.5	4.7	4.5	0.7	0.0											11.6	8th
9th			0.0	0.5	1.9	4.5	4.0	1.1	0.0												12.0	9th
10th	0.1	0.5	1.5	2.6	3.4	2.4	0.8	0.1													11.4	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.1	5.5	8.4	11.1	12.7	13.6	12.7	10.6	8.0	5.8	3.4	1.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	97.9%	0.3		0.3
15-3	94.3%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
14-4	83.3%	1.5		1.1	0.4	0.0
13-5	59.1%	2.0		1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0
12-6	26.7%	1.5		0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	6.3%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.6%	6.6		3.6	2.0	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		21.9%	21.9%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.3%		28.1%	28.1%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.7%		28.7%	28.7%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.5
14-4	1.8%		23.2%	23.2%		15.4															0.0	0.2	0.2	1.4
13-5	3.4%		19.4%	19.4%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	2.7
12-6	5.8%		16.2%	16.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	4.9
11-7	8.0%		12.8%	12.8%		15.9																0.1	0.9	7.0
10-8	10.6%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																0.0	0.9	9.6
9-9	12.7%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																0.0	1.0	11.8
8-10	13.6%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.6	13.1
7-11	12.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.3	12.4
6-12	11.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	10.9
5-13	8.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.4
4-14	5.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
3-15	3.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-16	1.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.1

Total	100%		6.4%	6.4%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	5.4	93.6		0.0%